by Lance Roberts
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| Markets are pricing in strong growth and big earnings gains next year, but the labor and inflation data point to a slowing economy. In this short video, Joseph Wang and I discuss why the Fed is relying on productivity rather than job growth to drive the economy—and why that assumption is the key risk to watch in 2026. 📺Full interview: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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1-1-26 2026 Market Outlook: Bullish Case, Bear Risks & Strategy
2025-12-17
As we begin the new year, this New Year’s Day market outlook takes a balanced, risk-aware look at what 2026 may hold for investors. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the bullish case for markets, including the macro and technical backdrops supporting higher prices, while also addressing the growing risks beneath the surface—particularly stress in credit markets and the potential for lower long-term returns.
The discussion explores how elevated valuations, tighter financial conditions, and shifting economic dynamics could impact portfolio outcomes in the year ahead. We also outline practical investment strategies for 2026, including why cash can provide valuable optionality during periods of volatility and uncertainty.
Additional topics include a preview of the 2026 Economic Summit,
Kevin Warsh Or Kevin Hassett?
2025-12-17
Yesterday’s Commentary discussed Trump’s inclusion of Kevin Warsh in the race for Federal Reserve chair. Today, we compare some key differences between Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett. Understanding what each contributes to the Fed helps us better assess their effects on capital markets. Kevin Warsh was a Fed Governor from 2006 through 2011. We learned …
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