Category Archive: 6b.) Acting Man

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Incrementum Advisory Board Meeting, Q1 2017 and Some Additional Reflections

2017-02-09

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2017-02-09

Yuan Onshore Weekly
The quarterly meeting of the Incrementum Advisory Board was held on January 11, approximately one month ago. A download link to a PDF document containing the full transcript including charts an be found at the end of this post. As always, a broad range of topics was discussed; although some time has passed since the meeting, all these issues remain relevant.

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European Gold Forum 2016 – Why Do Indians Buy Gold?

2017-02-08

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Jayant is constantly traveling the world to look for investment opportunities, particularly in the natural resource sector. He advises institutional investors about his finds. He is a contributing editor of the Liberty magazine and has written for the Mises Institute, the Mises Institute (Canada), Casey Research, Le Québécois Libre, Sprott’s Thoughts, LewRockwell.com, etc. The presentation …

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The Futility of Predictions

2017-02-05

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2017-02-05

Artificial Intelligence
Back in late 2013 I wrote a piece on human nature which was in part inspired by the bullish exuberance exhibited by a MarketWatch article predicting the DJIA at 20,000 in the near term future. Yesterday afternoon, a bit over three years later, that prediction actually became reality and I’m sure the author of that article as well as many other like minded traders popped some champagne in celebration of their awesome ability to predict the future.

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Don’t Blame Trump When the World Ends

2017-02-04

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2017-02-04

The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money.
There was, indeed, a time when clear thinking and lucid communication via the written word were held in high regard. As far as we can tell, this wonderful epoch concluded in 1936. Everything since has been tortured with varying degrees of gobbledygook.

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Ker Commentary – India and the ongoing issues with its currency | Jayant Bhandari with Cory Fleck

2017-02-01

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Jayant is constantly traveling the world to look for investment opportunities, particularly in the natural resource sector. He advises institutional investors about his finds. He is a contributing editor of the Liberty magazine and has written for the Mises Institute, the Mises Institute (Canada), Casey Research, Le Québécois Libre, Sprott’s Thoughts, LewRockwell.com, etc. The Interview …

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With Trump Optimism of Small Business Soars

2017-01-28

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2017-01-28

Small Business Optimism
“You boys know what makes this bird go up? Funding makes this bird go up. That’s right. No bucks, no Buck Rogers.” - Gordon Cooper and Gus Grissom, The Right Stuff (film). Things are looking up for the United States economy in 2017. You can just feel it. Something great is about to happen.

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Donald and the Dollar

2017-01-20

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2017-01-20

Nixon and Connally
John Connally, President Nixon’s Secretary of the Treasury, once remarked to the consternation of Europe’s financial elites over America’s inflationary monetary policy, that the dollar “is our currency, but your problem.” Times have certainly changed and it now appears that the dollar has become an American problem.

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US Financial Markets – Alarm Bells are Ringing

2017-01-18

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2017-01-18

When discussing the outlook for so-called “risk assets”, i.e., mainly stocks and corporate bonds (particularly low-grade bonds) and their counterparts on the “safe haven” end of the spectrum (such as gold and government bonds with strong ratings), one has to consider different time frames and the indicators applicable to these time frames.

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Crony Socialism and Failed CEOs

2017-01-15

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2017-01-15

Golden Parachute
Whenever a failed CEO is fired with a cushy payoff, the outrage is swift and voluminous. The liberal press usually misrepresents this as a hypocritical “jobs for the boys” program within the capitalist class. In reality, the payoffs are almost always contractual obligations, often for deferred compensation, that the companies vigorously try to avoid.

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Trump’s Trade Catastrophe?

2017-01-15

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2017-01-15

Larry Summers
It is worse than “voodoo economics,” says former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers. It is the “economic equivalent of creationism.” Wait a minute – Larry Summers is wrong about almost everything. Could he be right about this?

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Trump’s Plan to Close the Trade Deficit with China

2017-01-14

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2017-01-14

Jack Ma
Jack Ma is an amiable fellow. Back in 1994, while visiting the United States he decided to give that newfangled internet thing a whirl. At a moment of peak inspiration, he executed his first search engine request by typing in the word beer.

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Regime Change: The Effect of Trump’s Victory on Stock Prices

2017-01-13

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2017-01-13

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, Daily
On January 20 2017 Donald Trump will be sworn in as the new president of the United States. On the stock market his victory has triggered a lot of advance cheer already: the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by a sizable 7.80 percent between the election and the turn of the year.

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First ZeroHedge Symposium and Live Fight Club

2017-01-12

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2017-01-12

Fight club MARFA
For over four decades, many of the planet's biggest trouble makers and assholes have met each year in Davos, Switzerland, for the World Economic Forum with the humble mission of, "Improving the state of the world."

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A Trade Deal Trump Cannot Improve

2017-01-08

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2017-01-08

Alice Meets Red Queen
BALTIMORE – People can believe whatever they want. But sooner or later, real life intervenes. We just like to see the looks on their faces when it does. By that measure, 2017 may be our best year ever. Rarely have so many people believed so many impossible things.

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A Biased 2017 Forecast, Part 1

2017-01-05

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2017-01-05

hind-sight
A couple weeks ago I was lucky enough to see a live one hour interview with Michael Lewis at the Annenberg Center about his new book The Undoing Project. Everyone attending the lecture received a complimentary copy of the book. Being a huge fan of Lewis after reading Liar’s Poker, Boomerang, The Big Short, Flash Boys, and Moneyball, I was interested to hear about his new project.

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Goldpreisentwicklung: Sind Goldpreis Prognosen aktuell möglich? (Dimitri Speck, Markus Bußler)

2017-01-02

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Geheime Goldpolitik: Warum die Zentralbanken den Goldpreis steuern von Dimitri Speck für nur 24,99 Euro. https://amzn.to/2rYgDnx Gold – Player, Märkte, Chancen: Das Handbuch für Goldanleger von Markus Bußler für nur 24,99 Euro. https://amzn.to/2rYgDnx Quantitative Lockerung Definition: (englisch: quantitative easing) https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_Lockerung Geld investieren, anlegen, sparen lernen mit den genialsten Autoren...

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Global Recession and Other Visions for 2017

2017-01-02

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2017-01-02

Here-lies-a-vision
Today’s a day for considering new hopes, new dreams, and new hallucinations. The New Year is here, after all. Now is the time to turn over a new leaf and start afresh. Naturally, 2017 will be the year you get exactly what’s coming to you. Both good and bad. But what else will happen?

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Why the Fed Destroyed the Market Economy

2017-01-01

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2017-01-01

Swing voters are a fickle bunch. One election they vote Democrat. The next they vote Republican. For they have no particular ideology or political philosophy to base their judgment upon.

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How You Become a Crony

2016-12-31

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2016-12-31

Goldman Sachs Group
BALTIMORE – Who’s the biggest winner so far? “Government Sachs!” Fortune magazine reports that the winningest person since Trump’s election is Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein.

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Wreck the Halls

2016-12-30

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2016-12-30

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, Daily
Despite the best efforts of the bulls to make history happen, they’ve been unable to ‘git-r-done.’ At the time of this writing, the Dow is facing another bout of arrested development; it has yet to notch 20,000 for the very first time.

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