6-4-24 Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out
2024-06-04
Should you wait until after the Presidential Election to invest? Are you considering market timing as a strategy? Lance Roberts breaks down the pitfalls and risks of trying to predict the market: Challenges of predicting market trends months in advance; Consequences of sitting out of the market until a specific event; the trap of waiting for the perfect moment to invest; How market run-ups can leave you behind; The psychological cycle that keeps investors indecisive. Launching June market trading and looking ahead; the continuing saga of E*Trade, Roaring Kitty, and GameStop. Economic data continues to weaken; expectations for Fed rate cuts this year are now back up to two. Markets’ morning selloff, afternoon rally back into the green pattern continues, thanks to EOD institutional buying;
Is Bitcoin Mining Wasting Energy? The Debate on Economic Benefits and Power Consumption
2024-05-30
Bitcoin mining accounts for almost 2% of electricity generation, not significant for grid expansion, but still considerable. AI data centers offer more economic benefits. #Bitcoin #AI #EnergyConsumption
Join Michael Lebowitz as he digs into the nuances of bitcoin mining and its energy consumption. This short segment critiques the productivity and economic benefits of bitcoin mining.
– Bitcoin mining’s energy consumption and its impact on the power grid
– The debate on the economic benefits of bitcoin mining
– Comparison between bitcoin mining and AI data centers
– Statistical insights on bitcoin mining usage
– Introduction to natural gas in the context of energy consumption
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Debunking Inflation Myths: The Truth About Money Printing and Demand
2024-05-29
Understanding inflation: it’s all about supply and demand. Government’s not just printing money but issuing debt. #economics101 #inflation
In this video, Lance Roberts breaks down the basics of inflation and how supply and demand influence its rise and fall. Understand the common misconceptions about inflation and the truth behind money circulation.
– Explanation of inflation using supply and demand principles.
– Impact of a slowing economy and reduced demand on inflation.
– The misconception about government "printing money."
– Relationship between money supply and population growth.
– Reasons why inflation falls as monetary supply declines.
➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757
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5-23-24 Who Will Profit Most from the Next Tech Boom?
2024-05-23
Markets sold off on release of the latest FOMC Meeting minutes, which are a sanitized, finely-crafted version of what went on behind closed doors. The hawkishness seems to be continuing; Deflation seems to be a bigger risk to the economy than inflation. There’s too little demand, resulting in price cuts to move inventory. Insight on why we reduced our stake in Nvidia before its report was released, which attests to the growth potential of AI buildouts. One cloud on the horizon: Wall Street’s ever-optimistic expectations for continued growth. How does innovation impact the economy, and who will be the next Levi Strauss? The problems facing the power grid from AI & EV’s. The power grid needs 40- NYC’s. Natural Gas will be a big winner as a cheap, clean energy source. Water consumption
The Fed’s New Form of QE
2024-03-19
There’s a definite correlation between changes in stock buybacks and changes in market performance. With the closure of the stock buyback window by the blackout period, the effects will be interesting, especially with the prevailing attitudes in an over-extended market. We also notice Bitcoin is having an excellent correction. ance and Michael discuss the Fed’s Dot Plot and plans for Quantitative Easing: Which problem is easier to fix: Creating recession or inflation? Bank of Japan is ending it’s policy of negative rates; what will be the effect on the US? What’s the risk to the currency carry trade? Japan’s demographic problem. Is the Fed formulating a new type of QE? What QE does; is it inflationary? What the Fed can do; the stealth form of QE: Will it provide liquidity to markets?
Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run
2024-03-19
With the last half of March upon us, the blackout of stock buybacks threatens to reduce one of the liquidity sources supporting the bullish run this year. If you don’t understand the importance of corporate share buybacks and the blackout periods, here is a snippet of a 2023 article I previously wrote.