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5-25-26 Lending Cycles & Real Estate Risk – David Zugheri Interview

What really drives lending cycles, and why do they always seem to end the same way?
Lance Roberts and RealFin Capital founder, David Zugheri, break down how credit is created, why risk builds beneath the surface, and what happens when underwriting standards begin to loosen. From the origins of the RTC to today’s lending environment, we explore the structural forces that shape booms, busts, and the transfer of wealth across the economy.

We also dig into the evolution of housing, the growing risks in multi-family real estate, and the unintended consequences of regulation on credit availability. Through the RealFin story and real-world experience in esoteric lending, we highlight what separates success from failure in volatile cycles, how liquidity disappears when it’s needed most, and why being battle-tested matters. If you want to understand why there’s rarely a “soft landing” in lending—and what that means for investors and business owners—this episode connects the dots.

0:00 - INTRO
2:11 - Building a Business During Business Cycles
5:35 - How We Got the RTC
7:16 - Risk is like Stretching
9:22 - The Beginning of the End
12:15 - The Two-trick Pony: Lower Rates or Loosen Underwriting
13:39 - There's no such thing as a soft landing in lending
14:06 - We loan money into existence
15:13 - Lending, Borrowing, & Redistribution of Wealth
19:54 - Capitalism is Not Broken
21:31 - Dodd Frank Killed the American Spirit
24:13 - The Different Flavors of Lending (Ass National Bank)
26:08 - It has Always Been Expensive to Buy a House
29:00 - When Asset Prices Get Out of Control
30:52 - The Evolution of the Housing Market, Problems in Multi-family Real Estate
32:09 - The RealFin Story - Esoteric Lending
34:33 - Regulation-induced Lending Restrictions
36:51 - The Difference Between Success & Failure in a Business
39:56 - When You Get Yourself in Trouble...
40:58 - The RealFin REIT - We eat our own dog food
44:43 - Being Battle-tested
46:01 - The Liquidity Issue
50:17 - Getting in Touch w RealFin
52:48 - The Most Powerful Force in the World
57:54 - Mistakes We've Made

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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#LendingCycle #RealEstateRisk #CreditMarkets #HousingMarket #FinancialSystem
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Lance Roberts
Finally, financial news that makes sense. Lance Roberts, the host of "StreetTalkLive", has a unique ability to bring the complex world of economics, investing and personal financial wealth building to you in simple, easy and informative ways but also makes it entertaining to listen to at the same time.
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