Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

Why Stocks and Bonds Do Not Agree

(10/20/21) What are Markets, Interest Rates, and Volatility telling us about the true health of the economy--and your prospects as an investor? Inflation concerns are being inflamed by continuing supply-chain disruptions, and the question remains, 'will this cause higher interest rates, long-term?' Market trends suggest the current rally has legs, and could last into the end of the year. Caveats to this view include what the Fed does with tapering,...

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Navigating Bull vs Bear Markets

Whether Markets are Bullish or Bearish--how do YOU navigate them? Volatility will be Bitcoin's friend. Markets are in post-rally, bullish mode. Investors' job is not to predict, but to manage risk. Issuing debt to finance climate change; government intervention never works out well. ------ 0:00 - How to Navigate Markets, whether Bullish or Bearish 8:32 - Addressing the Challenge of Putting Money Back to Work 20:24 - Playing Poker with Wall Street...

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Stocks to Watch as the Earnings Parade Continues

(10/19/21) Earnings season is well underway, and there are companies of interest to us: Nexflix' adding of classic shows, like "Seinfeld," and investing on new, original programming, portend for subscriber growth. UnitedAirlines has been struggling, thanks to the pandemic travel phobia, so there's room to grow. Johnson & Johnson have also been under pressure, but look at the retinue of items the offer that people need to buy....

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The Bullish vs Bearish Episode (10/19/21): Market Technical Analysis & Commentary from RIA Adviso…

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The Liquidity Episode (10/18/21): Market Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors Chief Investment…

Halloween is the second-biggest retail season of the year; will this year's sales be a trick or treat? The first Bitcoin futures-based ETF is blessed by the SEC; will cryptocurrency gain wider acceptance? Where's the market liquidity coming from...and where is it not going? ------ SEG-1: Bitcoin ETF for Halloween: Trick or Treat? SEG-2: Where's the Money in the Markets Coming From? SEG-3: Where the Money in the Markets ISN'T Going SEG-4: Can...

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Where’s the Market Liquidity Coming From–and Going?

Halloween is the second-biggest retail season of the year; will this year's sales be a trick or treat? The first Bitcoin futures-based ETF is blessed by the SEC; will cryptocurrency gain wider acceptance? Where's the market liquidity coming from...and where is it not going? ------ 0:00 - Bitcoin ETF for Halloween: Trick or Treat? 6:45 - Where's the Money in the Markets Coming From? 16:07 - Where the Money in the Markets ISN'T Going 27:08 - Can...

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Will You Trade the First Bitcoin ETF?

(10/18/21) Bitcoin is approaching $61-k as the SEC clears the first futures-based Bitcoin EFT for trading--good times for Bitcoin owners. This obviously opens opportunities for more people to invest, as well as opening the flood gates for a plethora of other Bitcoin issuers to make available more offerings to investors. Still, we haven't seen much mass-adoption of Bitcoin as payment for goods and services because of its volatility. Market futures...

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Financial Fitness Friday (10/15/21): Will #Grinchonomics Steal Christmas?

Inflation is the driver for the Fed, and Grinchonomics may steal Christmas this year; how Grandpa & Grandma Rosso dealt with inflation; the expense differential of going to work vs working from home; key to survival is conservation; transient vs sticky inflation; ------ SEG-1: Grinchonomics, Brandonomics: The End Result is Inflation SEG-2: How Grandpa & Grandma Rosso Dealt with Inflation back in the day SEG-3: Will Inflation Bring the...

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Copy of Financial Fitness Friday (10/15/21): Will #Grinchonomics Steal Christmas?

Inflation is the driver for the Fed, and Grinchonomics may steal Christmas this year; how Grandpa & Grandma Rosso dealt with inflation; the expense differential of going to work vs working from home; key to survival is conservation; transient vs sticky inflation; ------ SEG-1: Grinchonomics, Brandonomics: The End Result is Inflation SEG-2: How Grandpa & Grandma Rosso Dealt with Inflation back in the day SEG-3: Will Inflation Bring the...

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Will #Grinchonomics Steal Christmas?

Inflation is the driver for the Fed, and Grinchonomics may steal Christmas this year; how Grandpa & Grandma Rosso dealt with inflation; the expense differential of going to work vs working from home; key to survival is conservation; transient vs sticky inflation; ------ 0:00 - Grinchonomics, Brandonomics: The End Result is Inflation 7:57 - How Grandpa & Grandma Rosso Dealt with Inflation back in the day 20:05 - Will Inflation Bring the...

