11-7-24 Fed Day Arrives
2024-11-07
In the aftermath of the 2024 Election, attention now turns to today’s Fed announcement, with odds makers giving 96% chance of a quarter-percent rate cut. Meanwhile, markets are roiling as foreign investors try to position after the election. Managers are scrambling to re-risk in time for year-end reporting; Wednesday was a huge day for Small Caps. Lance and Michael discuss the frequency of Mexican Food, our up coming 2025 Economic Summit, and what investors should do in response to Tuesday’s election. The results argue for the value in a diversified portfolio. Questions remain: Why was Gold getting crushed? What will Trump do? Will there be an economic surprise? A discussion of economic reporting, and prediction the NFIB Confidence Index will surge with the Trump win. Employment data,
11-4-24 The Presidential Election Cometh
2024-11-04
It’s 2024 Election-eve: Hedge funds are long on a presumed outcome; watch for a pick up in volatility. The Fed meets on the day after the election; there are still about 100 S&P Companies left to report. Reference Lance’s weekend article on buy backs, Wolf in Sheep’s Clothing: Apple spent $100-B on stock buy backs, when they could have purchased Intel for $99-B and produced their own chips. But, no. investors should do nothing on this day before the election; any move you make could be wrong. RIP Quincy Jones & Peanuts the Squirrel; Earnings Season Beat Rates are still elevated 80% (w charts). Roughly 10% of earnings are manufactured, and these are boosted by buy backs. Jerome Powell commentary this week will depend upon election outcome; he doesn’t know yet. Lance’ discussion on
Understanding Market Risk: Why Profits Always Revert to the Mean
2024-10-30
Market reminder: Overconfidence can lead to risks. Remember, assets revert to the mean eventually. Take profits wisely! 📈💰 #tradingtips
Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/c079b3
YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
9-11-24 What’s Really Behind Stock Market Volatility (and how you should strategize)
2024-09-11
Today marks the 23rd anniversary of the World Trade Center attacks; it’s Inflation Day and post-Debate day. Market volatility tends to increase prior to Presidential elections; why policy matters. CPI is expected to show a .2% increase (it’s ALWAYS expected at .2%!) Oil prices are a function of supply & demand. CPI will most impact markets today, and factor into the Fed’s rate decision next week. Volatility is the big market driver.
S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis
2024-09-10
The S&P 500 index is a critical benchmark for the U.S. equity market, and its performance often dictates investor sentiment and decision-making. Between November 1, 2022, and September 6, 2024, the S&P 500 experienced a significant rally but not without volatility. Currently, investors have very mixed views about where markets are heading next as concerns of a recession linger or what changes to monetary policy will cause.
However, as investors, we must trade the market we have today. Therefore, using technical analysis, we can explore bullish and bearish market dynamics to assist us in managing risk more effectively. This blog will outline three bullish and bearish perspectives using momentum, relative strength, and other key technical indicators. Finally, we will conclude with five
9-4-24 Big Down Day
2024-09-04
The S&P 500 sank 2.1%, the Nasdaq lost 3.3%, and while the tech sector led stocks into the red, the Dow wasn’t excluded from the bad day either, shedding over 600 points for a 1.5% loss. What’s next? The Tuesday market dump was accompanied by weak manufacturing reports suggesting the economy is weakening. The Yield Curve actually un-inverted briefly, and then re-inverted. Markets sold off more sharply than expected for no apparent reason, led by semiconductors and The Most Significant Stock in the market, Nvidia. However, after the dust settled, it was learned (by the rest of us) Nvidia was served with a DOJ subpoena investigating "monopolistic" behavior AFTER the closing bell. Wonder how they knew that? The risks to the market remain: Polling suggests policy after the election WILL
8-27-24 Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction
2024-08-27
Today’s show is all over the place: Durable Goods take a big jump…unless you remove Aircraft. Astronauts stuck in space: Elon Musk to the rescue. Markets are overbought; risk remains in Carry Trade. Market correction will likely be short and shallow. What if: Nvidia’s report tomorrow. Stocks are setting up for correction: Stocks on sale? Fallacies about the Dollar and where best to store currency. Viagra, Blue Chews, Him’s/Her’s: Demographics and the birthrate. Dating apps falling off a cliff. Demographics are destiny; the economics of dating. The family unit is the basis of the economy. The demise of society w/emergence of social media. Houston has a problem with scammers: Jonathan relates his daughter’s recent run-in with the "Safe harbor Hotel" scam.
3:13 – Durable Goods, Stuck in
Navigating 401K Challenges
2024-08-26
Are you maximizing your 401K contributions? 💰 Let’s make sure we’re funding as much as we can for a secure retirement future! 🌟 #RetirementPlanning
Want to learn more?
YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow
Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/74ac84
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