Can Markets Defy Bearish Expectations?

2024-03-25

There are three components of a “market bubble.” The first two, price and valuation, often get dismissed or rationalized during the inflation phase. That rationalization is due to investor psychology and the “Fear Of Missing Out (F.O.M.O.)

Stop the re-makes of ’80’s movies (Roadhouse)! Markets are going into 5th straight month of gains, remaining over-bought and trading in a very narrowly-defined trend channel. Money going into cryptocurrency (Memecoin) is indicative of late-cycle market speculative mood. The Coffee Maker saga continues; Market Bubble Psychology: What defines a market bubble. No two market bubbles are a like (w charts). The Fed’s Dot Plots are worthless. How will the latest CR be funded? (More debt.) The mechanics of Social Security: more retirees earlier than

2024-02-23

Is Nvidia more than a market darling, and has it entered the "tulip stage?" (We don’t know when the tulip will die.) How to invest with the maddening crowd without going mad. Candid Coffee preview (registration link is below!) Couples, Money, & Communication: Make it fun (Amazon shots?) Pensions vs Social Security: the confounding Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP) and Government Pension Offset (GPO) rules. Why you cannot (fully) take both SS and Pensions. What to do when you regret retiring; even transition to retirement is a regret. Why small business owners sabotage their transition. Failing to prioritize health in retirement; the new Score dating app. Why retirees have regrets; How to leave a legacy without heirs. The importance of physical excercise for mental health & wellness.

2024-02-16

Regarding the surprisingly strong employment data, Fed Chair Powell said the quiet part out loud. The media hopes you didn’t hear it as we head into a contentious election in November. Over the last several months, we have seen repeated employment reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) that crushed economists’ estimates and seemed to defy logic. Such is particularly the case when you read commentary about the state of the average American as follows.

2024-01-11

(1/11/24) It’s Inflation Day (CPI clocked-in at +.03% month-over-month: How will the Fed React, and how might markets respond? Will the Fed end QT in May, and restart QE by Q3? Bond allocations & Media Trust. Q4 earnings season commences with a steep decline in earnings estimates. Spot ETF’s for Bitcoin launch today, thanks to SEC clearance. How much Bitcoin will actually be owned by ETF’s, and what will this do to the supply-demand dynamic? ETF options will add another layer of risk. How will markets react to increase in CPI? How will the Fed respond to the increase? Largest component is housing costs. Why the Fed is so bad at managing inflation. [Weather warning: Hard freeze coming to HouTx on Monday-Tuesday: We may be on Memorex!] Market expectations for interest rate easing and

2023-11-17

What does the Fed know that they’re not telling the rest of us? Comparing 2016-19 to now: The Fed managed rate changes and the lag effect, saving the hedge funds. What happens in an economy dependent upon credit? Higher rates creating stress in the system.

Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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The Full show from which this segment is excerpted is here:
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Not-so-Bad News is Good" is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "The Fed IS Done Raising Rates"
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2023-11-10

(11/10/23) It’s the Financial Fitness Friday edition of The Real Investment Show w RIA Advisors’ Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, and Senior Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP.
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Testing 100-DMA" is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
And here’s Wednesday’s "Before the Bell" edition, "Trapped," as referenced in this video:
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Our previous show is here: "Should You Borrow from Your 401k Plan?"
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Articles Mentioned in this Show:
"2020 vs 2023: Are Economists Making The Same Mistake?"