Category Archive: 5) Global Macro
Like Repo, The Labor Lie
The Federal Reserve has been trying to propagate two big lies about the economy. Actually, it’s three but the third is really a combination of the first two. To start with, monetary authorities have been claiming that growing liquidity problems were the result of either “too many” Treasuries (haven’t heard that one in a while) or the combination of otherwise benign technical factors.
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The Gathering Storm: Could Covid-19 Overwhelm Us in the Months Ahead?
Either the science is wrong and the complacent will be proven correct, or the science is correct and the complacent will be wrong. The present disconnect between the science of Covid-19 and the status quo's complacency is truly crazy-making, as we face a binary situation: either the science is correct and all the complacent are wrong, or the science is false and all the complacent are correct that the virus is no big deal and nothing to fret about.
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Charles Hugh Smith EXCLUSIVE: Coronavirus PARALYZES Global Economy – RECESSION 100%!
EXCLUSIVE REPORTS ON PRESIDENT TRUMP AND THE WITCH HUNT! LP(S) – Maga LP(S) – Media LP(S) – Epic LP(S) – Election EDUCATE YOURSELF IMMEDIATELY: LP(S) – Enemy LP(S) – Dead LP(S) – Ratio PREPARE FOR THE BEAR MARKET: LP(S) – Bear Warren Buffett, Ray Dalio, Charlie Munger And Other Notable Billionaires Have All Focused On …
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Yossi Kaplan and Charles Hugh Smith on the Virus and the New World Order
Yossi Kaplan and Charles Hugh Smith on the Virus and the New World Order http://financialrepressionauthority.com/2020/03/05/the-roundtable-insight-yossi-kaplan-and-charles-hugh-smith-on-the-virus-and-the-new-world-order/
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Take Your Pick of PMI’s Today, But It’s Not Really An Either/Or
Take your pick, apparently. On the one hand, IHS Markit confirmed its flash estimate for the US economy during February. Late last month the group had reported a sobering guess for current conditions. According to its surveys of both manufacturers and service sector companies, the system stumbled badly last month, the composite PMI tumbling to 49.6 from 53.3 in January.
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The Greenspan Moon Cult
Taking another look at what I wrote about repo and the latest developments yesterday, it may be worthwhile to spend some additional time on the “why” as it pertains to so much determined official blindness, an unshakeable devotion to otherwise easily explained lunar events.
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Updated Democratic Primary Timeline
Super Tuesday has come and gone. Bloomberg has suspended his campaign after an extremely poor showing, and Warren is expected to follow suit soon. Here is our updated take on the likely Democratic candidate.
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Election 2020: How do America’s presidential primaries work? | The Economist
As the Democratic primary race enters its busiest period, John Prideaux, The Economist’s US editor, gives his essential guide to understanding the process by which America’s presidential candidates are chosen. Read more here: https://econ.st/2IdvpvD Click here to subscribe to The Economist on YouTube: https://econ.st/2xvTKdy For more from Economist Films visit: http://films.economist.com/
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A Day For Rate Cuts
Well, that wasn’t he had in mind. The whole point of a rate cut, any rate cut let alone an emergency fifty, is to signal especially the stock market that the Fed is in the business of…something. The public has been led, by and large, to assume that something good happens when the Fed Chair shows up on TV.
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Did Covid-19 Just Pop All the Global Financial Bubbles?
Once confidence and certainty are lost, the willingness to expand debt and leverage collapses. Even though the first-order effects of the Covid-19 pandemic are still impossible to predict, it's already possible to ask: did the pandemic pop all the global financial bubbles? The reason we can ask this question is the entire bull mania of the 21st century has been based on a permanently high rate of expansion of leverage and debt.
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Election 2020: What could Super Tuesday mean for the future of the Democratic Party? | The Economist
As America heads into Super Tuesday, the race to become the Democratic nominee for president is approaching a decisive moment. John Prideaux, The Economist’s US editor, discusses the implications on “Checks and Balance”, The Economist’s podcast about American politics. If you’d like to subscribe to our Checks and Balance podcast, click here: https://econ.st/39iBwKH Click here …
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Drivers for the Week Ahead
The dollar has softened as Fed easing expectations have picked up. Late Friday, Chair Powell issued an unscheduled statement saying the Fed is monitoring the virus and will act as appropriate. This is a big data week for the US; the Fed releases its Beige Book report Wednesday. Super Tuesday comes this week; Bank of Canada meets Wednesday.
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The Limits of Force: A Bayonet in the Back Will Not Restore China’s Economy
Force cannot restore legitimacy, trust or confidence, nor can it magically erase the consequences of a still-unfolding national trauma. The Chinese authorities threatening to punish workers who refuse to return to work are getting a lesson in the limits of force in an unprecedented national trauma: a bayonet in the back will not restore the legitimacy and confidence that have been lost.
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Could the Covid-19 Pandemic Collapse the U.S. Healthcare System?
Disregard these second-order effects at your own peril. A great many systems that are assumed to be robust are actually fragile. Exhibit #1 is the global financial system, of course, but Exhibit #2 may well be the healthcare system globally and in the U.S.
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Jeff Snider Part 2/2 (Repo Mkt/Eurodollar Expert) Rebel Capitalist Show Ep. 19
Jeff Snider reveals insights ?YOU CAN'T AFFORD TO MISS! ?This interview with Jeff Snider is so packed with knowledge bombs we had to turn it into 2 parts! This is PART 2 of 2, and trust me, it will blow your mind! As always, The Rebel Capitalist show helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom. Jeff and I discuss how money is actually created and how US dollars (Eurodollars) have been created, outside the...
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Dollar Mixed as Coronavirus News Stream Deteriorates
The virus news stream continues to deteriorate. Lower US yields and growing concerns about the spread of the coronavirus in the US are taking a toll on the greenback. OPEC officials are trying to work out another supply cut; The outlook for Turkey is going from bad to worse. Simply put, there is nothing the Fed can do to address the economic impact of supply chain disruptions and social distancing.
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How can the Democrats beat Trump? | The Economist
As the 2020 US presidential election looms, many Democrats say they will vote for the candidate with the best chance of beating Donald Trump. So what is the best strategy to defeat him? Read more here: https://econ.st/2IdvpvD Click here to subscribe to The Economist on YouTube: https://econ.st/2xvTKdy Further reading and listening: The Economist’s guide to …
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Jeff Snider (Repo Mkt/Eurodollar Expert) Rebel Capitalist Show Ep. 19 Part 1 of 2
Jeff Snider reveals insights ?YOU CAN'T AFFORD TO MISS! ?This interview with Jeff Snider is so packed with knowledge bombs we had to turn it into 2 parts! This is PART 1 of 2, and trust me, it will blow your mind! As always, The Rebel Capitalist show helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom. Jeff and I discuss how money is actually created and how US dollars (Eurodollars) have been created, outside the...
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No, The Fed Will Not “Save the Market”–Here’s Why
The greater the excesses, speculative euphoria and moral hazard, the greater the reversal. A very convenient conviction is rising in the panicked financial netherworld that the Federal Reserve and its fellow dark lords will "save the market" from COVID-19 collapse. They won't. I already explained why in The Fed Has Created a Monster Bubble It Can No Longer Control (February 16, 2020) but it bears repeating.
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Economy: Curved Again
Earlier today, Mexico’s Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) confirmed the country’s economy is in recession. Updating its estimate for Q4 GDP, year-over-year output declined by 0.5% rather than -0.3% as first thought. On a quarterly basis, GDP was down for the second consecutive quarter which mainstream convention treats as a technical recession.
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