USD/CHF Asia Price Forecast: Greenback holds above 0.9700 vs. Swiss franc

USD/CHF fails to hold on to previous gains as broad weakness of the USD joins risk reshuffle. US-China trade optimism confronts Brexit risk while Japan’s data-dump joins China’s Industrial Production data. Swiss ZEW Survey, trade/political updates will be in the spotlight.

USD/CHF portrays buyers’ exhaustion despite the absence of losses since Tuesday. December month low will be the key to watch. USD/CHF trades mostly unchanged around 0.9730 while heading into the European session on Friday. The pair formed a Doji candlestick on the daily (D1) chart by Thursday’s end after recovering for the two consecutive prior days.

USD/CHF stays below the five-week-old falling trend line, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Bearish MACD increases the odds of the pair’s declines. Channel’s resistance, 50% Fibonacci retracement will question buyers during the recovery. USD/CHF registers modest changes while taking rounds to 0.9730 ahead of the European session on Monday.

EUR/CHF is trading at 33-month lows near 1.0759. The US added Switzerland to its current manipulators’ list. The SNB removed the cap on the euro on Jan. 15, 2015. Five years after the Swiss National Bank (SNB) shocked the financial markets by abandoning the euro cap, the Swiss Franc is trading at 33-month highs against the single currency. 

Being put on the currency manipulation watchlist by the United States will not change the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) monetary policy, SNB Governing Board member Andrea Maechler said on Wednesday, per Reuters.

USD/CHF created a strong bullish recovery while nearing the 2020 highs. The level to beat for bulls is the 0.9770 resistance.  USD/CHF is attempting to form a base near multi-month lows while trading below the main daily simple moving averages.

CHF struggles to find demand as a safe-haven on Friday. US Dollar Index pushes higher above the 98.50 mark. Nonfarm Payrolls in US is expected to come in at 160K in January. The USD/CHF pair closed the last four trading days in the positive territory and continued to edge higher on Friday to touch its best level since December 27th at 0.9772.

USD/CHF extends gradual declines from the monthly top marked the last-Monday. A descending trend line support, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement may offer intermediate rests during the downside. 0.9745/50 can act as a buffer resistance beyond 100-HMA.