Is the Pain Trade Higher? (10/24/23)

2024-03-26

Baltimore Harbor is closed following the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge, hit by an out of control freighter. Weaker Regional Economic Surveys are in contrast to economists ratcheting-up growth expectations: No one is expecting a recession. Liquidity continues to boost bullish mood on Wall Street. The market has steadily climbed for past 5-months, creating record deviations; for now, no fear. Valuations are a measure of market psychology: "If everybody has bought, who is left to buy?" – Sam Stovall. When Technicals & Fundamentals align (the problem for most investors is that they’re too slow). All elements are now present for a reversion to the mean; just need a catalyst. What will turn buyers into sellers? The impact of more, earlier retirees on actuarial tables and Larry

2024-03-20

It’s Fed Day: Danny Ratliff provides a preview in Lance’s absence; mortgage rates are pricing-out most buyers. Is your ex- worth more dead than alive? Taking a look at SS survivors’ benefits: There are some caveats. How to incorporate inflation hedging into your portfolio. Making buying choices to better manage inflation in household budgets. Why some are accessing 401-k funds (and what about those who do not have one?) Understanding target date funds; why they’re generally the default for fund managers. Watch for higher fees and internal expenses; not all funds are created equal. Financial Spring Cleaning in 401-k: watch fund compositions.

3:14 – Fed Day preview & Market Commentary
14:40 – Is Your Ex- Worth More Dead than Alive?
30:30 – How to Hedge for Inflation
44:40 – Understanding

2024-03-06

Super Tuesday seems to have locked-up the next Presidential contest pairing; economic data is not so good, yet market exuberance continues. Fed speakers abound today ahead of the Fed’s blackout period. A record-setting Yield Curve Inversion is underway, still without recession. Markets continue to trade in a narrow range, like clockwork; volatility actually declined. Are we at the top, and not a bubble? Correction this year is very likely; Bitcoin joined by Gold as a speculative asset. The proposed government match to 4-01-k’s: Nice idea, but few will be able to take advantage; and what about the unintended consequences? the effect of inflation on the economy. Why cap savings? IF the economy is doing so great, why do we feel so bad about it? The Hunger Games & the Kellogg’s boycott.

2024-01-11

(1/15/24) [NOTE: If you’re watching this video, we are dealing with The Great Ice Storm of 2024., and hope to be back in the studio, live, tomorrow. Or the next day…when ever things thaw.]
Lance reviews the conundrum of capital allocations in 2024: Wall St. doubles-down on bonds; will the Magnificent-7 lead again, or will last year’s underperformers? What if interest rates come down but inflation stabilizes at 3%? no push for the Fed to act (not what’s expected). What about the "in-between outcome?"
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Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the full show from which this excerpt was taken:
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Register for our 2024 Economic

2024-01-10

(1/10/24) Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Finanical Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Missed It "By That Much"" is here:
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Our previous show is here: "Keep An Eye on Bankruptcies"
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s
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Articles Mentioned in this Show:
"2024 Market & Economic Outlook According To Twitter"

2023-12-19

Has owning a pet become a luxury? Financial Planning for Pets: $2,640 avg. annual expense; making emotional decisions about money. The benefits of pet ownership and caring for pets.

Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator
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Watch today’s show on our YouTube channel:
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Santa Claus Rally Arrives Ahead of Schedule," is here:
&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our

2023-12-08

(12/8/23) Markets and the Fed are at odds in interest rate expectations; AMD vs NVDIA in the chip wars; why markets are pulling back: Setting up for a Santa Claus rally. Will Jobs numbers line-up with market expectations? T-Bill & Chill? Putting cash to work in a 5% world. Bankers are betting you’re going to be lazy; what will you do when rates go back down? What will be the next "Magnificent-7?" S&P predictions for 2024; how we make the sausage;. Healthcare costs in retirement: The value of an HSA. The Medicare enrollment maze. End of year chores; charitable contributions & Long Term Care; new rules for 529 Plans: What if the money isn’t used? Moving money to Roth IRA (within limits).

2:53 – Will Jobs Numbers Line-up w Market Expectations?
14:18 – Putting Cash to Work in a 5% World

2023-12-05

(12/26/23) Why analysts are always bullish (85% of the time, markets ARE). The Big Business of Wall Street: Who’s really important to Wall Street. How IPO’s really work. Analysts’ actual performance revealed vs what they’re predicting for 2024.

SEG-1: Why Analysts Are Always Bullish, Pt-1.
SEG-2: Why Analysts Are Always Bullish, Pt-2.

Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today’s show on our YouTube channel:
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Begin Year-End Gyrations" is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=4s
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Our previous show is here: "Is the ‘Everything’ Rally