by Lance Roberts
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| Kevin Warsh’s nomination hearing put Federal Reserve reform front and center. His vision challenges long-standing norms, raising key questions about how monetary policy could change—and what it means for markets. What would a Warsh-led Fed mean for interest rates, inflation expectations, and market stability? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the implications. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Kevin Warsh & Fed Reform; Technology at All-time High 5:47 - If You Missed the Rally... 10:32 - Temps in God's Country 11:39 - Odds are Kevin Warsh Will Be Confirmed 12:22 - Misnomer: The Fed is Trying to Bail Out the Dollar 16:02 - All Money is Lent Into Existence 18:29 - Money Supply is Not a Gauge of Inflation 22:09 - Misunderstanding Leads to Poor Investing Decisions 23:19 - When Kevin Warsh Replaces Jerome Powell 24:44 - QE is Reverse-Robinhood 26:40 - Fed Switch from Trimmed PCE for Inflation Metric 28:22 - Fed Communication & Forward Guidance 31:20 - Markets No Longer Pay Attention to Fundamentals 34:39 - Will Warsh Be Able to Make Substantive Changes? 36:17 - Fed Crises & New Chairmen 39:18 - Passive Investing Does a Disservice to Economy 41:05 - The Value Names Don't Have a Lot of Value 43:06 - Passive Investing Creates Mis-allocation of Capital ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Ask Us Anything " https://youtube.com/live/yFe9x3vjJn0 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Wait for the Setup" is here: ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #InterestRates #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy |
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4-22-26 The Market’s First Reaction To The Next Fed Era Is In
2026-04-22
On Tuesday, we saw the market’s first reaction to the potential next Fed chair, as Kevin Warsh’s comments introduced a mix of signals.
His commitment to balance sheet reduction pointed to tighter liquidity, pressuring equities, while a shift toward alternative inflation measures could open the door for earlier rate cuts.
That push and pull explains the choppy action after an extended rally.
This wasn’t a breakdown—it was the market showing what its reaction could be to a policy shift and the uncertainty around a new Fed era.
When Jerome Powell took over in 2018, markets saw a significant drawdown, a reminder that transitions at the Fed often come with volatility.
I
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3-10-26 The Benefits Talk Every Business Owner Needs
2026-03-10
Consider this the money talk your Dad would have given you if he knew everything about running a business. Jon Penn and Tom Allen provide straight-talking advice, walking you through exactly how to build a benefits and retirement strategy that works for you AND your employees. No jargon. No sales pitch. Just the kind of honest, experienced advice two dads would give their own kids sitting across the kitchen table.
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3-9-26 Retail Investors Keep Buying Every War Dip
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Despite rising geopolitical tensions and constant headlines about the Iran conflict, the stock market has remained largely range-bound.
One key reason is aggressive retail dip-buying. Data from order-flow activity shows retail investors piling into stocks and ETFs at the highest levels in years, stepping in on nearly every pullback.
While the index appears flat, rapid rotations between value and growth are creating opportunities beneath the surface.
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1-20-26 Is a House Still a Good Investment in 2026?
2026-01-20
Is buying a house still a good investment—or has the market pulled too much future return forward? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the housing investment debate through a time-horizon lens, comparing housing to stocks, examining historical “win rates,” and explaining why transaction costs, leverage, and holding period matter far more in real estate than most buyers realize.
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0:19 – Moving into the Heart of Earnings Season
5:36 – Markets’ Price Consolidation Breaks to the Downside
9:51 – Lance & Jonathan’s Weekend Recap
11:36 – Collegiate Investors – Be Careful of Risk
16:35 – Don’t Invest Your Student Loan Money!
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1-19-26 The Metric that Matters – The Michael Green Interview
2026-01-15
What really matters for markets in 2026—and why are most forecasts focused on the wrong metrics?
Lance Roberts visits with Simplify Portfolio Manager & Chief Investment Strategist, Michael Green, CFA, to examine the structural changes inside today’s markets that are reshaping price discovery, volatility, and risk. From the rise of passive investing and ETF dominance to the growing disconnect between fundamentals and flows, the mechanics of how markets trade have changed dramatically.
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1-14-26 Why “Just Hold Forever” Isn’t a Good Strategy
2026-01-14
The market isn’t about to crash, but it is pressing against a rare, long-term resistance zone at historically high valuations. That raises the risk of lower future returns and periodic corrections.
In this Short video, Lance Roberts discussed why ignoring valuation and mean reversion can leave long-term investors short of their goals.
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11-22-25 How the Fed Controls Every Asset You Trade
2025-11-22
The Fed is now the single most important source of liquidity in every major market.
In this short video, Michael Lebowitz and I break down the key signals that reveal when liquidity stress is building and why they matter for every asset you trade.
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Capex Spending On AI Is Masking Economic Weakness
2025-11-21
The U.S. economy’s recent growth has a distinctive engine: large‑scale capital expenditures (capex) tied to artificial intelligence (AI). Firms such as Microsoft, Alphabet (Google), Meta Platforms, and Amazon have announced massive investments in data centers, servers, networking equipment, and AI infrastructure. As noted by Investing.com: “Artificial intelligence is consuming capital faster than investors can recalibrate. …
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