Lance Roberts
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2024-06-17
On Wednesday, the May inflation print came in cooler than expected, sending stock and bond prices higher. Such is interesting, considering the still numerous “perpetually bearish” commentators suggest that inflation will surge due to increasing debts and deficits. However, the inflation trend remains lower as economic growth continues to slow. The correlation between smoothed PCE prices, economic growth, and inflation remains high. Therefore, as economic activity (demand) slows, prices fall as supply increases. The increasing debts and deficits are not inflationary. They are, in fact, deflationary, as the debt service redirects increasing amounts of income from productive uses. Unless something changes, the inflation print will fall further as economic growth slows, and the forces
2024-06-06
Small caps and mid caps may become favorable investments in the future, especially after a period of slow economic growth or recession when excess stimulus has been absorbed. #investing #economy
Are small caps the future of investment opportunities? Join host Lance Roberts as he breaks down the crucial moments to consider for small and mid-cap stocks.
– Current state of mid caps and small caps
– Earnings performance of small caps
– Economic indicators impacting small caps
– Timing for small cap investments
– Effect of economic growth or recession on small caps
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2024-05-27
We are closed Monday (5/27) in honor of those Americans who gave the last, full measure to defend our freedoms. Remember the fallen. We’ll be back Tuesday with market. investing, and economic info for you!
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2024-05-22
Remember the.com crash? Many young investors today never experienced a financial crisis like 2008. It’s important to learn from history to navigate market uncertainties. #financialcrisis #investing
The dot-com crash was a pivotal moment in financial history, but its impact is often forgotten. Join Lance Roberts as he revisits this era and discusses its relevance to today’s market.
– The gradual decline of the dot-com crash
– Opportunities for risk reduction during the crash
– The long duration of the market downturn
– The lack of recession experience among modern investors
– The post-2008 market perception by new traders and writers
➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757
➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a
2024-05-16
Markets hit all-time highs with softer CPI: The biggest contributor was decline in Homeowners’ Equivalent Rent. Markets are now anticipating two rate cuts this year. Consumers are showing signs of weakening; hardest hit are Gen-Z & Millennials. Stocks & Bonds rally on weaker CPI; markets are extremely over bought. Look for a re-test of the 50-DMA with market corrective action anticipated. WalMart has decent earnings; consumer spending is what drives the economy. Quality of Employment numbers matter: Full Time vs Part Time Jobs; Why the Government’s Employment formula is bogus. How we calculate Inflation now (also bogus). The Risk is never zero. Answering emails: When will the market crash? Being out of the market; more money is lost trying to avoid a crash than is lost during a crash.
2024-03-26
Baltimore Harbor is closed following the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge, hit by an out of control freighter. Weaker Regional Economic Surveys are in contrast to economists ratcheting-up growth expectations: No one is expecting a recession. Liquidity continues to boost bullish mood on Wall Street. The market has steadily climbed for past 5-months, creating record deviations; for now, no fear. Valuations are a measure of market psychology: "If everybody has bought, who is left to buy?" – Sam Stovall. When Technicals & Fundamentals align (the problem for most investors is that they’re too slow). All elements are now present for a reversion to the mean; just need a catalyst. What will turn buyers into sellers? The impact of more, earlier retirees on actuarial tables and Larry
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