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Why the Fed Taper Matters

The Federal Reserve now sees inflation as the driver for its policies, planning to taper QE by November; Bond Markets are predicting at least two rate hikes in 2022; ESG Investing is a Wall St. money heist; the language of the Fed, and why Fed Grammar Matters; Carbon Net Zero lies. ------ 0:00 - Why Inflation is Driving the Fed 11:32 - What Bonds Are Saying About Rate Hikes 22:51 - Better Living Thru ESG Investing...not. -------- Hosted by RIA...

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Markets Sustain Key Support, as Banks Soldier On

(10/14/21) Markets Rally Above the 100-DMA as Earnings Season gathers speed; support remains intact--a good sign, suggesting markets will work their way to the 50-DMA. However, we're rapidly eating up money flow buy signal; best idea is to use this rally to rebalance risk in portfolios. Most banks are reporting better earnings--thanks to share buy-backs and lower loan-loss reserves, boosting bottom line EPS. BOA, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley,...

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Why the Insidious Stagflation Loop is So Dangerous

Price Inflation is leading to lower consumption, causing poorer earnings and a stagflation feedback loop; accounting gimmicks that make earnings appear better than they are; Super-savers and the Math of Loss; how you can triple your income, working from home! ------ 00:0 - The Feedback Loop of Inflation 7:32 - Earning Season: Better Living Through Accounting Gimmicks 19:07 - The Ugly Truth About Super-Savers 30:28 - How to Triple Your Income...

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Will the Fed Taper Sooner & Harder?

(10/13/21) Markets are being lifted in anticipation of earnings season and today's inflation report: Will it push the Fed to taper sooner? Inflation and stagflation are becoming more prevalent. In a sloppy trading week, Markets will be retesting recent lows if they can't climb above the 100-DMA and hold it for the rest of this week. Earnings from JP Morgan and Blackrock both beat their estimates, but a look behind the curtain shows that some...

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Does Market Risk to Investors Remain?

The Debt Ceiling rises $400-B to allow Congress to pay its bills; what can reverse spending addiction? Q3 Earnings Season begins w impact of inflation & supply chain disruptions effects on margins; paying attention to risk; Short-term vs Long-term warning signs. ------ 0:00 - How to Solve Washington's Spending Problem 5:25 - The Risks to Earnings and Looking Ahead 19:08 - Headwinds & Challenges Facing Investors Now 28:17 - Short Term...

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Can Markets Maintain Support?

(10/12/21) Monday's sell-off took the market back to the 100-DMA, so markets continue to hold support. There are two bullish signs to note: Money flow buy signals are back in place, and money flows are trying to improve. The MACD buy signal is present, but just barely. It's critical markets hold the 100-DMA at least through the end of the week, and to get the bull market back, will need to advance above the 50-DMA. Will earnings be strong enough...

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How $80 Oil Adds an Inflationary Twist to Markets

$80-oil and Supply Chain disruptions are feeding into inflation, despite government manipulation of CPI and PCE to dampen measurements. Investors' dilemma of how to put money to work, despite data saying otherwise; markets' warning signs: Weekly vs Monthly buy signals. ------ 0:00 - The Consequences of Creating Artificial Demand 10:41 - Investors' Battle of Putting Money to Work vs Contrary Data 19:53 - Why Markets' "Check Engine"...

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The Real Impact of $80 Oil

(10/11/21) Crude Oil Prices at $80/bbl--higher energy prices are feeding into the inflationary pressures on Wall St. as well as Main St. This will weigh on corporate earnings and more importantly, corporate outlooks in view of supply chain disruptions, inflationary costs, and companies' ability (or inability) to pass on these costs to consumers. Markets are now on a Money Flow "Buy" signal, as well as a MACD "Buy" signal,...

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College or Trade School: How Will You Pay for It?

Elon Musk moves to Austin with the slogan, "Don't Mess with Tesla;" Why employees are discovering higher costs this Open Enrollment season; Mistakes that can cost you College money on FAFSA; Why College Isn't for Everyone; Permanent Life Insurance for Retirement; ------ 0:00 - Tesla Moves to Austin; Open Enrollment Season Begins 5:57 - Fun with FAFSA: Why Mistakes Can Cost You $$$ 17:50 - More Fun with FAFSA: Why College isn't for...

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Have We Gone Off the Fiscal Cliff?

Economic growth estimates for Q4 are being revised; the "Fiscal Cliff" is actually fiscal reality; wealth inequality caused by the Fed; fallacy of equality; how to make population more productive; why handouts don't work; Why Debt Ceiling hike is not a win for Democrats; Allow Capitalism to work. ------ 0:00 - Mrs. Roberts & Austin City Limits; The Fiscal Cliff vs Fiscal Reality 11:53 - Kids, College, & Senioritis; Why...

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