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Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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Shrinkflation in Halloween Candy

2022-10-31

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(10/31/22) Market action has been a textbook case of achieving support with no resistance up to 4,100; we're advising selling into the rally and prepare for a negative market trend into the end of the year; The Dow is up 14% for the year; it's the best year of performance since 1938. Watch for the Fed to announce a slowing of its rate hike pace, but not a pivot. Shrinkflation in Halloween candy: Prices are up 30% over last year. Consumer Spending...

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What Women Want to Know About Social Security (10/20/22)

2022-10-28

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Here is an encore presentation of the OCtober 20, 2022 Lunch & Learn on What Women Want to Know About Social Security with RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, with Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP.

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Why GDP Numbers Aren’t as Great as You Might Think

2022-10-28

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(10/28/22) Crypto is a risk-on trade: Using Ethereum performance as a leading indicator of the crypto-sector; Meta vs Amazon; Exxon surpasses expectations; the process and practice of trimming profits; risk management in a portfolio. What IS the Metaverse? Did Zuckerberg make a mistake? How Student Loan Forgiveness funds will be used; Houston Astros in World Series & Hater-fans; credit card debt is at highest levels in 20-years; assuming...

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Earnings Disappointments Put Market in a Struggle | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-27

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(10/27/22) Meta's disappointing earnings report sets markets up to struggle through today's open; the money side of the business was okay, and Meta's base of users was similarly okay; what worried Wall Street was Mark Zuckerberg's dogged agenda of spending, all-in on the fledgling "Metaverse."

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Big Cap Companies Getting Spanked on Poor Earnings

2022-10-27

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(10/27/22) As markets wrap up October's business, the generals' earnings reports are not at all encouraging: Meta's was only okay, tempered by Mark Zuckerberg's all-in bet on the future of the Metaverse. Markets did end higher than they started, but there remain two levels of resistance to overcome.

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Was Google’s Bad News Already Priced-In? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-26

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(10/26/22) Markets rallied right to the 50-DMA, needing to break through the 3,800 level of resistance, and after the bell, Google and Microsoft released their latest disappointing report cards.

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Why Americans’ Savings Rates Have Fallen Off a Cliff

2022-10-26

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(10/26/22) October historically marks the markets' low point for the year; we're looking to hold on at 3,800, and "softer" language from the Fed next will help. Microsoft's guidance is a disappointment, and Amazon's AWS will, too.

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Any Good News Would Be Welcome | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-25

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(10/25/22) What factors could lift markets into the end of the year? Over $1-Trillion worth of authorized stock buy backs become available on Friday, triggering as much as $5 Billion of buying a day coming into the market; mid-term elections are two-weeks away, and historically, stocks have been higher for the twelve months following a mid-term election; a gridlocked congress would provide opportunity for stocks to rally. The Fed, also, is a...

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We’re Back Where We Were in June (but it feels worse now)

2022-10-25

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(10/25/22) As October winds-down, the earnings revelations continue, with some better-than-expected results, but the pain trade is higher; the stock buy back window opens for business on Friday with $5 Billion in daily activity potential being added to the markets; will the Fed make moves to taper rate increases? Recession is a distinct possibility in 2023. Markets historically under-perform ahead of midterms and out-perform for 12-months following...

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Can Markets Muster Continuation of the Rally? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-24

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(10/24/22) Markets rallied sharply off the 20-DMA on Friday to deliver a 90% upside day for stocks. Futures are pointing higher this morning, begging the question, can markets muster a continuation of the rally over the next few days as we put the wraps on October? 45% of the S&P companies will report earnings this week; the buyback blackout window ends on Friday, and the Fed is set to meet next week, with hopes that talk of ending rate hikes...

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The Difference Between Inflation and the Cost of Living

2022-10-24

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(10/24/22) Comcast Cable outage coincides with Astro's weekend watch parties as the home team advances to the World Series. Again. Market Commentary: Setting up for some nice action to end the month, with a possible change in Fed stance on interest rates. The top concerns this election season: Inflation and the economy. The problems from un-educated voters; Nancy-nomics, Inflation, and the cost of living. Is the Fed thinking about talking about a...

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Is There a Positive Side to Inflation?

2022-10-21

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(10/21/22) Higher inflation is no reason to stop making contributions to your retirement savings, regardless of mode: Just alter the allocations. No Shift. What happens after the mid-terms? Inflation isn't budging; the Fed went too far, and we'll see more adverse effects in 2023. There's no place to hide but in Cash. What happens if Yields continue to rise; interest rates can only go so far. When is Inflation is a Good Thing? COLA on Social...

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Buyback Blackout Window Nears the End | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-20

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(10/20/22) The end of October brings the end of the current buyback blackout window, as earnings continue to come in, fast and furiously. Stocks are set to trade upwards this morning as the markets maintain a bullish trend. Interestingly, while markets were setting new lows, divergent indicators weren't, which is a bullish sign.

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The Fed’s Next Crisis (10/20/22): Market Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors Chief Investment…

2022-10-20

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#Markets #Money #Investment_Advice

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Can Markets Hit 4100? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-19

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(10/19/22) Futures are depressed after two-days of rallying, which is not surprising. Markets did set a new low following last week's CPI report, confirming the divergence we saw in the MAC-D and Relative Strength index, suggesting a short-term bottom at least.

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Market Sloppiness on the Way

2022-10-19

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(10/19/22) We are well into another "Millennial Earnings Season," where companies are rewarded for lowering estimates in order to beat earnings estimates; everyone gets a participation trophy! A real tell will be Consumer Retail Sales results as an end-of-year measure of consumer strength. Look for market sloppiness for the next week; the none-stages of a Bear Market.

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Can Markets Hit 4100? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-18

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(10/18/22) Why is the 200-WMA considered critical support for the markets? While we've been in a correction-mode, we're technically not in a bear market...yet...because we haven't violated the bullish trend of the 200-WMA.

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The Chase is On

2022-10-18

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(10/18/22) Markets appear to have plenty of fuel for a rally today; tracking the 200-Week Moving Average; the Bear hasn't appeared yet; Halloween spending and pumpkin methane; the chase is on: has the rally commenced?

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What to Do If the Market Hits 3900 | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-17

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(10/17/22) Last week's roller-coaster market following the latest CPI report, ended the week holding the support line that had been building since the beginning of October. The potential for a rally remains the case: we're looking for markets to hit 3,900, and that will be the point where we want to sell some equities to reduce risk. Trading could remain sloppy for the next few days, but by the end of the month, two things will provide additional...

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Why We’re Not In a Bear Market…Yet

2022-10-17

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(10/17/22) Halloween is the second-biggest retail shopping event of the year; earnings season begins today; markets continue to hold onto bottoms, with lots of volatility. After mid-term elections, watch for negative revisions to economic reports. The Roberts' House-hunting begins; the Fed's Third Mandate: Jacking-up asset prices with a litany of actions to boost equities. What happens when stocks outgrow what the economy can generate? Is there...

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