Tag Archive: newsletter

Swiss private bank Pictet to drop fossil fuel investments

2020-02-18

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2020-02-18

Recently, the private bank Pictet, based in Geneva, announced plans to eliminate all of its investments in companies actively associated with the production and extraction of fossil fuels, according to a press release.

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European Data: Much More In Store For Number Four

2020-02-18

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2020-02-18

European Economy, 2016-2019
It’s just Germany. It’s just industry. The excuses pile up as long as the downturn. Over across the Atlantic the situation has only now become truly serious. The European part of this globally synchronized downturn is already two years long and just recently is it becoming too much for the catcalls to ignore. Central bankers are trying their best to, obviously, but the numbers just aren’t stacking up their way.

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Three Reasons Why Decentralization and Secession Lead to More Open Economies

2020-02-18

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2020-02-18

When we hear of political movements in favor of decentralization and secession, the word "nationalist" is often used to describe them. We have seen the word used in both Scottish and Catalonian secession movement, and in the case of Brexit. Sometimes the term is intended to be pejorative. But not always.

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The Secret to Fun and Easy Stock Market Riches

2020-02-18

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2020-02-18

Post Hoc Fallacy. On Tuesday, at the precise moment Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell commenced delivering his semiannual monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee, something unpleasant happened. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) didn’t go up. Rather, it went down.

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US Sales and Production Remain Virus-Free, But Still Aren’t Headwind-Free

2020-02-18

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2020-02-18

Retail Sales, NSA 2005-2020
The lull in US consumer spending on goods has reached a fifth month. The annual comparisons aren’t good, yet they somewhat mask the more recent problems appearing in the figures. According to the Census Bureau, total retail sales in January rose 4.58% year-over-year (unadjusted). Not a good number, but better, seemingly, than early on in 2019 when the series was putting out 3s and 2s.

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Widening Bid-Ask Spreads, Gold and Silver Market Report 17 February

2020-02-17

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2020-02-17

Gold Term Structure
The price of gold rose $14 and the price of silver fell $0.07. The gold-silver ratio rose further with this price action. Welcome to our new Gold and Silver Market Report, or “Market Report” for short. We are separating this from the economics essay, which was attached for many years. As they used to say in many toy commercials of yore, “batteries sold separately”—or in this case essays.

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FX Daily, February 17: Dismal Q4 Japanese GDP Fails to Spur Yen Movement

2020-02-17

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2020-02-17

Overview: It is only a US holiday today, but the global capital markets are subdued. In the Asia-Pacific region, equities traded lower with China and Hong Kong, the main advancers. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has fallen in only two weeks since the end of last November, and that was during the last two weeks of January. Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 slipped in the previous two sessions but is recouping the losses fully today.

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Drivers for the Week Ahead

2020-02-17

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2020-02-17

We get the first February data from the US manufacturing sector this week; the US economy remains strong; FOMC minutes will be released Wednesday. Canada reports some key data this week. Preliminary eurozone February PMI readings will be reported Friday; UK has a busy data week.

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Swiss environmental agency sets no date for 5G launch

2020-02-17

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2020-02-17

Earlier this week, Switzerland’s Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN) announced it had contacted the cantons at the end of January 2020, informing them it had not set a date for switching on 5G networks. However, mobile networks plan to continue installing 5G equipment after rolling out more than 2,000 antenna last year – a map showing where the new antenna are can be viewed here.

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Ein rationaler Erklärungsansatz für negative Zinsen

2020-02-17

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2020-02-17

In einem Beitrag auf LinkedIn am 29. Dezember 2019 wirft Prof. Erwin Heri von der Universität Basel in die Runde, dass negative (Real-)Zinsen möglicherweise vernünftig sind. Sie wären das natürliche Ergebnis der Präferenzen der Wirtschaftssubjekte – und nicht primär das Ergebnis einer Manipulation von Zentralbanken.

