by Lance Roberts
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| The market is underestimating the risk from a slowing consumer. In this short video, I explain why weakening consumer spending matters more than AI and data-center investment for economic growth and earnings in 2026. If you like this video, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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1 Million Layoffs
2025-12-08
U.S. employers have announced over 1 million layoffs this year, the highest annual total since the pandemic-era collapse in 2020. November alone saw more than 71,000 layoffs announced, keeping pressure on sectors from technology to telecoms even as the equity market pushes higher. The post below, courtesy @KobeissiLetter, details some of this year’s announcements. …
Bullish Case Or Bearish Backdrop
2025-12-06
🔎 At a Glance 💬 Ask a Question Have a question about the markets, your portfolio, or a topic you’d like us to cover in a future newsletter? 📩 Email: [email protected]🐦 Follow & DM on X: @LanceRoberts📰 Subscribe on Substack: @LanceRoberts We read every message and may feature your question in next week’s issue! 🏛️ …
12-5-25 Roth Conversions, Money Rules & Financial Wellness: What Actually Works?
2025-12-04
Richard Rosso breaks down a study that modeled hundreds of thousands of retirement scenarios to determine which Roth conversion strategy performs best over a 10-year period:
• Staying in a traditional IRA/401(k) and taking RMDs
• A one-time Roth conversion
• A gradual, multi-year conversion strategy
RIA Advisors’ Financial Guardrails are timeless principles for building lasting wealth and protecting your financial future. Rich also shares insights from decades of experience helping investors avoid common pitfalls and build financial wellness that lasts generations.
0:00 – INTRO
0:19 – The Roth Account Smile
4:40 – Roth Applications for Different Stages of Life
12:41 – Rules Can Save You in a Turbulent World
14:55 – Annuities Should Be Planned, not Sold
15:52 – A Home is a Liability,
Is QT On Its Last Lap?
2025-10-16
Chairman Powell spoke on Tuesday, addressing several topics. Of note was the following quote: “We may be approaching the end of our balance sheet contraction in the coming months.” The market interpretation is that QT is ending soon. As a reminder, QT, also known as quantitative tightening, has been in effect for over three years. …
8/22/25 Raising Money-Smart Kids | How to Teach Kids About Money & Saving
2025-08-22
Raising money-smart kids is one of the most valuable lessons you can give them for life. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down how to teach kids about money, from saving and budgeting to making smart financial decisions early on.
You’ll learn practical strategies for financial literacy for children, including:
Simple ways to explain money to kids
How to teach kids to save money and set goals
Smart money habits that last a lifetime
Real-world lessons for raising financially responsible kids
Whether you’re a parent, grandparent, or educator, these tips will help you set the foundation for your child’s financial future.
0:19 – Financial Literacy Starts in the Home
6:52 – The Danger of On-line Shopping
9:01 – The Marshmello Experiment on Delayed Gratification
10:39 – The
OPEX Overload: How 3 Trillion In Expirations Can Move Markets
2025-08-21
Nearly $3 trillion of notional stock options expire on Friday’s open expiration (OPEX day). Over half of the OPEX volume is in S&P 500 options, with the remainder in single stock options. The graph below provides details on the split between puts and calls, and the strike prices and open interest of the options. Almost …
The Fed’s “Transitory” Mistake Is Affecting Its Outlook
2025-06-27
In 2023 and 2024, the Fed was under intense public and media scrutiny for calling the post-pandemic surge in inflation “transitory.” Critics argued that the Fed’s failure to anticipate the persistence and severity of rising prices undermined its credibility. Yet, with the benefit of hindsight and historical context, the Fed’s position wasn’t entirely misguided. Inflation …
Behind The Meter Solutions: The Gas Powering AI
2025-06-23
As the building of AI and cloud data centers expands rapidly, the demand for energy to power these data centers grows. The problem, however, is that the existing power grid can’t keep up with the rapidly increasing demand. Furthermore, improving and expanding the power grid takes longer than building data centers.
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