How to Avoid the Retirement Income Death Spiral (1/12/24)

2024-03-07

Earnings growth are a function of economic growth; the US Economy is de-coupled from the rest of the world, which economy is poor. The danger of deficits (that are funding our economic growth); SOTU Preview: "The economy is great." Market continues trading in a very tight range, but ever upward; this is when complacency sets in. The market is setting up for correction as the election draws nearer. Are we in a bubble or the market top; how to justify valuations. Cisco vs Nvidia: What is Nvidia worth now? The correlation between Bank reserves and the market. Powell says the Fed’s next move will be a rate cut by EOY. Stocks in the news with less liquidity in the market, yet, financial (lending) conditions are easing? Borrowing activity is at an all-time low: Conditions are very tight. Why

2024-02-09

(2/9/24) Rich & Danny prepare for today’s market action & economic releases; the notion that markets believe the Fed should lower rates is un-believable. Labor and unit costs will ultimately be the determining factor. Tesla is dropped from the Magnificent-7, replaced by Eli Lilly; should it be the "Sexy-7?" Mutant wolves roam Chernobyl; Taylor Swift & the Super Bowl: she is the epitome of the American Dream. Why Taylor Swift won’t have to worry about IRMAA charges. New SS COLA and tax implications; why diversification of accounts matters. How your Social Security is taxed. IRMAA & the Five-Year Rule; FIFO (first-in, first-out) in Roth. How to manage Roth if retirement is a few years away.

2:49 – Market & Economic Numbers Preview: Fed Rate Policy
14:03 – Taylor Swift, Mutant Wolves, &

2024-01-02

(1/2/24) 2023 Market Returns & News Review: S&P up 24% for 2023. Important to recognize the macro narrative is not always as dire as it appears. Will last year’s market exuberance carry thru? Market returns for 2024 start at zero; the Santa Claus Rally continues; wait a bit for investing opportunity. Looking at Liquidity: What is needed for market corrections? Something no one expects. If you’re thinking about it, the market has already priced it in. It will be something to which markets cannot quickly adapt. Fireworks and dogs, January historical performance; three reasons for investor shortfalls; Investor resolutions for the new year. Reviewing Market Performance for 2023: It’s okay to pay taxes; means you made money. Three Rules for Investors: Homework, homework, homework.

Hosted by

2023-12-13

(12/13/23) CPI came in right on the money, and now attention turns to the Fed meeting today, and tomorrow’s comments from Chairman Jerome Powell. What does the Fed want: Inflation vs deflation vs disinflation; yields need to come down; meanwhile markets continue to climb setting new highs, but not new record-highs. The Elf on the Shelf explained; embodiment of The American Dream; cost now more than ever, unless you create it; what the American Dream is NOT; the value in learning a trade; defining your personal American Dream; how to beat the high cost of the American Dream (The Millionaire Next Door); baby cribs, diamond rings, & funeral costs.

2:17 – CPI on the Money; Fed Day Reveal
13:48 – The Elf on the Shelf & The American Dream, Pt. 1
29:29 – The Elf on the Shelf & The American

2023-12-11

(12/11/23) Friday’s employment report was not great: comprised pf mostly striking workers returning to the job; factor out anomalies, and it was a very weak report: Weak enough for markets to hope for Fed to further pause rate hikes? What will the Fed say on Wednesday? The risk of correction from a hawkish Fed. Markets set new highs for 2023 but remain at zero for the past 22-months. The end of the buyback window; when the buying stampede is over. Managing money is a game of inches. Is the ‘American Dream’ really dead? Ten steps to achieve the ‘American Dream;’ age discrimination in the extreme.

2:58 – Why the Employment Report Disappointed
14:35 – Managing Money is a Game of Inches
30:13 – The ‘American Dream’ is not Dead
44:11 – Ten Steps to Achieve the ‘American Dream’

Hosted by RIA

2023-12-08

Markets have had zero-returns over past two years. Why time in the market matters–especially if you’re young. Risk management is more important when you’re older; the 50/20/30 Rule.
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today’s show on our YouTube channel:
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens When Buybacks Go Away " is here: -jBIrzg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Is There Hope for 2024?"
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Articles Mentioned in this Show:
"Wall

2023-11-17

(11/23/22) Recession will occur when employment turns sour. Fed guidance to markets: Not saying anything for a while, positioning to be "right," regardless of outcome. Why would the Fed cut rates? That’s the Fed’s conundrum. What does the Fed know that they’re not telling the rest of us? Comparing 2016-19 to now: The Fed managed rate changes and the lag effect, saving the hedge funds. What happens in an economy dependent upon credit? Higher rates creating stress in the system.

Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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This segment was excerpted from a previous live stream, which can be fully viewed here:
-AWA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s
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The latest installment of our new

2023-11-10

Richard and Danny take it back to the Old School way, answering live Q&A.
(disclaimer)
1:04 – It’s been a tough August, September, October: historical implications of a negative quarter. You really cannot get all-in or all-out of markets. Positioning portfolios for where money will be going.
4:19 – How we do that voodoo that we do: Sell rules & stop losses.
7:25 – The frustration of current market environment.
11:30 – Allocation and Risk Attitudes: Lennar Homes
15:09 – How bad news sells
19:29 – Talking Turkey About Money
20:37 – People are spending like crazy and low, low savings rates
21:42 – Inflation is NOT transitory; the rate of change may slow, but prices and shrinkflation are not going to reverse; what WILL change is the ability for companies to raise prices.
22:26 – The Fed