5-9-26 Semis Correction: What To Expect & How To Act
2026-05-09
Semiconductor stocks $SOXX $SMH are in a powerful rally driven by strong demand, but prices have moved far ahead of fundamentals.
This kind of acceleration is typically fueled by speculation and rarely sustains without a reset.
The correction, when it comes, is unlikely to be slow. It will likely be sharp and fast, driven by a shift in expectations, news, or earnings. That kind of move can erase gains quickly before prices stabilize and rebuild.
The right approach isn’t to panic or exit entirely. It’s to stay invested but manage risk. Trim positions that have run hard, rebalance back to target weights, and avoid overconcentration in one sector.
Taking profits along the way protects capital without missing further upside.
If a 20% to 30% pullback occurs, it may create better entry
5-7-26 The Market Knows More Than You — Follow Price, Not Headlines
2026-05-07
The market $SPY $QQQ has climbed relentlessly despite years of bearish headlines—wars, inflation, rate hikes, and constant crash predictions—because price isn’t driven by fear, it’s driven by earnings expectations.
As long as forward earnings continue to rise, markets tend to grind higher, regardless of noise.
Most risks people react to are already known and priced in, meaning reacting emotionally to news often leads to poor decisions.
The reality is simple: the market aggregates more information than any individual investor.
Instead of trying to outguess it with headlines, the edge comes from following price, trend, and supply-demand signals.
No earnings breakdown, no sustained bear market. Respect the trend, manage risk, and don’t fight what price is clearly telling you.
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3-21-26 Candid Coffee – Ask Us Anything
2026-03-23
Are you retirement-ready — or just retirement-adjacent? In this month’s Candid Coffee, Richard Rosso & Danny Ratliff tackle your biggest questions on taxes, income, risk management, and wealth protection so you can retire with clarity and confidence.
From Roth conversions and HSA strategies to variable annuities, derivatives, and trusts, we cover the full spectrum of retirement planning in plain English — no jargon, no sales pitch, just candid advice over coffee.
Key Topics Covered:
0:00 – INTRO
1:18 – Roth Conversion & Taxes After Retirement
10:34 – How to prepare for retirement, but want tax benefits now?
16:30 – Annual Conversions of SEP IRA to Roth IRA
17:54 – Withdrawal or loan for big-ticket items?
20:40 – HSA Contributions to reduce taxable income
23:20 – Variable annuities,
The 200-DMA Just Broke: What Every Investor Should Know
2026-03-23
There are hundreds of technical indicators that market analysts track, but only one gets a live television chyron the moment it breaks. The 200-day moving average (200-DMA) is the single most widely followed technical level in global financial markets, and the reason isn’t mystical; it’s institutional. Quant funds, pension allocators, programmatic traders, systemic funds, and …
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1-30-26 Retirement Income When Markets Are Expensive
2026-01-30
Markets may still enjoy short-term momentum, but long-term retirement planning must confront a different reality: elevated valuations, lower forward returns, and rising sequence-of-returns risk.
Richard Rosso explains why retirees face a near-term tailwind in market returns—but potentially long-term secular stagnation that demands tighter portfolio guardrails. Rich will discuss why historically tested retirement income strategies matter more today than at any point in the last two decades.
#RetirementIncome #MarketValuations #SequenceOfReturns #FinancialPlanning #RIAAdvisors
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