Tag Archive: newsletter

Where the Rubber Meets the Road

2020-05-07

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2020-05-07

Longtime correspondent Paul B. suggested I re-publish three essays that have renewed relevance. This is the second essay, from July 2008. Thank you, Paul, for the suggestion. I received this timely inquiry from astute reader Paul B.: I'm interested in # 1, while you seem to take into account 300 million people in your writings--would you comment on rubber-meets-the-road impacts and proactive actions we can take to help shield ourselves (and our...

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Money Creation – Not Low Interest Rates – Is Behind the Boom-Bust Cycle

2020-05-07

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2020-05-07

Effective Federal Funds Rate/M2 Money Stock
In a recent article entitled “Where Are All the Austrian Scholars' Yachts?” John Tamny has criticized Austrian economists, and Mark Thornton in particular, for their skepticism regarding the relatively “ebullient stock market” in the midst of the pandemic. Mark Thornton responded to Tamny’s main argument in an earlier post. In this post, I will address two serious errors that underlie Tamny’s argument. 

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FX Daily, May 6: The Euro is Knocked Back Further

2020-05-06

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2020-05-06

Overview:  The late sell-off in US stocks yesterday has not prevented gains in Asia and Europe.   Most of the equity markets, including the re-opening of China, gain more than 1%.  Australia was a notable exception, falling about 0.4%, and Taiwan was virtually flat.  European bourses opened higher but made little headway before some profit-taking set in, while US shares are trading higher. 

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Students’ finances affected by coronavirus lockdown 

2020-05-06

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2020-05-06

Most Swiss students rely on part-time jobs during their studies, but the shutting of restaurants, bars, cinemas and gyms during the coronavirus pandemic has led to many of them losing a source of income. Around three quarters of students have a part-time job during their studies, with around half of them working on average two days a week, according to the Federal Statistical Office’s last figures.

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How Swiss cobalt traders are trying to prevent child labour

2020-05-06

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2020-05-06

Swiss cobalt traders Glencore and Trafigura deal very differently with small-scale miners in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), many of whom are children. Eight kilograms of cobalt are needed for every electric car battery. More than 70% of the increasingly sought-after metal is mined in the southeast of the DRC. But most of the miners are not employed by mining companies.

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Restricted Market Trading Comments

2020-05-06

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2020-05-06

Covid-19 related measures for restricted markets remain largely unchanged from last week. Sri Lanka and India have extended their lockdown periods, while Kenya and Nigeria continue to face limited liquidity.

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The Art of Survival, Taoism and the Warring States

2020-05-06

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2020-05-06

Longtime correspondent Paul B. suggested I re-publish three essays that have renewed relevance. This is the first essay, from June 2008. Thank you, Paul, for the suggestion. I'm not trying to be difficult, but I can't help cutting against the grain on topics like surviving the coming bad times when my experience runs counter to the standard received wisdom.

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Politicians Have Destroyed Markets and Ignored Human Rights with Alarming Enthusiasm

2020-05-06

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2020-05-06

An economic cataclysm has been unleashed upon the world by Western politicians and bureaucrats. Unbelievably, economic activity in the West has slowed to a creep, as entire populations have been confined to their homes for weeks, if not months. As a result, millions have had their lives turned upside down. Most entrepreneurs and self-employed persons have had their livelihoods jeopardized.

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FX Daily, May 5: German Court Adds to the Euro’s Woes

2020-05-05

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2020-05-05

Overview: The S&P 500 recovered yesterday after dipping trading below the 20-day moving average for the first time in a month.  The key area is the gap between the April 30 low (~2892.5) and the May 1 high (~2869). Oil reversed higher as well. June crude was off nearly 9% in the US morning and closed 7% higher on the day and above $21 for the first time since April 21, the day of negative oil prices.

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Swiss Consumer Price Index in April 2020: -1.1 percent YoY, -0.4 percent MoM

2020-05-05

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2020-05-05

Switzerland Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY, April 2020
05.05.2020 - The consumer price index (CPI) fell by 0.4% in April 2020 compared with the previous month, reaching 101.3 points (December 2015 = 100). Inflation was –1.1% compared with the same month of the previous year.

