Tag Archive: Switzerland KOF Economic Barometer

Fundamentals,FX,Gold and CHF: Week October 28 to November 3

2013-11-02

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2013-11-02

New Car Sales: Europe vs USA
This week had a focus on – due to the government shut-down – the long awaited U.S. data: Highest importance: The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) for October came in at 56.4, higher than the 55 expected. The value for new orders and for production remained above 60 despite the government shutdown. The value …

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Fast CHF and Gold Price Movements

2013-11-01

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2013-11-01

Our CHF and Gold News Bar on our home page explains daily CHF and gold price movements based on the most important fundamental indicators in a few sentences. Keep in mind that the only Swiss fundamental data that is able to move the CHF must come from the SNB and from Swiss inflation data – … Continue reading »

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Swiss Economic Indicators, March 2013

2013-03-27

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2013-03-27

GDP KOF Wages CPI PPI Trade Balance Consumption SECO Industrial Production Construction
  Switzerland continues to see a robust economy, even if the leading KOF indicator fell to 0.99 after highs of 1.68 in September. On other side, real and nominal wages continue to increase. As opposed to the KOF value, the UBS consumption indicator is rising. This shows that the internal economy is able to balance … Continue...

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The history of wrong forecasts by Swiss economists: details

2013-01-13

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2013-01-13

SECO Estimates for 2009 2010
Or how to talk down an economy with wrong forecasts Read the introductory post here, if you haven’t yet. Details of SECO forecasts   In the following we give the details about the SECO, the Swiss government economic agency’s, forecasts.   Forecast Q1/2009 Sharp recession in 2009, gradual stabilization in 2010 Bern, 17.03.2009 – Economic …

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Swiss and German Economic Indicators, Update November 1

2012-11-01

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2012-11-01

Swiss & German Economic Indicators, August 2012
Euro Crisis Has Affected Germany, Switzerland Still Immune    Most Recent Events The Swiss SVME PMI has risen from 43.9 to 46.1. This PMI  is dominated by machinery, metallurgical and electric equipment exporters organized in the Swissmem organization. As opposed to the chemical industry, they were not innovative enough to adapt to the stronger franc; but …

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Euro Crisis Has Affected Germany, Switzerland Still Immune

2012-10-26

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2012-10-26

Swiss & German Economic Indicators, August 2012
Swiss and German Economic Indicators, October 2012   Both Swiss and German economic indicators show continued signs of stability, but the German situation has become worse and might affect the Swiss. Especially low unemployment, rising real wages and strong trade balances are signs of robustness. Despite that, Germany’s industrial production is weaker than last year, …

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Economic Indicators: In Switzerland and Germany the Euro Crisis Seems to Be Far Away

2012-08-29

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2012-08-29

Swiss & German Economic Indicators, August 2012
 Swiss vs. German Economic Indicators, August 2012        Both Swiss and German economic indicators show continued signs of stability. Especially low unemployment, good retail sales and strong trade balances are signs of robustness. The German trade surplus has improved compared to last year, whereas the strong franc harmed the Swiss trade surplus just a bit. …

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The Swiss National Bank and the EUR/CHF floor have become a political football

2012-06-10

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2012-06-10

Adsense inside posts
  How the SNB Chairman Jordan has invited hedge funds and smart investors to a risk-free, high-return guaranteed investment in Swiss francs A wrap-up of Swiss newspapers for non-German literates In parallel to the start of the UEFA Euro 2012, the Swiss National Bank and its policy towards the EUR/CHF exchange rate has become a political …

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EUR/CHF, A History of Interventions: May 2012

2012-05-31

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2012-05-31

5-24 eurchf
FT A Wee Bit Late To The Party… Notices Europeans have been buying Swiss francs and dollars. Who knew? By Jamie Coleman  || May 30, 2012 at 19:43 GMT AUD/USD, NZD/USD Dragged Higher As EUR Recovers As Gerry mentioned earlier, the talk of a rescue fund for EZ banks seems to have set off some short covering … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF, A History, Market Betting on Floor Hike: January 2012

2012-01-31

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2012-01-31

eurchf 3 minutes
1.2034 The EUR/CHF Low As Risk-Off Resumes   1.2025 barrier supposedly in play while the 1.2000 peg below will act as a magnet if broken. There is something about the forex mindset that prompts markets to reach out and touch things that are not meant to be touched. EUR/US fell to 1.3063, triggering a few … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF, A History, Market Betting on Floor Hike: November 2011

2011-11-30

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2011-11-30

eurchf
Rumour Of A Softer KOF Swiss Leading Indicator… Expected  0.63 vs previous 0.80, but the number now being touted is 0.35 EUR/CHF is getting a leg up on this around 1.2283 now from  1.2260 earlier By Pete Jackson  || November 30, 2011 at 10:21 GMT Large Corporate Bids In EUR/CHF…. At 1.2250  I’m told  it relates to … Continue reading...

