10-15-25 Is the Fed Poised to Pause Quantitative Tightening?
2025-10-15
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell just hinted that the Fed may soon pause its balance-sheet runoff — a potential shift that could reshape market liquidity and investor sentiment.
Lance Roberts breaks down:
* Why the Fed may pause QT — and what it signals about financial conditions.
* How ending balance-sheet runoff affects liquidity, yields, and asset prices.
* What history tells us about QT pauses and subsequent market rallies.
* Why the Fed’s portfolio composition (Treasuries vs. MBS) still matters for inflation and housing.
* Portfolio tactics if the liquidity tide begins to turn.
#FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #FedPolicy
#MarketLiquidity #StockMarketAnalysis
First Brands: Canary In The Rehypothecation Coal Mine?
2025-10-13
The First Brands Group, manufacturer of auto parts, including Raybestos brakes and FRAM, filed for bankruptcy on September 29th. This bankruptcy is troubling in two ways. First, per the ZeroHedge chart below, the price of First Brands loans fell by 80% in a day. In other words, the loan market had no clue of financial …
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