What If the Fed Doesn’t Bail Out Investors, Pt-2
2022-07-13
(7/12/22) The saga of Twitter vs Elon Musk continues; there’s not enough fear in the markets, yet; true Bear Markets are a process; The Inflation Nation ditty; Ice Pops allow you to “eat the rich;” Red States outperforming in Jobs recovery; Luling BBQ & Melon Thump;
No surprises from Fed – where do we go from here? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-05-05
(5/5/22) Jerome Powell’s announced 50-basis-points rate hike was as expected–but the Fed added a dovish tone by slowing the rate of tapering on its balance sheet. With Professional and Retail investor sentiment at some of the lowest levels we’ve seen, and positioning very, very light in equities, the bit of good news was all Wall Street needed to stage a 3% rally, pushing up to resistance at the 20- and 50-DMA’s. If markets go there, that’s the signal to raise a little cash, take some profits, and clean up your act. We’re not quite out of the woods; with a short-term buy signal triggered, money flows positive, and the MACD starting to turn upward, this is the bullish octane markets need.
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent
How Will Today’s Fed Meeting Impact Your Money? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-05-04
(5/4/22) Market futures are elevated following two days of volatility and a slow grinding higher; lots of trepidation on Wall St. as the Fed’s FOMC meeting convenes today. What the Fed says–or does not say–will affect markets, and in turn, your money. Will the Fed announce a 50-basis-point hike in rates, and a tapering of its balance sheet starting in June–or–will they be more aggressive, hiking rates 75-basis-points, with more, similar rate hikes to come? We suspect the FOMC will do exactly as expected with a more dovish approach to inflation, raising rates only 1/2%. If that is the case, and the Fed hints that inflation may have peaked, that will bode well for stocks. Money flows have remained positive despite market gyrations, and any good news–or expected news–from the Fed
Don’t Be Fooled by Facebook’s Rally | 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-04-28
(4/28/22) Facebook/Meta’s report last night boasted increased users but diminished revenues, boosting its opening price to just about its 50-DMA. Despite the rally in the stock, there is still some concern: Over the past 9-months, Facebook has been down nearly 50% from its 52-week high. We’re concerned whether this recent rally can stick. Why does this matter? Because Facebook is among those giant stocks in the NASDAQ which comprise 33% of the S&P 500 Market Cap. When this stock rallies, the effect lifts the entire index. On Wednesday, the NASDAQ was down about 22% for the year, already in a bear market. Under the surface, there’s been some real devastation: the lift we’re expecting this morning from Facebook should move markets off the March lows. If we can get a bounce that holds, it
Why You Should Buy What Everyone Hates
2022-04-25
(4/25/22) Markets have essentially gone nowhere since the first of the year. Will Netflix’ crackdown on password sharing backfire (after promoting the idea early on…)? Disney’s Wokeness cost $34-B in earnings; Twitter now considering Musk’s bid to buy. Markets have already had it rough–companies below the surface are struggling; Why Markets are under pressure; why monetary policy takes so long to be felt; why you should buy what everyone else is hating. What’s not to love about a two-day office work week; implications for commercial real estate; the downside of working from home. Market commentary: Fed Language Matters. Why Paying taxes Triggered BLM; the problem with paying taxes is how they’re used; what happens to tax revenue; We need another "Dave."
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief
Is a Bear Market Lurking?
2022-04-19
(4/19/22) Does an inverted Yield Curve necessarily mean the Recession is over? (No.) The problem in trying to predict onset of a bear market–we don’t usually know until 9-months or so later. Bear markets are fast and fierce; bull markets last longer. Negative investor sentiment generally correlates with market bottom. The Fed has not yet begun to taper! Why more people are using Google to diagnose illnesses; Acceptance of Risk is key to planning for a bear market. No one HAS to invest; it’s okay to be in cash. Why Cryptocurrency is still a fiat currency. Grammar counts; no more masks (yay!) Elon Musk & Twitter’s poison pill.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
0:00 – Is a Bear Market Coming?
10:42 – The Problem of Predicting Bear Markets
26:22 –
MEDICARE: Avoiding Pitfalls & Permanent Penalties
2022-04-14
When should you sign up for Medicare?
Understanding the Alphabet Soup of Medicare Part-A, B, & D
How the significance of the passage of time can affect your Medicare Premiums
What’s the best plan for you?
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
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Why Everyone is Obsessed with Recession
2022-04-11
Earnings season is about to re-convene: What companies say about forward looking guidance will be key. This is a holiday-shortened trading week with Good Friday. We’ve been in a major bear market, despite what the main stream media says. What does it mean when everyone is talking about Recession? A discussion of Yield Curve(s) behaviors; how you know we’re at the peak of a business cycle. The problem with lagging indicators. King Richard & Will Smith, perseverance, and mentoring.
1:51 – Holiday-shortened Week; Earnings Season Returns
13:12 -: Recession Obsession
29:04 – The ystique of Radio vs YouTube
30:50 -What Freight tallies are Telling About the Real Economy
43:05 – The Importance of entors to Investors
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO