Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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Markets Smacked Down by Higher Than Expected Inflation

2021-11-11

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(11/11/21) Markets sell-off on news of 6.2% inflation that's NOT transitory; inflation is essentially an economic brake. Companies must decide whether to pass along price increases or reign-in operating costs. i. e., a reduction in labor. This dynamic will slow earnings, even as advances in the market have been keyed to rosier expectations about margins and earnings growth for 2022. What will be the impact as these expectations are adjusted...

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Inflation Conflagration Episode (11/11/21): Market Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors Chief …

2021-11-11

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

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Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? (11/10/21): Market Analysis & Personal Finance commentary from RIA A…

2021-11-11

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Yes, we had audio issues on this morning's live feed. Here is a "repaired" and commercial-free version of today's episode: &list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online...

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Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead?

2021-11-10

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Some financial advisors are replacing their 60/40 portfolio blends in response to high stock valuations and historically low interest rates. At RIA Advisors, we're taking a different approach, as CIO Lance Roberts discusses with Sr,. Advisor, Danny Ratliff. NOTE: This feature video comes from the Wednesday (11/10/21) episode of The Real Investment Show, which you can watch here: &list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 --------...

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What If Rates Rise?

2021-11-10

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Markets dipped with Elon Musk's informal stock-sale poll, and the Fed is clearly more concerned about stock valuations than inflation; is the 60/40 Portfolio a dinosaur? What can you do when interest rates rise? ------ 0:00- Changes Coming to IRA's and Social Security 11:53 - Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? 23:28 - What Happens When Rates Rise (and what you can do about it) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO...

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Will Markets Further Correct?

2021-11-10

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(11/10/21) After an 8-day streak of gains, markets pulled back a smidge, thanks primarily to a sell-off in Tesla shares (thankyew, Elon). This was no surprise, as Money Flow Sell-signals have been in place. Further weakness would not be a surprise, as we head into the holidays, and options expirations will hit next Friday, adding more selling pressure. The Bond barometer is suggesting a period of rising interest rates, indicating the time could be...

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5-Signs Stock Market Investors are Too Bullish (11/9/21): Market Technical Analysis & Commentary …

2021-11-10

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

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Good vs. Bad Inflation

2021-11-09

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Signs Market Investors are too Bullish: even the Fed is noting valuations that are way out of sight! The Difference Between "Good" vs Bad Inflation--and how you can tell them apart; General Electric's Three-way; forget bulls vs bears--it's devils vs angel markets. ------ 0:00 - High Market Valuations Even the Fed Cannot Ignore 8:35 - Gaslighting Inflation 20:00 - GE, Exxon, & Shell Response to Activist Investors NOTE: You can watch...

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Fear Gauge is Up: Should You Re-size Your Portfolio Positions?

2021-11-09

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(11/9/21) Markets continue to eke out gains after 19-days of positive movement, now three standard-deviations above the 50-DMA to levels that normally precede corrections. Money Flow Sell-signals are in place, with money flows and MACD signals still remaining positive. We're expecting some pretty sloppy trading for the next week. Despite markets making new highs, the VIX us also on the rise, and we're about to see a surge in volatility as the...

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The Infrastructure Episode (11/8/21): Market Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors Chief Invest…

2021-11-09

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

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Should Elon Musk Sell Some Stock?

2021-11-08

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Christmas shopping could be harrowing with supply chain disruptions and merchandise shortages this season; The Roberts' Christmas Tree saga continues; has the Fed setup the Markets to crash? Inside the Infrastructure Bill; Poll: Should Elon Musk sell some stock? End-of-year mutual fund posturing; How Meme stocks altered Wall St. ------ 0:00 - Supply Chains & Christmas Shopping 8:33 - Did the Fed set Markets to Fail? 20:24 - Elon Musk's Great...

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Markets Up for 18-Days Straight: What Does This Mean for Investors?

2021-11-08

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(11/8/21) Markets are two standard deviations above the 50-DMA, increasing the "gravitational-pull" on prices. Markets has been Up 18-straight days without as correction--a veritable buying stampede. Money flow Sell signals were triggered on Friday...meanwhile, the Fed said they're to begin tapering their balance sheet, but not moving to raise interest rates any time soon, thanks to under achievement on "full employment" (now at...

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Financial Fitness Friday Live-Stream Recording (11/5/21)

2021-11-06

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Consumer Spending frenzies are evaporating as inflation continues to climb; Year-end money moves include max-out HSA contributions, Replenish Savings, Roth Conversion, Drain Flex-spending account, check beneficiaries on ALL accounts; toy shortages for Christmas, and alternative gifts of Experience; Suppository Inflation defined. ------ SEG-1: Spending Frenzy Fizzles as Inflation Rages SEG-2: Smart Money Tips to Do Before Year's End SEG-3:...

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Smart Money Moves to Make Before Year’s End

2021-11-05

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Consumer Spending frenzies are evaporating as inflation continues to climb; Year-end money moves include max-out HSA contributions, Replenish Savings, Roth Conversion, Drain Flex-spending account, check beneficiaries on ALL accounts; toy shortages for Christmas, and alternative gifts of Experience; Suppository Inflation defined. ------ 0:00 - Spending Frenzy Ends as Inflation Rages 8:42 - Smart Money Tips to Do Before Year's End 20:41 -...

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Fed Taper Episode (11/4/21): Market Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors Chief Investment Stra…

2021-11-05

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

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Dealing with “Transient” Inflation

2021-11-04

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Markets' response to Fed "tapering" is non-existent, because of Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish stance on interest rates; The Two Presidential Economic Poisons; How to Define "Full" Employment and measure Inflation; Did we get "played" by the Fed? ------ 0:00 - How Will Banks Behave w Fed Tapering? 9:00 - What is Real Unemployment? 20:27 - How Should We Measure Inflation? 31:33 - How the Fed "Played" Their...

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After the Fed Announcement, What Markets are Doing

2021-11-04

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(11/4/21) The Fed announces the beginning of QE tapering, as expected; what the markets didn't expect was Jerome Powell's decidedly dovish stance on interest rates. Markets rallied back up to over-bought conditions--now more than two standard-deviations above the 50-DMA. So now we're looking for signs of the inevitable correction process. Retests of the 50- and 20-DMA is not out of the question. Small caps have had two really good days, and...

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Why Stocks are Hitting Highs as Yield Curves Flatten

2021-11-03

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Economic ramifications from the mid-term elections, Market optimism isn't squaring with Yield Curves; the "Greenwashing" of America; what 12-years of Fed intervention has gotten us: Greater Wealth disparities; Dumb ideas from COP-26. ------ 0:00 - Astros/Braves, Mid-term Elections, & Economic Ramifications 8:29 - CFA Pass-rate; Stock performance vs Yield Curve Proof 20:00 - ESG Investing, "Greenwashing," & Fiduciary...

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Investor Speculation Returns

2021-11-03

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(11/3/21) Markets' continuing ascent is causing investors to become quite speculative, and it's no surprise that more and more investors are being dragged back into the fray...and that's pushing up stock prices. Avis up over 100%; Bed Bath & Beyond announced good earnings and a partnership announcement with Kroger. It's all back to the meme stock mentality. But while speculation increases, volume is evaporating, with elevated money flow...

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Technically Speaking Tuesday: Market Technical Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors Chief Inve…

2021-11-03

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➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

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