6-13-24 Federal Reserve and BLS Labor Data Discrepancies Explored
2024-06-13
June is half-over, and the stock buy back blackout begins today, removing that source of activity from the market. Economic data points continue to weaken, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell wants to see "more good data." There is an alternative universe of debt; the Fed wants weaker economy so they can lower rates. The S&P 500 sets another new, all-time high; Apple, Miscrosoft, & Nvidia are driving the market. There is an ever-widening performance gap between the S&P 500 and everyone else. Mrs. Roberts’ Roomba and an FOMC Meeting recap; the economy is "normalizing." Jerome Powell’s humility; interest rates are restrictive; the problem with being data-dependent. Elon Musk’s pay package; markets are still being driven by fewer and fewer stocks; buy backs’ influence on market performance; was
6-12-24 Managing Risk and Return with Individual Treasury Bonds
2024-06-12
It’s Fed Day and Inflation Day: The FOMC meeting commences, and inflation in May cooled a bit. What will the Fed’s Dot Plot show? Rate cut expectations are down to just two for this year, and likely not occuring until after the election. How will the Fed loosen QT? Markets set another all time high, marginally. The rally-restest-rally pattern continues. Apple was the big driver on Tuesday with the heralding of "Apple Intelligence." We answer viewers’ questions about owning Bonds vs.Treasuries vs ETF’s. The saga of predictions, swimming in oil, and uranium’s leap ahead of its reality. Our investing strategy now: What we’re buying and selling, and why; how we manage risk.
3:18 – Fed Day/Inflation Day; Apple Intelligence
14:50 – Outlook for Owning Bonds
30:23 – Swimming in Oil & The Saga
6-11-24 It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities.
2024-06-11
More than a few individuals were active in the markets in 1999-2000, but many participants today were not. Back then, the S&P 500, particularly the Nasdaq, rallied harder each day than the last. Market breadth looked pretty weak, as the big names were soaring, forcing indexers and ETFs to buy them to keep their weightings. The reinforcing positive feedback cycle fueled markets higher day after day. We are now witnessing investors chase anything related to “artificial Intelligence.” Just as the internet had companies adding a “dot.com” address to their corporate name in 1999, today, we are seeing an increasing number of companies announce an “AI” strategy in their corporate outlooks.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO , w Senior Financial Advisor,
Rising Unemployment Rate: A Possible Recession Indicator?
2024-06-10
Unemployment rate hits 4%, trend above 12-month average since start of year. Could this signal a recession? 📈 #economy #unemployment #recession
Lance Roberts discusses the significance of the recent unemployment rate trends. Tune in to understand why this could be a crucial economic indicator.
– Explanation of the current unemployment rate trends
– Comparison with the twelve-month average
– Historical context of above-average unemployment rates
– Correlation with recessions
– Clarification on the current state of the economy
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