by Lance Roberts
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| Technology stocks started February on the back foot as volatility spiked and leveraged trades unwound across markets—crypto first, then metals, then equities. The key question: is this a real breakdown in tech leadership, or a mechanical liquidation that’s creating selective opportunity? 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Superbowl Recap & Looking for BLS & CPI 4:41 - More Trapped Longs & Volatility to Come 10:38 - Market Volatility May not Be Over Yet 14:28 - The AI Threat to Software Co's 18:12 - Salesforce vs AI 23:20 - Narratives are Justification for Overpaying 26:30 - Technology Sector Analysis & Rotation 29:40 - Value to Growth Rotation 32:05 - Where are Earnings Coming From? 35:08 - Waiting for the Bottom to Buy 37:36 - Fundamentals Then & Now 40:01 - Margin Debt vs DPI (Disposable Personal Income) 41:30 - What Happens When You Lose it All 44:05 Boomer Advice for Younger Investors 48:41 - Learn when Enough is Enough Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculative Narrative Unwinds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/speculative-narrative-unwinds/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "The Wealth-Health Gap," here: https://youtube.com/live/TynkcovRQIQ?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Holds, Volatility Returns," is here: ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #TechnologyStocks #Nasdaq #MarketVolatility #SectorRotation #RiskManagement |
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1-17-26 Why Position Size Matters More Than Stock Picks
2026-01-17
Position sizing, not stock picking, is what determines long-term investing success.
In this Short video, Lance Roberts explains why oversized positions create hidden risk, how greed compounds losses, and why managing exposure is essential for compounding wealth over time.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
5x Leverage Is Too Much Says The SEC
2025-12-05
Wall Street’s financial engineers thought they had found yet another way to turn financial markets into casinos. The gimmick this time is with 3x, 4x, and even 5x leveraged ETFs tied to individual stocks and cryptocurrencies. The SEC just ruled against these new proposals, apparently drawing the line at 2x leverage as the rules state. …
12-2-25 LIVE Q&A: Ask Us Anything About Markets & Money
2025-12-02
Welcome to our LIVE Q&A session!
Lance Roberts is taking your questions directly from the YouTube live chat—covering markets, investing, retirement planning, inflation, interest rates, the Federal Reserve, portfolio strategy, risk management, and your personal finance questions.
No scripts, no agenda—just real-time answers based on data, history, and risk-focused investing principles.
We’ll break down what’s moving the markets, how to think about pullbacks, what the Fed may do next, how valuations affect future returns, and how to build financial plans that survive full market cycles. Whether you’re a new investor or a seasoned pro, this LIVE Q&A is your chance to get expert insight—right now.
0:00 – INTRO
0:19 – Not Every December is Positive; Retail Sales, Black Friday, & Target
10-15-25 The Fed’s Quiet Pivot: Ending QT Is Bullish for Risk Assets
2025-10-15
The Fed just made a quietly bullish move. In this short video, I explain how ending quantitative tightening and stabilizing its balance sheet adds liquidity, supports Treasuries, and sets up a stronger backdrop for risk assets.
Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
10-15-25 Is the Fed Poised to Pause Quantitative Tightening?
2025-10-15
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell just hinted that the Fed may soon pause its balance-sheet runoff — a potential shift that could reshape market liquidity and investor sentiment.
Lance Roberts breaks down:
* Why the Fed may pause QT — and what it signals about financial conditions.
* How ending balance-sheet runoff affects liquidity, yields, and asset prices.
* What history tells us about QT pauses and subsequent market rallies.
* Why the Fed’s portfolio composition (Treasuries vs. MBS) still matters for inflation and housing.
* Portfolio tactics if the liquidity tide begins to turn.
#FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #FedPolicy
#MarketLiquidity #StockMarketAnalysis
First Brands: Canary In The Rehypothecation Coal Mine?
2025-10-13
The First Brands Group, manufacturer of auto parts, including Raybestos brakes and FRAM, filed for bankruptcy on September 29th. This bankruptcy is troubling in two ways. First, per the ZeroHedge chart below, the price of First Brands loans fell by 80% in a day. In other words, the loan market had no clue of financial …
OPEX Overload: How 3 Trillion In Expirations Can Move Markets
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Nearly $3 trillion of notional stock options expire on Friday’s open expiration (OPEX day). Over half of the OPEX volume is in S&P 500 options, with the remainder in single stock options. The graph below provides details on the split between puts and calls, and the strike prices and open interest of the options. Almost …
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