Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts

2024-11-20

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2024-11-20

The headlines regarding Trump's proposed tariffs and their inflationary consequences are undoubtedly worrying, but will they prove correct? Instead of taking the "experts" word, let's consider how tariffs may affect the prices of all goods and services, not just the items subject to tariffs. Furthermore, it's worth discussing how tariffs could impact the economy, as …

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Walmart Shares: Great Fundamentals But At A Frothy Price

2024-11-20

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2024-11-20

Walmart's (WMT) shares opened higher as its earnings report surpassed expectations. EPS and revenues beat expectations. Moreover, the company increased its sales guidance for next year by a full percent. As its latest earnings report reminded us, Walmart is doing very well financially. Furthermore, its share price has surged, reflecting the company's health.

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11-19-24 Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems

2024-11-19

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Following President Trump’s re-election, the S&P 500 has seen an impressive surge, climbing past 6,000 and sparking significant optimism in the financial markets.The rush by perma-bulls to make long-term predictions is remarkable. Economist Ed Yardeni believes this upward momentum will continue, and has revised his long-term forecast to project that the S&P 500 will reach 10,000 by 2029. This forecast reflects a mix of factors that Yardini...

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Fed Rate Cut Expected to Fuel Markets Bullish Momentum

2024-11-19

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Bullish market outlook! 📈💰 Short-term perspective shows optimism and potential for assets. Federal Reserve expected to cut rates on Dec 18. #StockMarket Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/b2a7ac YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Gold Miners Enter The Bears Den

2024-11-19

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2024-11-19

Many investors consider a decline of 20% or more to be a bear market. We can debate the merit of the random 20% figure, but according to that definition, gold miners, down 25% from its peak on October 22, are in a bear market. We have noted numerous times in the last month or so … Continue reading »

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Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems

2024-11-19

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2024-11-19

Following President Trump's re-election, the S&P 500 has seen an impressive surge, climbing past 6,000 and sparking significant optimism in the financial markets. Unsurprisingly, the rush by perma-bulls to make long-term predictions is remarkable.

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Why Emerging Markets Are Not as Cheap as They Seem

2024-11-18

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Emerging markets may seem cheap compared to the US, but are actually expensive relative to their own country's growth. 📈 #Investing" Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/e53b03 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Understanding the Reality of Guaranteed 6-8% Annual Income Expectations

2024-11-18

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Looking for a bond portfolio with 6-8% reliable income, no risk, full access to principal, and liquidity? Realistic or unrealistic? #investmentgoals #bonds #finance Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/c58ebf YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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11-18-24 “Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive

2024-11-18

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It's the last full week of trading before Thanksgiving. Expectations for US GDP growth in the new year are on the plus side of 3%, vs the EU's negative expectations: Where do you want to put your money? First place the "Government Efficiency Department" can start is at the Department of Defense, failing its past seven audits. Risks are building in certain market areas where “Trump Trade” exuberance has likely exceeded the grasp of...

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5X5 Inflation Expectations: A New Benchmark To Follow

2024-11-18

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2024-11-18

At the last FOMC meeting, Jerome Powell was asked if they were concerned that inflation expectations are “de-anchoring, or put another way, are anchoring at a slightly higher level?” His answer specifically referenced the 5x5 forward inflation expected rate. He could have used many data points to answer the question. However, the fact that he …

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Key Considerations for Healthcare Costs Before Medicare in Early Retirement

2024-11-17

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Planning for retirement before Medicare age? 🤔 Main concern often is medical expenses in the gap. How do you plan to cover it? #retirementplanning" Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/863a99 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Understanding Volatility: The Fear and Greed Index Explained

2024-11-16

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📈 Exploring market volatility with Michael! 💡 Understand the fear greed index and implied volatility. Stay informed! #Finance101 Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/a3ab0e YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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“Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive

2024-11-16

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2024-11-16

Inside This Week's Bull Bear Report A Pause That Refreshes? Last week, we discussed that with the election over and the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, many market headwinds were put behind us. To wit; "As a result, the market surged higher, hitting our year-end target of 6000 on Friday. Furthermore, since election day, the …

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Understanding Market Patterns: Why Analog Trends Can Be Misleading

2024-11-15

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An important reminder about market analogs 📈 Things may seem similar to the past, but every situation is unique! #MarketTrends #FinanceTips Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/d6f878 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Paul Tudor Jones: I Won’t Own Fixed Income

2024-11-15

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2024-11-15

Paul Tudor Jones recently voiced concerns that rising U.S. deficits and debt and increasing interest rates could lead to a fiscal crisis. His perspective reflects the long-standing fear that sustained borrowing will trigger inflation, raise interest rates, and eventually overwhelm the government’s ability to manage its debt obligations. In short, his thesis is that interest …

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2% CPI Is Here

2024-11-15

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2024-11-15

2% CPI is a headline you won't find in today's Wall Street Journal. The reason is that official inflation gauges, such as CPI, are in the mid to upper 2% range. Last Wednesday, for instance, the year-over-year CPI rate clocked in at 2.6%. We claim inflation is at 2% because we know that 40% of … Continue reading »

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Understanding Debt: The Good, the Bad, and the Misused

2024-11-14

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Debt can be a powerful tool if used wisely. Let's start making better financial decisions from the beginning! 💸 #financialadvice #moneymanagement Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/2f3b14 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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11-14-24 The Math Behind the MACD

2024-11-14

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Just ahead of the Christmas Retail Shopping Season, credit card debt is piling up; consumers are under stress. Survey: What to do when an item is too expensive? What will be the actual effect of tariffs? What economists think vs how consumers react. Meanwhile, markets sold off Wednesday, then rallied back for a positive close: Participants are unwilling to sell, expecting markets to continue to rise; Bitcoin is melting up, Gold is getting beaten...

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The True Essence of Wealth: It’s Not Just About Money

2024-11-13

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Money isn't the measure of wealth. Your health, purpose, and family matter most. True wealth goes beyond monetary value. 💰 #LifeLessons Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/8592a7 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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The MACD: A Guide To This Powerful Momentum Gauge

2024-11-13

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2024-11-13

When we discuss technical analysis in our articles and podcasts, we often examine the moving average convergence divergence indicator, better known as the MACD, or colloquially the Mac D. The MACD is one of our favored technical indicators to help forecast prices and manage risk. Accordingly, let's learn more about the MACD to see how …

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