Tag Archive: newsletter

Nothing Is What It Seems

2020-04-10

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2020-04-10

My latest interview about Corona, Liberty, Private Property, Authoritarism, and a fear-mongering global media campaign, which I call borderline criminal [embedded content]

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The Real Cost of Anti-Price-Gouging Laws

2020-04-10

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2020-04-10

Supply and demand diagram
As has happened before with many natural disasters, the COVID-19 panic is leading to complaints of shortages and “gouging,” which about two-thirds of US states have passed laws against (often in terms so vague that it makes any enforcement discretionary, and thus discriminatory). But rather than complaining of shortages and gouging, critics should realize that “gouging” is the solution to shortages, not a cost in addition to them.

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FX Daily, April 9: Three Deals Needed ahead of Holiday Weekend

2020-04-09

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2020-04-09

Overview: Three deals need to be struck. First, the Eurogroup of finance ministers needs to reach an agreement of proposals for joint action to the heads of state. Second, oil producers need to cut output if prices are to stabilize. Third, the US Congress needs to strike a deal to provide more funding. Investor seems hopeful, and risk appetites are have lifted equities.

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FINMA begrüsst Dividenden-Schritt der Grossbanken

2020-04-09

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2020-04-09

Die Eidgenössische Finanzmarktaufsicht FINMA begrüsst den heute von der UBS Group AG und der Credit Suisse Group AG angekündigten Schritt, trotz deren Position der Kapitalstärke jeweils die Hälfte der geplanten Dividendenausschüttung für das Jahr 2019 zu verschieben.

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Swiss firm helps reduce shortage of disinfectant in Bavaria

2020-04-09

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2020-04-09

The Swiss chemical company Clariant has started monthly production of two million litres of disinfectant at its facilities in neighbouring Germany amid the coronavirus pandemic. In a joint venture with Germany’s CropEnergies, Clariant is using its available infrastructure in Bavaria to blend the necessary ingredients, notably ethanol, into disinfectant, the Swiss company said.

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Cool Video: OIl, ECB, and Animal Spirits

2020-04-09

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2020-04-09

I had the privilege to join Ben Lichtenstein at TD Ameritrade (from a remote location) this morning to talk about the global markets.  I make four points.  First, the reversal of the S&P 500 yesterday set the tone for Asia and Europe.  Volatility throughout the capital markets remains elevated, even if off the peaks.  

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Dollar Firm as Europe Fails to Deliver

2020-04-09

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2020-04-09

The dollar is stabilizing; reports suggest the White House is developing a plan to reopen the US economy sooner rather than later. Both Hong Kong and Singapore just tightened restrictions on gathering and movement. FOMC minutes for the March 15 decision will be released today.

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All Crises Are Local

2020-04-09

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2020-04-09

South Dakota is not New York City. A seemingly innocuous statement, made last Wednesday by Governor Kristi Noem in response to calls for her to issue a coronavirus shutdown across a state with the motto "Under God the People Rule." South Dakota, after all, is one of the least densely populated states in the vast American West.

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Fragile, Not Fortified

2020-04-09

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2020-04-09

Credit Spreads, 2017-2020
On Sunday, Argentina’s government announced it was postponing payment on any domestically-issued debt instruments denominated in foreign currencies. That means dollars, just not Eurobonds. At least not yet. In response, ratings agencies such as Fitch declared the maneuver a distressed debt exchange.In other words, technically a default.

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Rory Sutherland: How The Austrian Approach Helps Entrepreneurs Multiply Value

2020-04-09

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2020-04-09

Key Takeaways And Actionable Insights. In episode 60, we are joined by Rory Sutherland, Vice Chairman of Ogilvy, one of the world’s largest advertising and marketing agencies, one with a long tradition of customer insights. His latest book is titled Alchemy, which explores how a deep understanding of subjective value can lead to outstandingly effective creative marketing.

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FX Daily, April 8: Flavor of the Day: Consolidation

2020-04-08

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2020-04-08

Overview: Global equities are struggling after the S&P 500 staged a dramatic reversal yesterday. The early 3.5% gain was completely unwound and closed slightly lower.  With few exceptions (e.g., Japan and the Philippines), most equity markets in the Asia Pacific region and Europe are lower.

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Negativzinsen verursachen steigende Hypo-Zinsen – erst Recht zur „Corona-Unzeit“

2020-04-08

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2020-04-08

„Ich glaube, dass einige Kommentatoren die Strenge der eingeführten Massnahmen (Einführung der Negativzinsen, Anmerkung des Autors) noch nicht ganz begriffen haben (…).“

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Emergency funding made available for artists and designers

2020-04-08

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2020-04-08

People who work in the cultural sector in Switzerland can now apply for funds to cushion the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic. The Swiss government last month adopted a package of measures totalling CHF280 million ($287 million).

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Restricted Market Trading Comments

2020-04-08

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2020-04-08

With many markets still under lockdown and some going out on Easter holidays this week, we continue to see amended trading hours. The most notable change has been in India with a reduction in trading hours, while in Nigeria we saw a small amount of liquidity being released by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). Below are our updates for the week.

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Creating More Money Won’t Revive the Economy

2020-04-08

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2020-04-08

In response to the coronavirus, central banks worldwide are currently pumping massive amounts of money. This pumping, it is held, is going to arrest the negative economic side effects that the virus-related panic inflicts on economies. As appealing as it sounds we suggest that this view is erroneous.

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In March, US Deaths From COVID-19 Totaled Less Than 2 Percent of All Deaths

2020-04-08

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2020-04-08

All US Deaths vs. US Covid-19 Deaths, March
About 2.9 million people die in the United States each year from all causes. Monthly this total ranges from around 220,000 in the summertime to more than 280,000 in winter. In recent decades, flu season has often peaked sometime from January to March, and this is a major driver in total deaths. The average daily number of deaths from December through March is over eight thousand.

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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical set-up remains tilted in favour of bullish traders

2020-04-07

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2020-04-07

USD/CHF daily chart
USD/CHF traded with a positive bias for the sixth consecutive session on Monday. Bulls are likely to wait for a sustained move beyond the very important 200-DMA. The USD/CHF pair built on last week's goodish positive move of around 300 pips and continued gaining traction for the sixth straight session on Monday.

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Devisen: Eurokurs gibt leicht nach – Wenig verändert zum Franken

2020-04-07

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2020-04-07

Gegenüber dem Schweizer Franken notiert der Euro mit 1,0556 ebenfalls wenig verändert. Und der Dollar kostet 0,9777 Franken. Derweil interveniert die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) wohl weiterhin am Devisenmarkt. Denn die erneut kräftige Zunahme der Sichtguthaben - diese Woche um 6,7 Milliarden nach 11,7 Milliarden in der Vorwoche - deutet daraufhin, dass sich die SNB auch in der vergangenen Woche gegen die Aufwertung des Frankens gestemmt hat.

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Government urged to do more to help companies

2020-04-07

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2020-04-07

The Swiss government should scale up its efforts to help businesses overcome the coronavirus crisis, according to the director of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute. Transport companies are also calling for more assistance.

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Recession is unavoidable, reckon Swiss finance bosses

2020-04-07

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2020-04-07

The coronavirus pandemic has fundamentally changed the economic outlook for Switzerland within a very short period of time, with Swiss CFOs more pessimistic than ever before. Neither during the euro crisis nor during the Swiss franc shock were chief financial officers as negative about economic prospects as they are today, according to the latest half-yearly survey published on Monday by consultants Deloitte.

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