Previous post Next post

Will October Provide a Trick or Treat for Investors?

(10/3/23) Investors are looking for stronger economic data; positioning is beginning to emerge for End-of-year; 2024 will be different, with companies' debt maturing and refinancing at higher rates. VIX has been on the rise since September, seeming now to peak. What happened to all those "de-dollarization" stories? The currency is over-bought following a dollar rally. What the ISM is telling us; cycles are sentiment-based. Look for a bounce in sentiment surveys after negativity eases. Data is coming indicating an uptick in economic activity, thanks to Halloween, Thanksgiving, and Christmas spending: Short term optimism. There is greater risk of weaker economic activity in 2024. The problem with narratives: Takes our focus off what's really happening. The greater reluctance to quit jobs: Jobs Opening data is confounding; "job creation" boasts are not true. "Now Hiring sign: "Baby boomers need only apply." Full Time employment is only now back to pre-pandemic levels. Recession in 2024 likely to mild and short-lived (6-mos.) How many job openings are there, really? New headline economic data is on the way: look for a bounce in the markets as earnings season returns. bounces are part of the cycle; markets are setting up for a counter-trend rally, at least. Commercial Real Estate remains under pressure w continue of work-from-home trend. What to do w all the empty office buildings and malls? Is the commercial Real Estate paradigm changing? A particular investment structure is not always the best forever.

3:01 - Positioning for EOY
14:32 - What the ISM is Telling Us
30:16 - Why Job Openings Data is So Confounding
44:25 - Is the Commercial Real Estate Paradigm Changing?

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "De-Dollarization Goes Bust" is here:
Our previous show is here: "Congress Kicks the Can Down the Road (again)"
Get more info & commentary:
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here:
Visit our Site:
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
Connect with us on social:
#InvestingAdvice #ISM #Employment #JobOpenings #DeDollarization #CommercialRealEstate #EndOfYear #Markets #Money #Investing
Full story here Are you the author?
Lance Roberts
Finally, financial news that makes sense. Lance Roberts, the host of "StreetTalkLive", has a unique ability to bring the complex world of economics, investing and personal financial wealth building to you in simple, easy and informative ways but also makes it entertaining to listen to at the same time.
Previous post See more for 9a.) Real Investment Advice Next post
Tags: ,

Permanent link to this article:

5 pings

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.