Tag Archive: newsletter

We’re Overdue for a Sell-Everything/No-Fed-Rescue Recession

2019-02-12

by

2019-02-12

Federal government 2005-2015
We're way overdue for a sell-everything recession, one that the Fed will only make worse by pursuing its usual policies of lowering interest rates and goosing easy money. As I noted last week, central banks, like generals, always fight the last war--until the war is lost. 

Read More »

Large Gold Bullion Shipment Moves From London to Dublin Gold Vaults As Brexit Concerns Deepen

2019-02-12

by

2019-02-12

-Large Gold Bullion Shipment Moves From London to Dublin Gold Vaults As Brexit Concerns Deepen. – Growing demand from investors to relocate tangible assets out of the UK. – “Zurich continues to be the most sought-after location for storage, but Dublin has already surpassed Hong Kong and will likely usurp the second spot from London”.

Read More »

What They Don’t Want You to Know about Prices, Report 10 Feb

2019-02-11

by

2019-02-11

Gold and Silver Price
Last week, in part I of this essay, we discussed why a central planner cannot know the right interest rate. Central planner’s macroeconomic aggregate measures like GDP are blind to the problem of capital consumption, including especially capital consumption caused by the central plan itself.

Read More »

FX Daily, February 11: Dollar Starts New Week on Firm Note

2019-02-11

by

2019-02-11

Lifted by the re-opening of Chinese markets after the week-long Lunar New Year holiday, global equities are trading firmer. Outside of Japanese markets that were closed, the large markets in Asia--China, Taiwan, South Korea, and Hong Kong advanced.

Read More »

Swiss Consumer Price Index in January 2019: +0.6 percent YoY, -0.3 percent MoM

2019-02-11

by

2019-02-11

Switzerland Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY, January 2018
The consumer price index (CPI) fell by 0.3% in January 2019 compared with the previous month, reach-ing 101.3 points (December 2015 = 100). Inflation was 0.6% compared with the same month of the pre-vious year. These are the results of the Federal Statistical Office (FSO).

Read More »

FX Weekly Preview: Little Resolution in the Week Ahead

2019-02-11

by

2019-02-11

According to legend, the person who unraveled the Gordian Knot would rule the world. No one succeeded until Alexandar the Great took his mighty sword and sliced the knot in half. A young boy saw him afterward, crying on the steps of the Temple of Apollo. "Why are you crying?" the boy asked, "you just conquered the world. "Yes'" Alexander wept, " now there is nothing else for me to do."

Read More »

Train delay data queries image of Swiss railways

2019-02-11

by

2019-02-11

Trains operated by the state-owned Swiss national railway operator are less punctual than company statistics make believe. A private website, launched in 2017 and compiled from data provided by the transport ministry, found that on average one in six intercity trains – or just under 84% - operated by the Federal Railways is late. That is, it arrives at its destination with a delay of at least three minutes.

Read More »

2019: The Three Trends That Matter

2019-02-11

by

2019-02-11

Look no further than Brexit in Britain, the yellow vests in France and the Deplorables in the U.S. for manifestations of a broken social contract and decaying social order. Among the many trends currently in play, Gordon Long and I discuss three that will matter as 2019 progresses: 2019 Themes (56 minutes).

Read More »

Telecoms firms awarded 5G mobile frequencies

2019-02-10

by

2019-02-10

The Swiss government has raised CHF380 million ($379 million) from auctioning fifth-generation (5G) mobile radio frequencies, it said on Friday. The three Swiss main providers, Swisscom, Sunrise Communications and privately owned Salt, each received part of the spectrum after newcomer Dense Air dropped out of the bidding.

Read More »

Swiss start-ups to benefit from multi-million fund

2019-02-10

by

2019-02-10

Start-ups and innovative small and medium-sized businesses are to be encouraged to stay in Switzerland thanks to a new fund of up to CHF500 million ($499 million). The initiative, from Swiss Entrepreneurs Foundation (SwissEF) and launched on Thursday, has the backing of some heavy hitters in the business world, including insurer Mobiliar and banks UBS and Credit Suisse.

