Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes

Financial markets often move in cycles where enthusiasm drives prices higher, sometimes far beyond what fundamentals justify. As discussed in last week's #BullBearReport, leverage and speculation are at the heart of many such cycles. These two powerful forces support the amplification of gains during upswings but can accelerate losses in downturns. Today’s market environment shows …

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In Store Sales Falter Despite A Good Black Friday

Based on early Black Friday sales estimates, sales were strong, but shoppers were much more inclined to take advantage of online sales than go to the malls and stores in person. Mastercard SpendingPulse estimates that in store sales only grew by 0.7% from last year, while online sales rose by nearly 15%. Facteus, another data …

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The Power and Risks of Government Currency Printing

Ever wondered about printing your own currency? 💸💭 Discover the power of governments vs. households in managing debts! #finance101 #moneytalks Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/99b9a3 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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12-2-24 Extreme Speculation Has Returned

Welcome back from Thanksgiving break: Is it time to initiate Christmas Bonds to help Retailers? While markts have performed well, expect some sloppiness heading into the end of the year. We'll have Black Friday and Cyber Monday results later this week. Meanwhile, markets continue to grind higher. What will be the effects of Trump Administration picks and regulatory changes? High levels of market concentration will result in more volatility from...

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New Home Sales And Home Prices Argue For Another Cut

New home sales fell by 17.30% in October, marking the most significant monthly decline in ten years, as shown in the graph on the left below. Furthermore, the supply of new homes on the market rose from 7.7 to 9.5 months. Not surprisingly, building permits fell by 0.4% following a 3.1% decline last month due …

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Choosing Future Success: Moving Beyond Past Performance in Fund Investments

Want to make smart investment decisions? 📈 Consider looking beyond the five star funds! Check out why size matters in fund growth and opportunities. 💰 #InvestingTips #FinancialAdvice Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/81b807 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Extreme Speculation Has Returned

Inside This Week's Bull Bear Report A Note Of Thanksgiving While belated, we sincerely hope you had a happy and fulfilling Thanksgiving holiday. In the words of Henry David Thoreau, “I am grateful for what I am and have. My Thanksgiving is perpetual.” All of us at RIA Advisors and Real Investment Advice are grateful … Continue...

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Understanding the Risks and Rewards of High-Yield Funds

High yield doesn't always mean high reward! 📉💸 Do your homework before investing in junk bonds. #InvestWisely #FinancialTips Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/83ecb2 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Understanding the Key Drivers Behind Interest Rate Movements

Understanding interest rates explained! 📈💸 Don't panic over debt & deficits impacting rates - there are many factors at play! #Finance101 Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/37fd2e YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Gen Z Embracing Communal Living: A New Trend in Modern Housing

Reevaluating priorities 🏡 Gen Z embracing communal living over solo! My daughter already planning to live with friends, a shift from my solo days! #GenZ #CommunalLiving Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/a8fe46 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Tiny Homes: A Practical Solution for Independent Living Close to Family

Thinking about getting a tiny home for grandma! It's a perfect solution for her to have her own space close to family. 🏡💕 #family #tinyhome Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/a5b50d YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Leverage And Speculation: Signs Of A Raging Bull Market

In a recent Commentary- MicroStrategy Is A Leveraged ETF In Disguise - we discussed the company's business model, which revolves almost entirely around highly speculative bitcoin and leverage. To wit: So, what is MicroStrategy? It’s a leveraged Bitcoin fund disguised as a non-profit technology company. Regarding leverage and speculation, we also recently discussed the surging …

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Understanding Deficits: How Debt Service Supersedes Economic Growth

Growing deficits, slowing inflation. More debt diverts productive dollars into debt service. Interest on debt surpassing military budget! 💸 Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/56307d YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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2025 Thanksgiving Break

Yep, we're out of the studio for the Thanksgiving break, returning on Monday, December 2, 2024 for more of your favorite live financial talk programming. From our gang to yours, have a safe and happy Thanksgiving! ➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming...

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11-26-24 Why Credit Spreads Matter

Credit spreads can greatly assist in determining the risk of a correction or bear market by reflecting the perceived risk of corporate bonds compared to government bonds. The spread between risky corporate bonds and safer Treasury bonds remains narrow when the economy performs well. This is because investors are confident in corporate profitability and are willing to accept lower yields for higher risks. Conversely, during economic uncertainty or...

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The 3-3-3 Rule

Donald Trump nominated seasoned hedge fund manager Scott Bessent as the next Treasury Secretary. While the Treasury Secretary has many responsibilities, debt management is one of the most important. Therefore, given the recent scrutiny the bond market has been paying to high deficits and associated debt, Scott Bessent appears to be a timely appointment. Bessent …

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Credit Spreads: The Markets Early Warning Indicators

Credit spreads are critical to understanding market sentiment and predicting potential stock market downturns. A credit spread refers to the difference in yield between two bonds of similar maturity but different credit quality. This comparison often involves Treasury bonds (considered risk-free) and corporate bonds (which carry default risk). By observing these spreads, investors can gauge …

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The Detachment of Democrats from Working Class Issues

🗳️ Democrats lost support from the working class in the election. This article highlights their detachment from working class issues. Check it out! 💬 #ElectionAnalysis #WorkingClassIssues Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/5bb2b5 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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11-25-24 Markets Look for a Holiday Rally

Thanksgiving week is spread out before us like a serving table laden with food: Markets will trade in a holiday-shortened week with moods of expectation for high consumer spending. Lance reveals his strategy for Christina's Christmas present. Markets' goal is to generate 50-points, targeting S&P 6,000, despite limited downside. Bond Yields are dropping with Scott Bessent's nomination as Treasury Secretary. The Dollar and Bitcoin are...

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Bitcoin Is Entering Volatility Season

Since the election, Bitcoin has risen nearly 50%. While Bitcoin investors are licking their chops, believing the magnificent rally will continue, they need to realize that Bitcoin is entering a period of pronounced seasonal volatility. The graph below from Sentimentrader shows that the recent performance has tracked the typical performance for the time of year. …

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