The Best Principle to Deal with Pain

2025-10-31

This simple animated video series answers the question, "How does the #economy really work?" Based on my practical template for understanding the economy.

This series breaks down economic concepts like #credit, #deficits and #interest rates, allowing viewers to learn the basic driving forces behind the economy, how economic policies work and why economic cycles occur.

This is Part 5, I hope you find these helpful.

2025-10-28

This year, the US will spend 40% more than it’s taking in. This number is increasing each year — and our debt plays a major role.

This is a big problem, especially because cutting our spending is a difficult political issue. And as we continue to add to the debt, the supply-demand picture worsens.

I fear that we are approaching the point where we won’t be able to rectify it.
@TheProfGPod

2025-10-23

In the late 1970’s, I calculated that we were going to have a global debt default. I was so confident in what that meant for the markets that I went to Congress to share my perspective.

I couldn’t have been more wrong. While several countries defaulted on their debt, the impact on markets was the opposite of what I expected.

And I lost a lot of money — for me and for my clients. I had to let all of my employees go.

But it was the best experience that ever happened to me because it taught me that pain + reflection = progress.

And it taught me three lessons that became the foundation of Bridgewater’s success.

1) It gave me humility — the fear of being wrong was so strong that I had to always ask, “How do I know I’m right?”

2) It taught me the power of diversification — and how 15

2025-09-23

Gold is now the second largest reserve currency, behind the US dollar.

To understand why, you need to look at the history of fiat currencies (like the dollar) and hard currencies (like gold).

The way I see it, we’re currently facing a classic currency devaluation similar to what we saw in the 1970s or the 1930s. In both of those cases, fiat currencies around the world all went down together — and also went down in relationship to hard currencies, like gold.

If events today follow a similar pattern, that makes hard currencies an attractive asset to hold.

At least, that’s how it looks through my eyes. I’m curious to hear what you think.

You can watch the full conversation here: ?feature=shared

2025-08-20

One principle that I’ve really learned is “Pain + Reflect = Progress.”

2025-07-30

In an advanced economy, credit does more good than bad. But it’s important to remember that borrowing creates cycles — and if the cycle goes up, it eventually needs to come down.

I explain why this is particularly important today in my new book, How Countries Go Broke.

But if you’d like more context on how all of these pieces come together, I recommend you watch my 30-minute explainer “How the Economic Machine Works” here: &t=1444s

#principles #howcountriesgobroke #economics #credit

2025-07-15

In 10 years, the US government will be $55-60 trillion in debt (which will be 7-7.5 times government revenue) because there will be $25-30 trillion of additional borrowing. That amounts to about $425,000 of debt per American family.

When I calculate the supply and demand for this debt, I don’t see enough buyers to buy the debt the US needs to sell, which will cause big problems.

We can avoid the worst-case scenario, but we need to act now.

To learn more, I encourage you to read my new book, How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle.

#raydalio #principles #economics #debt