Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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(5.5) FX Theory: Currencies of Countries with High Economic Freedom, Immigration and Savings Must Appreciate

Immigration into selected countries
Economic freedom, immigration and high savings are main drivers for strong currencies. Switzerland, Singapore, Norway, Sweden and in the future even Germany are examples. Strangely most are in Europe.

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Welcome to the new ForexLive!

2015-02-09

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Welcome to the new ForexLive! We are proud to launch our new ForexLive website. Our goal in creating this new site is to focus on speed, freshen up the look and prepare for the future with the ability to add and serve our growing customer base. We hope you like what you see. Please feel … Continue reading »

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Forex Technical Analysis (VIDEO): A technical preview of the Forex week ahead (Feb 9, 2015)

2015-02-09

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In this video, Greg Michalowski looks at the technicals that are shaping the major currency pairs for the current trading week. Included are technical looks at the following currency pairs. EURUSD USDJPY GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD AUDUSD and NZDUSD SUBSCRIBE TO OUR EMAIL LIST! http://forexlive.us7.list-manage.com/… LET’S CONNECT! Google+ ► https://plus.google.com/1026488501294… Facebook ► http://facebook.com/forexlive Twitter ►...

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(5.6) The Holy Grail of Long-Term Currency Movements: Crowther’s Balances and Imbalances of Payments

Geoffrey Crowther
The former chief editor of "The Economist" Geoffrey Crowther published a great work on the development of balance of payments and current accounts over the long-term. It divides development into six phases, which are analogous to Shakespeare's seven phases of life. The seven stages are: Young debtor nation, Mature debtor nation, Debt repayment nation, Young creditor nation, Mature creditor nation, Credit disposition /Asset Liquidation nation and...

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A preview of the January US employment report

2015-02-05

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Adam Button and Greg MIchalowski of ForexLive.com will preview the January US Employment report and also review the technical levels in play (starting at 2 PM ET).

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Talking Forex with Adam Button and Greg Michalowski (February 4th, 2015)

2015-02-04

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Adam Button and Greg MIchalowski from ForexLive.com will share their views on the recent forex moves and what they think might happen ahead.

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(6.2) The Ultimate Carry Trade: U.S. Banks Buying Treasuries

jp morgan lending problem


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Forex technical trading: 3 currency pairs in 5 minutes. A look at the commodity pairs

2015-02-02

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In this video report, I look at the AUDUSD, USDCAD and the NZDUSD. The AUDUSD will be a focus as the RBA interest rate decision will be announced at 3:30 AM GMT/22:30 GMT. The decision to cut is a close call. USDCAD has fallen to the 100 hour MA but finding support. The NZDUSD is …

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(7) FX Theory: The Asset Market Model

Correlation Treasuries vs. Yen
The Asset Market Model implies that a currency will be in higher demand and should appreciate in value, if the flow of funds into financial market of the country such as equity and bonds markets increase.

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(8) Currency Wars: How to Push and Talk Down Your Currency?

Currency wars
Direct or indirect intervention is credible only in countries where domestic asset prices are undervalued and CPI/asset price inflation are no issues. Otherwise they create medium-term risks.

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(9) FX Theory: Wealth and Net International Investment Position

Feds Funds Rate since 1950
Availability of funds (wealth and the international investment position): One of the 5 key indicators for FX rates. Often currencies of countries with a a lot of funds appreciate when markets decline.

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(9.1) Net International Investment Position

Net International Investment Position IMF
A comparison of the net international investment position (NIIP) of several countries. We explain why asset valuation effects this position at the example of the United States.

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(8.1) Yen Weakness: Risk-Off Environment, Abenomics or Trade Deficit?

USD/JPY 2007-2013
The yen overshot during and after the financial crisis. The USD/JPY fell from 120 in 2008 to lowest levels of 74, by 62%, but rose to 102 again. What are the reasons?

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Forex Technical Analysis: 6 Currencies in 6 Minutes (Jan 29-30)

2015-01-29

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In this video, Greg Michalowski, reviews the technicals for six major currency pairs in six minutes. Included are the: EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD. SUBSCRIBE TO OUR EMAIL LIST! http://forexlive.us7.list-manage.com/… LET’S CONNECT! Google+ ► https://plus.google.com/1026488501294… Facebook ► http://facebook.com/forexlive Twitter ► https://twitter.com/ForexLive Linkedin ►...

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ForexLive: FOMC preview

2015-01-28

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Adam Button and Greg Michalowski from ForexLive.com will preview the FOMC decision and what levels to focus on in your trading.

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January 26th: Greek Election, FOMC and US GDP, RBNZ decision and technical review

2015-01-26

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Adam Button and Greg Michalowski will give their views on the Greek election and what it might mean for the EURUSD. They will also discuss the other key events including the FOMC and US GDP.

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(12) FX Rates, Contrarian Investments and the Misleading Concept Called GDP

contrarian
We extended our existing post to contrarian investing. It was published on Seeking Alpha and awarded the Editor's Pick. Gross Domestic Product(ion) is (or has become) a measurement of activity and consumption, but not of capital accumulation and production. In many cases, GDP growth is negatively correlated to saving. Higher savings (aka austerity) leads to lower GDP growth today, but to higher GDP in the future. In its worst case, GDP growth...

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