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EUR/CHF: A History of Interventions: September 2011: The Floor Introduction

2011-09-30

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2011-09-30

eurchf daily sept6
SNB Spotted In The Cross Today… Traders say the SNB was seen on the bid in lumpy size on the quick slide toward 1.2120 shortly after the open of US equity cash markets at 13:30. We’ve quickly bounced to 1.2170. By Jamie Coleman  || September 30, 2011 at 14:20 GMT Category: All, Americas, Mkt Talk, Regions || Tags: EUR/CHF || 0 comments || Add …

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EUR/CHF: A History of Interventions: August 2011: the Top

2011-08-31

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2011-08-31

8-16 gbp
  EUR/CHF Kicked Lower Again Hitting a new low this week of  1.1545 and is  down over 300 pips on the day. The moved largely initiated by a major swiss name earlier apparently in conjunction with a hedge fund. Comments from the Swiss Econ Min over the last hour hardly helping matters, after the govt aid package … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): July 2011

2011-07-31

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2011-07-31

ForexLive Asian Market Open EUR/USD is trading around 1.4390 and USD/JPY is at 77.20 as the market awaits the latest developments out of Washington. Risk pairs like EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF are likely to be whippy this morning as the headlines hit the newswires. Good luck out there. By Sean Lee  || July 31, 2011 at 20:49 … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): June 2011

2011-06-30

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2011-06-30

6-14 eurchf
Specs Scrambling For Cover In EUR/CHF The Armageddon trade is being taken off in dramatic size in thin-month-end markets, driving EUR/CHF above 1.2200. USD/CHF is nearing resistance at 0.8440. Traders not talk of significant interest from real money accounts to buy both USD/CHF and USD/JPY at the fixing at 15:00 GMT. The danger now is … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): March 2011

2011-03-31

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2011-03-31

3-18 eurchf
March 2011 Swiss KOF Leading Growth Indicator 2.24 In March Up from revised 2.19 in February (initial 2.18.) Stronger than median forecast of 2.15. Bit of a surprise.  EUR/CHF lower, presently at 1.2978. By Gerry Davies  || March 30, 2011 at 09:39 GMT EUR/USD: Look To The Crosses For Guidance EUR/JPY has made a significant move … Continue reading...

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): February 2011

2011-02-28

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2011-02-28

2-2 eur
February 2011 EUR/USD Outlook EUR/CHF looks like its forming important technical support at 1.2700 and should go higher. EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY are best described as choppy but the EUR/AUD is also exhibiting some ‘basing’ tendencies. With the USD in sell mode, the path of least resistance for EUR/USD would seem to be up. It will not … Continue reading...

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EUR/CHF: A History of Interventions, March 2010

2010-03-31

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2010-03-31

, March 2010 Big Barrier Eyed In EUR/CHF Traders report a large barrier option is in play at the 1.4200 level in EUR/CHF. Nothing attracts price action like a big barrier. The owner of the option wants to protect his investment while the bank that sold the option wants to knock it out to erase … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF: A History of Interventions, December 2009

2009-12-31

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2009-12-31

baghdad bob
December 2009 EUR/CHF Selling Off EUR/CHF is down at 1.4835 from an early 1.4865, the swissy bulls happy to probe for signs of meaningful SNB interest.  Many are voicing surprise at the lack of interest being show by the Swiss National Bank to curtail the recent burgeoning swissy strength. There is talk of 1.4800 barrier … Continue reading »

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Recent History of the Swiss franc, August 2009

2009-08-31

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2009-08-31

A market view history of the EUR/CHF from the website ForexLive August 2009 Swiss KOF Leading Indicator Much Stronger Than Expected The Swiss KOF leading indicator for August has come in at -0.04 from a revised -0.85 in July, much stronger than the median forecast of -0.60.  The indicator’s m/m rise in August is the strongest … Continue reading...

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