by Lance Roberts
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| Energy stocks $XLE are breaking out, even as oil remains flat near $64. In this short video, I explain why a bullish golden cross and rising strength point to a potential defensive rotation from $SPY / $QQQ. Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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9-9-25 Gold, Jobs & the Fed: Axel Merk’s Market Outlook
2025-09-12
From the Fed’s next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today’s biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed’s lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios.
0:18 – Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments
2:01 – Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report – Largest negative revision to jobs in history.
4:20 – William Poole’s explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention.
6:13 – Herbert Hoover’s belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers.
8:19 – The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not.
9:35 – How the
Main Street Optimism Ticks Higher Despite Hiring Challenges
2025-09-10
Main Street optimism edged higher in August, as the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 100.8. That reading sits above the long-term average of 98 but missed the consensus estimate of 101. Stronger sales expectations led the improvement, with a net 12% of owners anticipating higher real sales volumes. This represents a six-point jump …
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