Tag Archive: newsletter

Restricted Market Trading Comments

2020-04-30

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2020-04-30

By Dara O’Sullivan, Derrick Leonard, and Ilan Solot. As the week commences, a few markets such as Sri Lanka and Philippines are extending their lockdown periods while others such as Nigeria and Kenya continue to experience USD liquidity issues. Please see comments below.

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Dusty Wunderlich on FinTech Financing: Entrepreneurs Helping Entrepreneurs

2020-04-30

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2020-04-30

Fintech Ecosystem
Key Takeaways and Actionable Insights. Consider these findings from a 2017 report from the G20 Global Partnership For Financial Inclusion, titled Alternative Data: Transforming SME Finance.

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The Fed Has Gone Nuts. And It Can Get Worse.

2020-04-30

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2020-04-30

With its $700 billion bond-buying expansion in response to the COVID crisis, the Federal Reserve has thrust itself into the limelight. Like a sixteen-year-old with a credit card, the Fed is salivating over what money-printing powers it shall seize next. How is the prudent investor to respond?

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FX Daily, April 29: Heavy Dollar amid Month-End Pressure

2020-04-29

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2020-04-29

Overview: The dollar is lower across the board as dealers attribute the selling to month-end pressures ahead of the FOMC today and ECB tomorrow and long-holiday weekend for many. Japan's Golden Week holiday has already begun. Despite the loss in US equities yesterday, despite the higher opening, it has not spilled over, as Alphabet earnings helped lift sentiment.

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Stockpiling – a Swiss civic duty

2020-04-29

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2020-04-29

During the coronavirus pandemic, panic buying has not been too problematic in Switzerland. But in previous global crises the Swiss tended to rush to the shops to stock up. Encouraged by the authorities, keeping emergency supplies remains a well-ingrained tradition for Swiss citizens.

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With Superfluous Demand in Free-Fall, What’s the Upside of Re-Opening a Small Business?

2020-04-29

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2020-04-29

Since superfluous demand was the core driver of most consumer spending, and that demand is in free-fall, what's the upside of re-opening? The mainstream view assumes everyone will be gripped by an absolutely rabid desire to return to their pre-pandemic frenzy of borrowing and spending and consuming, the more the better. 

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The Puppet Show Is Powerful

2020-04-29

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2020-04-29

I never said it wasn’t powerful. What I continue to show is that it doesn’t work. Ben Bernanke kept his job because despite the carnage, in times of turmoil people are willing to give anyone a second chance. And if the turmoil never ends, so much the luckier – for him. 

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New York vs Texas: NY Has Nearly 50 Times More COVID-19 Deaths Per Capita

2020-04-29

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2020-04-29

Share of COVID-19 Deaths in US
As of April 26, there were nearly 55,000 COVID-19 deaths reported in the United States. Of those, more than 22,000 (or about 40 percent) were in the state of New York alone. New Jersey was in second place, with nearly 5,900 COVID-19 deaths reported.

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COVID-19 Is Teaching Us Decentralization Is Needed More Now Than Ever

2020-04-29

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2020-04-29

In the increasingly polarized America, Black Swan moments like the COVID-19 pandemic have further confirmed growing divides in the country. Our textbooks would like us to believe that emergencies create fertile grounds for unity. But when you have a populace that is politically dividing itself even when it comes to the TV shows it watches, there comes a point when we have to start recognizing that the prospect of national unity is becoming more of...

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FX Daily, April 28: Oil’s Slides before Steadying, while Easing of Lockdowns Support Risk-Taking

2020-04-28

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2020-04-28

Overview: Equities are building on yesterday's gains.  The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 2% yesterday and edged higher today. Shanghai and Austalia stand out as exceptions.   In Europe, the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is extending yesterday's 1.8% gain to reach its best level since March 11. Today would be the fourth advance in the past five sessions. US shares are firmer.

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Dollar Remains Under Pressure as Risk-on Sentiment Persists

2020-04-28

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2020-04-28

The death toll from the virus continues to trend lower in Europe and the US; the dollar remains under some pressure. The Fed announced an expansion of its Municipal Liquidity Facility (MLF); regional Fed manufacturing surveys for April continue to roll out; other data will be reported.

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SNB appoints new delegate Fabian Schnell for regional economic relations for Zurich region

2020-04-28

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2020-04-28

With effect from 1 May 2020, Fabian Schnell will assume the function of Swiss National Bank (SNB) delegate for regional economic relations for the Zurich region. He succeeds Rita Kobel Rohr, who is taking on a new position at the SNB’s General Secretariat on 1 July 2020.

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Coronavirus: 5.5 percent of Geneva might be infected, according to antibody study

2020-04-28

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2020-04-28

A study done by researchers at Geneva’s HUG hospital suggests a Covid-19 infection rate of 5.5% across the canton of Geneva. Antibody blood tests, run on a randomly selected sample of the canton’s population, suggest around 27,000 might have been infected by the virus, a number 5.7 times the official count of 4,733 recorded on 24 April 2020.

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The Crash Has Only Just Begun

2020-04-28

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2020-04-28

Everything, including a rational, connected-to-reality, effective financial system, is on back-order and unlikely to ship any time soon. While the stock market euphorically front-runs the Fed and a V-shaped recovery, the reality is the crash has only just begun.

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It’s Only Paper, Market Report 27 Apr

2020-04-28

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2020-04-28

The response to the virus has added a new mechanism of capital consumption to the many we have documented over the years. Businesses are shut down, yet they continue to incur expenses. There is a popular misconception out there that this is merely a paper loss. One can almost picture a neutron bomb that somehow wipes out only paper, leaving all the physical assets and plant unscathed.

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The Current Crisis Has Its Roots in the Central Bank

2020-04-28

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2020-04-28

Corporate Profits from Q1:2017
We have been locked down for weeks. Classes have been canceled. Only essential activities are allowed. Although there is much to cover and analyze, I want to focus on the economics of the situation. To understate it, the situation today is simply not good. The COVID-19 crisis has caused the world to lock down the population, which essentially ceased most commerce.

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Reich werden und bleiben – Interview mit Dr. Dr. Rainer Zitelmann

2020-04-27

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Die Webseite zum Buch - http://www.reichwerdenundbleiben.net/ Folgen Sie mir auf Twitter - https://mobile.twitter.com/rzitelmann Folgen Sie mir auf Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/r.zitelmann/ Lesen Sie meine Beiträge auf Forbes.com - https://www.forbes.com/sites/rainerzitelmann/ Meine Homepage - http://www.rainer-zitelmann.de/

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Coronavirus exit plans for tourist industry mooted

2020-04-27

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2020-04-27

Hopes have been raised of a re-opening of tourist facilities, including restaurants, in Switzerland in June as part of the government’s exit strategy from the coronavirus restrictions.

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FX Daily, April 27: Equities Rally and the Dollar Eases to Start the Week

2020-04-27

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2020-04-27

Overview: Global equities are beginning the new week on an upbeat note.  All the markets in the Asia Pacific region rallied, led by more than 2% gains in the Nikkei and Taiwan.  European bourses are higher.  All the industry groups are participating and financials and consumer discretionary leading the way. 

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Former UBS boss Marcel Ospel dies aged 70

2020-04-27

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2020-04-27

Ospel, who was ousted from his job as chairman of UBS in 2008 after fallout from the US subprime mortgage crisis, passed away on Sunday due to cancer. Born in Basel in 1950, Ospel began his career in 1977 with the Swiss Bank Corporation, an investment bank, before later engineering its merger with UBS in 1998.

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