10-4-24 The Importance of Trusts in Financial Planning

2024-09-03

Trading on quick news and momentum vs. fundamentals – interesting insights on investing trends! 📈 #Investing #Trading #Finance

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Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/52ded6

2024-08-31

Say no to credit card debt! You don’t need it for a good credit score. Pay your bills on time and have the money talk with your kids. 💳 #FinancialTips

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Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/2b069a

2024-08-30

In a recent discussion with Adam Taggart via Thoughtful Money, we quickly touched on the similarities between the U.S. and Japanese monetary policies around the 11-minute mark. However, that discussion warrants a deeper dive. As we will review, Japan has much to tell us about the future of the U.S. economically.

Let’s start with the deficit. Much angst exists over the rise in interest rates. The concern is whether the government can continue to fund itself, given the post-pandemic surge in fiscal deficits. From a purely “personal finance” perspective, the concern is valid. “Living well beyond one’s means” has always been a recipe for financial disaster.

Notably, excess spending is not just a function of recent events but has been 45 years in the making. The government started

2024-08-24

Managing long term gains is key. Take profits along the way for a more manageable position. Looking ahead for better chances! 📈 #investingtips

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Subscribe to our YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/47695e

2024-08-23

The latest retail sales report seems to have given Wall Street something to cheer about. Headlines touting resilience in consumer spending increased hopes of a “soft landing” boosting the stock market. However, as is often the case, the devil is in the details. We uncover a more troubling picture when we peel back the layers of this seemingly positive data. Seasonal adjustments, downward revisions, and rising delinquency rates on credit cards and auto loans suggest a more cautious view. The consumer—the backbone of the U.S. economy—may be in more trouble than the headline numbers indicate.

The Mirage of Seasonal Adjustments

The July retail sales report showed a sharp increase of 1.0% month-over-month, surpassing expectations. However, while that number supports the idea of a

2024-08-21

Profitable bond trading opportunities arise when your expectations about Fed policy differ from those of the market. Therefore, with the Fed seemingly embarking on a series of interest rate cuts, it behooves us to appreciate how many interest rate cuts the Fed Funds futures market expects and over what period. Equally important, Fed Funds futures help us assess the market’s economic growth and inflation expectations.

Currently, Fed Funds futures imply the Fed will start cutting rates in September and reduce them by 2.25% to 3.09% in early 2026. From that point, the market expects the Fed to slowly increase Fed Funds to 3.50%. The limited rate cuts and relatively high trough in Fed Funds tell us the market is not pricing in a recession but a normalization of GDP with inflation running

2024-06-21

Markets move in cycles. Remember how happy you were this date last year? Anticipate the Fed cutting rates, it impacts the markets. Stay informed. 📈💡 #Finance #MarketTrends #FinancialDistress

We break down the realities of market cycles and offers a cautious outlook for the year ahead. Get ready for some insightful truths about what really happens when the Fed starts adjusting rates.
– Explanation of market cycles
– The role of the Federal Reserve in market performance
– Impact of rate cuts on market behavior
– Anticipation versus reaction in market dynamics
– Predictions for market conditions in the next year

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2024-06-19

The latest Retail Sales data shows cutbacks by consumers; how might this cause the Fed to shift its rate cut timing?

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/
"Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Makes Correction Pain Worse?" is here:
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