by Lance Roberts
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| Record margin debt combined with shrinking disposable income has created a fragile market structure. In this short video, Lance Roberts explains how elevated leverage and declining cash reserves increase the risk of forced margin calls, turning ordinary pullbacks into accelerated selloffs as mechanical liquidation pressure feeds on itself and amplifies volatility. Lance also highlights a real example of a leveraged $SLV position that reportedly lost $1 million in a single day, showing how quickly margin can wipe out capital when markets reverse. Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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1-7-26 Let’s Talk About Venezuela, Oil Prices & Energy Stocks
2026-01-07
Energy stocks $XLE are running ahead of oil fundamentals, and that gap won’t last forever.
In this Short video, Lance Roberts explains how Venezuela, supply risk, and slowing demand could push #crudeoil prices lower and force energy stocks to catch up.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
2026 Forecast: Tis The Season For Wild Guesses
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It’s that time of year when every Wall Street analyst posts their forecast for where the S&P 500 will close at the end of 2026. This year, as in every other, Wall Street expects the S&P 500 to post positive returns. As shown below, Bank of America is the most cautious, with a 3% gain, …
Margin Debt Sets Records: Should We Be Concnered?
2025-11-19
There is a strong historical relationship between margin debt and the stock market. Given that margin debt just set a record at $1.18 trillion, it’s worth appreciating the mechanics that support this relationship and what it may tell us about how much longer the bull market may run. When stocks rise, the wealth effect kicks …
11-12-25 A Daily Dose Of Charts & Graphs
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In this short video, I cover the return of risk appetite, falling rents signaling disinflation, and the $5–$7T AI data-center buildout.
I also touch on $AAPL push into robotics and the massive power and funding needs driving the next tech super-cycle — everything you need in one visual market update.
🐦Follow me on X: https://x.com/LanceRoberts
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
Defensive Rotation? Energy Stocks on the MoveThe Real Investment Show
2025-09-26
Energy stocks $XLE are breaking out, even as oil remains flat near $64.
In this short video, I explain why a bullish golden cross and rising strength point to a potential defensive rotation from $SPY / $QQQ.
Full episode:
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Equity Fund Outflows Soar: Blip or Warning?
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Our friend Jim Colquitt, in his Weekly Chart Review, brought to our attention a large and irregular outflow from equity funds last week. He cites a Reuters article stating that investors withdrew $43 billion from US equity funds last week. That was the largest outflow since December 2024. The graph below shows that equity fund …
9/18/25 The Real Reason The Market Popped After the Fed Cut
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The Fed cut rates as expected, but Powell admitted uncertainty and insisted policy is still "restrictive."
@michaellebowitz and I discuss why markets see it as "accommodative" and are rallying on that perception, with $INTC & $NVDA helping big.
#FedRateCut #StockMarketRally #PowellSpeech #NvidiaStocks #InterestRates
Semiannual Reporting Requirements Are Overhyped
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President Trump is pushing to reduce the SEC’s financial reporting requirements from quarterly to semiannual reporting. He’s framing the idea in a positive light: it would allow managers to focus on the business, lower compliance costs, and fight “short-termism” in markets. In reality, it would weaken one of the hallmarks of U.S. capital markets: timely …
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