4-29-24 Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls?

2024-04-22

Despite reports of strong sales, when adjusted for inflation, the numbers reveal a different story – highlighting potential concerns for employment and small businesses. #RetailSales #EconomicIndicators

Take a closer look at what the sales figures really mean with Lance Roberts. Discover why, despite appearances, inflation-adjusted sales are not as robust as you might think.
– Exploring the discrepancy between reported sales figures and their inflation-adjusted reality
– Examining the correlation between weak inflation-adjusted sales and retail performance
– Understanding the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB)’s concerns regarding small business sales
– Delving into the implications of poor sales on employment growth
– Unveiling the economic indicators that are

2024-02-06

(2/6/24) Market Behavior in a Presidential Cycle: Markets are positioning for a GOP win in November; Jerome Powell is now more inclined to NOT cut rates any time soon. Markets now need a narrative to support their current thesis, but it’s only fundamentals that really matter. The Apple Vision goggle phenom. Markets sell-off, but knocking on the door of 5,000 in the S&P 500: now dealing with gravitational pull. Yields are reversing. NYC giving freebies to immigrants a la MMT: the flaws in that theory. Non-productive debt creates weaker economic growth. ISM Services index edge up into expansion; the quest to S&P 5000; Eli Lilly performance; why we own the stocks we own: We have to make money for our clients, and that’s where the action is. How long can the Magnificent-7 continue to rise?

2024-02-01

(2/1/24) Amelia Earhart was lost 83-years ago, and her missing plane may have been located in the Pacific Ocean, solving the mystery of her disappearance. The mystery of how the Fed operates, however, remains an enigma. And in 2024, there political implications the Fed must also consider (could Kennedy "Perot" the election?) Markets sold off after Jerome Powell promised no rate cuts anytime soon, but bonds had a good day as Treasury shifted stance in favor of longer-termed bonds. Elon Musk could move to Texas from Delaware just in time for Texas to secede. The markets’ response to Jerome Powell’s promise of no rate relief anytime soon; could Apple, Amazon, & Meta reports and subsequent performance could alter the dynamics of the Magnificent-7 to the Super-6 or Fab-5? What about the other

2023-12-07

(12/7/23) Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens When Buybacks Go Away " is here: -jBIrzg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Is There Hope for 2024?"
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s
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Articles Mentioned in this Show:
"Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/
"Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/
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Get more info &

2023-12-04

(12/4/23) Welcome to the first full week of December trading; a review of Mrs. Roberts’ Birthday Weekend; market-wise, the stock buy back window is closing; expectations for a hawkish Fed statement next week; mutual fund distributions are coming; be cautious about being overly bullish. Rotations from the Magnificent Seven are beginning; the ‘Everything’ Rally went too far, too fast. We’re back where we were in July; losses were mitigated by the Magnificent Seven. Chasing last year’s leaders is not a good idea. As we wrap up 2023, we believe December will be more muted, barely positive. Recession talk has not abated, slower growth is expected, which is why the Fed had paused. Jerome Powell is not in as good a position as before, saying it is "premature to conclude when policy might ease."

2023-12-01

(12/1/23) The next James Bond movie should be called, "Convexity," starring Michael Lebowitz; looking at the Climate Summit: What’s on Bill Gates’ agenda? ESG is a farce; it’s all about big business; eating bugs and drinking beetle juice. How to execute Thematic Investing; what are the rules needed to manage? The Magazine of Wall Street: How times have changed. Financial Ghosts-past: learning from your mistakes. Calculating your personal debt-to-income ratio, and our recommendations; the wisdom of waiting; wants vs needs. Careful of using online tools to calculate debt ratios (know the source!) "Standard Rules" vs reality. Home affordability and the trend toward smaller houses. Money Scripts & the $5 test: The Ratliff Safe (TM)

2:53 – Convexity & Climate Summits
14:12 – Thematic