Read More »

Brace for Impact

2019-02-10

by

2019-02-10

Spending by the top 5% pulls away from the 95%
As credit-asset bubbles pop, the dominoes start falling. The economy is far more precarious than the surface boom/bubble suggests. A great many households, enterprises and municipalities are in overloaded boats whose gunwales are just a few inches above the water; the slightest wave will swamp and sink them.

Read More »

Cool Video: Noise or Signal?

2019-02-10

by

2019-02-10

From the second half of last week through the first half of this week, the S&P 500 rallied.  It surpassed our target of 2700 and made it to almost 2740, retracing more nearly 2/3 of the decline from the record high set last September. It stalled ahead of the 200-day moving average, which had previously offered support declines. 

Read More »

Sunrise confirms talks to buy Liberty Global’s Swiss unit

2019-02-09

by

2019-02-09

Switzerland’s Sunrise Communications Group has confirmed it is in talks to buy Liberty Global’s cable operator UPC Switzerland. The company said in a statement on Tuesday: “Sunrise confirms it is in discussions with Liberty Global regarding a possible acquisition of UPC Schweiz. Sunrise will only pursue a transaction that is strategically compelling and demonstrably value creative for its shareholders.”

Read More »

More Of What Was Behind December, And Not Just December

2019-02-09

by

2019-02-09

Rational Expectations
As more and more data rolls in even in this delayed fashion, the more what happened to end last year makes sense. The Census Bureau updated today its statistics for US trade in November 2018. Heading into the crucial month of December, these new figures suggest a big setback in the global economy that is almost certainly the reason markets became so chaotic.

Read More »

Monetary Metals Leases Gold to Quantum Metal

2019-02-08

by

2019-02-08

Offers for Quantum Metal
Scottsdale, Ariz, February 8, 2019—Monetary Metals® announces that it has leased gold to Quantum Metal, to support the growth of its business of selling gold through retail banks. Investors earn 4.5% on their gold, which is held as Perth Mint minted gold bars in inventory. Monetary Metals has a disruptive model, leasing gold from investors who own it and subleasing it to businesses who need it, typically for inventory or work-in-progress.

Read More »

FX Daily, February 08: Dollar Index Seven-Day Advance is the Longest in Two Years

2019-02-08

by

2019-02-08

Overview:  As North American traders return to their posts to put the finishing touches on the week's activity, the Dollar Index is extending its advance for a seventh consecutive session.  If sustained, it will be the longest advance since February 2017. 

Read More »

Albert Edwards: Investors Should Brace For A World Of Negative Rates, 15percent Budget Deficits And Helicopter Money

2019-02-08

by

2019-02-08

Modern Money Theory, Jan 2004 - 2019
Eariler this week, when the San Fran Fed published a paper that suggested that the recovery would have been stronger if only the Fed had cut rates to negative, we proposed that this is nothing more than a trial balloon for the next recession/depression, one in which the Federal Reserve will seek affirmative "empirical evidence" that greenlights this unprecedented NIRPy step (in addition to QE of course).

Read More »

Over 18 million unsolicited calls made every month in Switzerland

2019-02-08

by

2019-02-08

According to a consumer group, over 18 million unsolicited telephone calls are made every month in Switzerland. The SKS consumer group for German-speaking regions has addressed the problem of unsolicited phone calls in a letter sent to a Swiss parliamentary commission discussing the revision of the Swiss telecommunications law. A copy of the letter was recently published in Tamedia newspapers.

Read More »

Lost In Translation

2019-02-08

by

2019-02-08

Japan - JGB's 2016-2019
Since I don’t speak Japanese, I’m left to wonder if there is an intent to embellish the translation. Whoever is responsible for writing in English what is written by the Bank of Japan in Japanese, they are at times surely seeking out attention. However its monetary policy may be described in the original language, for us it has become so very clownish.

Read More »

LIBOR Was Expected To Drop. It Dropped. What Might This Mean?

2019-02-08

by

2019-02-08

Money Markets Equivalents 2007
Everyone hates LIBOR, until it does something interesting. It used to be the most boring interest rate in the world. When it was that, it was also the most important. Though it followed along federal funds this was only because of the arb between onshore (NYC) and offshore (mainly London, sometimes Caymans) conducted by banks between themselves and their subs (whichever was located where).

Read More »