Deutsche Bank's George Saravelos was one of the first to use the term "euro glut". He anticipated a massive capital outflow from Europe that countered the huge European current account surplus. The Euro glut also led to the end of the EUR/CHF peg. Reasons are missing investment opportunities in Europe despite the high savings rate.
Read More »
Tag Archive: Deutsche Bank
Foreign exchange: Swiss miss
WHEN the Swiss National Bank (SNB) intervened to weaken its currency in 2011, analysts called the subsequent abrupt drop in the franc’s value a “20-standard-deviation move”. Assuming the franc’s ups and downs follow a normal distribution, such a big shift should not have occurred again for many squillions of years.
Read More »
Read More »
Setting monetary policy by popular vote: Full of holes
THE Swiss franc is a volatile currency that is fast becoming worthless. That, at least, is what some members of Switzerland’s right-wing People’s Party (SVP) would have you believe. Thanks to the SVP, Switzerland will vote on November 30th on a radical proposal to boost the central bank’s gold reserves. Bigger reserves, activists argue, will make the Swiss economy more stable and prosperous. In fact the opposite is true.
Read More »
Read More »
Roubini and Deutsche Bank’s Sanjeev Sanyal: Still Waiting for the Chinese Consumer
Nouriel Roubini and Deutsche Bank’s Sanjeev Sanyal are quite pessimistic about future global and Chinese growth. They think that we need to wait a long time for the Chinese consumer that should boost global growth.
Read More »
Read More »