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FINMA eröffnet Anhörung zur Teilrevision des Rundschreibens “Liquiditätsrisiken Banken”

2020-05-05

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2020-05-05

Der Bundesrat hat im November 2019 die Einführung der Finanzierungsquote für Banken (Net Stable Funding Ratio, NSFR) beschlossen. Dies macht kleine Anpassungen des FINMA-Rundschreibens „Liquiditätsrisiken – Banken“ notwendig. Dazu eröffnet die FINMA eine Anhörung, die bis am 13. Juli 2020 läuft.

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Global associations call for more flights to transport mail

2020-05-05

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2020-05-05

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) and the Universal Postal Union (UPU) have asked governments to increase air capacity for postal services.  A 95% decrease in passenger flights coupled with an almost 30% increase in online purchasing is putting pressure on postal services delivering international mail, the UPU and IATA said in a statement on Monday.  They warned that air capacity for postal services is insufficient to meet demand.

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New Month, New Trends?

2020-05-05

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2020-05-05

The dollar fell against all the major currencies and most of the emerging market currencies last week. The Dollar Index fell by 1.3%, the biggest loss since the last week of March, and posted its lowest close in nearly three weeks ahead of the weekend. There seemed to be a change in the market after key equity benchmarks, like the MSCI ACWI Index of both emerging and developed markets put in a recovery high in the middle of last week.

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Gold and Silver Markets Start to Normalize, Report 4 May

2020-05-05

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2020-05-05

Gold Basis and Co-basis and the Dollar Price
The price of gold dropped $29 and the price of silver dropped $0.27. We’ll get back to where we think the prices are likely to go in a bit. In recent Reports, we’ve looked at the elevated bid-ask spread in gold (though not nearly as elevated as some goldbugs would have you believe) and the elevated gold basis.

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Hard talk with Václav Klaus: “The people should say NO to all of it.”

2020-05-05

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2020-05-05

As we get deeper into this crisis and we get used to our “new normal”, it’s easy to focus on the daily corona-horror stories in the media or the latest shocking unemployment numbers, and lose track of the bigger picture and of what is really, fundamentally important. Even as the lockdown measures begin to get phased out, the scale of the economic damage is unimaginable and the idea of returning to “business as usual” is no longer tenable.

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Beim Reselling auf Waren sitzen bleiben ??

2020-05-05

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2020-05-05

Ich möchte euch heute erklären, was ich mache, wenn ich Waren nicht verkaufen kann und diese im Lager hängen bleiben. Wie du da vorgehen kannst, um dieses Risiko vermeidest, zeige ich euch in diesem Beitrag. Reselling Risiko – Auf Waren sitzen bleibenWenn Waren sitzen bleiben, steckt Kapital fest, das eigentlich Gewinne machen könnte. Das ist ja das große Problem im Reselling.

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FX Daily, May 4: Monday Blues

2020-05-04

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2020-05-04

Overview:  The constructive mood among investors in April has given way to new concerns as May gets underway.  Japan and China are still on holiday, but most of the other markets in Asia fell, led by 4.5%-5.5% declines in Hong Kong and India, and more than 2% in most other local markets.  Australia bucked the trend a gained 1.4% after shedding 5% before the weekend. 

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United States regulator approves Roche’s Covid-19 antibody test

2020-05-04

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2020-05-04

The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has given emergency approval for use of the serological test developed by Swiss pharmaceutical giant Roche, the company announced on Sunday. The test is designed to determine whether a person has been exposed to the new coronavirus and developed antibodies against the disease.

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Why Assets Will Crash

2020-05-04

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2020-05-04

US Population
This is how it happens that boats that were once worth tens of thousands of dollars are set adrift by owners who can no longer afford to pay slip fees. The increasing concentration of the ownership of wealth/assets in the top 10% has an under-appreciated consequence: when only the top 10% can afford to buy assets, that unleashes an almost karmic payback for the narrowing of ownership, a.k.a. soaring wealth and income inequality: assets crash.

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Decades of Productivity Gains Have Made Our Debt Bomb Manageable (For Now)

2020-05-04

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2020-05-04

Listen to the Audio Mises Wire version of this article. Listening to the news, you might have the impression that its Christmas and the government is Santa Claus. Under legislation recently introduced in Congress, Americans over the age of sixteen would receive $2,000 per month for at least six months. This follows the government’s $1200 giveaway in progress.

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