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Ex-cabinet members had knowledge of Crypto business dealings, say papers

2020-02-17

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2020-02-17

The Crypto leaks scandal continues to shake the Swiss political establishment. The Sunday papers report that some former federal ministers and parliamentarians had ties with the Swiss firm that helped the CIA and German intelligence listen to conversations of foreign powers for decades.

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The Fed Has Created a Monster Bubble It Can No Longer Control

2020-02-17

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2020-02-17

S&P 500 Large Cap Index, 2003-2020
The Fed must now accept responsibility for what happens in the end-game of the Moral-Hazard Monster Bubble it created. Contrary to popular opinion, the Federal Reserve didn't set out to create a Monster Bubble that has escaped its control. 

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Switzerland most expensive country in 2020

2020-02-16

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2020-02-16

It will come as little surprise to many that Switzerland has been ranked the world’s most expensive country. Put together by the magazine CEO World, the ranking pulls cost of living data on accommodation, clothing, taxi fares, utilities, internet, groceries, transport, and dining out, from a number of other studies.

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Swiss worry about online data protection, want increased regulation

2020-02-16

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2020-02-16

A survey on digitalisation released this week shows people’s greatest concern revolves around the fate of their personal data, though just as many believe new technologies hold great promise, especially in the areas of medicine, education and smart cities

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“ECB Is Worst-Run Central Bank In The World” – Felix Zulauf Sees 30percent Plunge In US Stocks “Taking The World With It”

2020-02-16

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2020-02-16

Felix Zulauf was a member of the Barron’s Roundtable for about 30 years, until relinquishing his seat at our annual investment gathering in 2017. While his predictions were more right than wrong, it was the breadth of his knowledge and the depth of his analysis of global markets that won him devoted fans among his Roundtable peers, the crew at Barron’s, and beyond.

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Government “Fixes” for the Trade Balance Are Far Worse Than Any Trade Deficit

2020-02-16

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2020-02-16

US Trade Balance, 2000-2019
In December 2019, the US trade account balance stood at a deficit of $48.9 billion, against a deficit of $43.7 billion in November and $60.8 billion in December 2018. Most commentators consider the trade account balance the single most important piece of information about the health of the economy. According to the widely accepted view, a surplus on the trade account is considered a positive development while a deficit is perceived negatively....

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Rothbard: The Constitution Was a Coup d’État

2020-02-16

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2020-02-16

[Conceived in Liberty: The New Republic, 1784–1791. By Murray N. Rothbard. Edited by Patrick Newman. Mises Institute, 2019. 332 pages.] We owe Patrick Newman a great debt for his enterprise and editorial skill in bringing to publication the fifth volume, hitherto thought lost, of Murray Rothbard’s Conceived in Liberty.

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Devisen: Euro stabilisiert sich nach neuem Tief seit fast drei Jahren

2020-02-15

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2020-02-15

Derweil hält die Schwäche des Euro zum Franken weiter an. Aktuell notiert der Euro zwar mit 1,0634 wieder etwas höher als am frühen Morgen, als die Einheitswährung bei 1,0609 das Tagestief erreicht hatte. Unterhalb von 1,06 Franken hat die Gemeinschaftswährung letztmals im Sommer 2015 notiert. Der Dollar kostet aktuell etwas mehr mit 0,9807 Franken.

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Clariant to cut up to 600 jobs as profit falls

2020-02-15

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2020-02-15

The Swiss specialty chemicals firm Clariant says it will cut up to 600 jobs to save money after a drop in profit in 2019. The firm expects the slow economic situation this year to continue to affect demand. “For 2020, given the current sluggish economic environment and continued adverse foreign exchange conditions, growth will be more limited and additional efficiency measures have been defined for each of the businesses to support the margin...

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A Pharmaceutical Stock That Is Often Particularly Strong At This Time Of The Year

2020-02-15

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2020-02-15

Novo Nordisk, seasonal pattern over the past 10 years
An Example of Strong Single Stock Seasonality. Many individual stocks exhibits phases of seasonal strength. Being invested in these phases is therefore an especially promising strategy. Danish drug company Novo Nordisk.

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