Tag Archive: newsletter

FX Daily, November 7: Trade Optimism Boosts Sentiment but Weighs on the Dollar

2019-11-07

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2019-11-07

Indications that a phase one agreement between the US and China would include rolling back some existing tariffs is boosting risking appetites, sending stocks higher, and pushing up yields. However, this appears to be simply a restating of China's views rather than a new breakthrough. The dollar is paring its recent gains. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose for the fifth time in six sessions to reach its best level since August 2018.

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UBS: “Negative interest rates harm Swiss economy”

2019-11-07

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2019-11-07

A survey of Swiss companies commissioned by UBS bank concludes that negative interest rates are harming the wider economy. Switzerland’s largest bank, UBS, asked 2,500 companies about the impact of negative interest rates. “Nearly two-thirds of respondents said that the cost…for the economy outweighed their benefits overall,” UBS said in a press releaseexternal link on Thursday.

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You Have To Try Really Hard Not To See It

2019-11-07

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2019-11-07

ISM Purchasing Managers Indexes, 2017-2019
In early September, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released figures for its non-manufacturing PMI that calmed nervous markets. A few weeks before anyone would start talking about repo, repo operations, and not-QE asset purchases, recession and slowdown fears were already prevalent.

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USD/CHF technical analysis: Greenback hanging near the November highs against CHF

2019-11-07

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2019-11-07

USD/CHF daily chart
USD/CHF is trading flat on the day, consolidating the gains of the last two days. The level to beat for bulls is the 0.9940/0.9956 resistance zone. On the daily chart, USD/CHF is trading in a range below its 200-day simple moving average (DMA). The market is holding just above the 50 SMA today at the 0.9916 level. 

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Swiss train problems being solved, says manufacturer

2019-11-07

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2019-11-07

Bombardier says it expects to deliver all 62 double-decker express trains ordered by Swiss Federal Railways by summer 2021. Deliveries should have been made as early as 2013 but have been fraught with technical problems. The trains were ordered in 2010 for a total of CHF 1.9 billion ($1.9 billion), making it the largest contract in the history of rail transport.

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Why is solar power struggling to take off in Switzerland?

2019-11-07

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2019-11-07

Solar energy is the main source of renewable energy in Switzerland, after hydroelectric power. But its potential is far from being exploited, according to industry experts. In 1982 Switzerland became the first country in Europe to connect a photovoltaic plant to the electricity network. Ten years later it inaugurated what at the time was the continent’s largest solar power station.

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Sound Money Scholarship Winners Announced – 7 Outstanding Thinkers Earn Nearly $10,000 in Tuition Assistance

2019-11-07

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2019-11-07

Eagle, ID (November 6, 2019) – Seven outstanding students beat out over 100 of their high-school and college peers in making the best case for sound money through an international, gold-backed scholarship competition......and the winners walked away with almost $10,000 in scholarship awards for their exceptional, thought-provoking essays.

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Nestlé accused of sourcing palm oil linked to forest fires in Indonesia

2019-11-06

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2019-11-06

The environmental group Greenpeace claims that the Swiss food giant procured palm oil from suppliers linked to around 9,700 fire hotspots in Indonesia this year. A Greenpeace reportexternal link released on Monday examines the supply chain of four major food companies – Nestlé, Unilever, Procter & Gamble and Mondelēz – and compares them to palm oil suppliers that are under investigation for starting illegal fires.

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Dollar Rally Stalls as Fresh Drivers Awaited

2019-11-06

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2019-11-06

US-China relations continue to improve with news of cooperation in a major fentanyl case. Eurozone final services and composite PMIs surprised on the upside; UK Parliament will be dissolved today. Poland is expected to keep rates steady at 1.5%; Russia October CPI is expected to rise 3.8% y/y. China sold €4 bn in its first euro-denominated bond since 2004; Thailand cut rates 25 bp to 1.25%, as expected.

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FX Daily, November 6: Markets Catch Collective Breath as Dollar Consolidates Yesterday’s Advance

2019-11-06

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2019-11-06

Overview: Investors seem to be catching their collective breath today, and the global capital markets are consolidating recent moves. A notable exception is the Chinese yuan, which has continued to strengthen, and the dollar has slipped back below CNY7.0. Asia Pacific equities were mixed, and the four-day advance in the regional benchmark stalled today.

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Robinhood’s “Infinite Money Cheat Code” Gives Traders Access To Unlimited Funds

2019-11-06

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2019-11-06

If one is a central bank - such as the SNB and BOJ - life is easy: you just print as much money as you need out of thin air, and buy whatever you want, without regard for price. For those who are not central banks, having access to unlimited borrowed money may be the next best thing.

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Would an Uber ban in Geneva push other cities to treat drivers as employees?

2019-11-06

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2019-11-06

It’s not the first time Uber has faced some bumps on the road in canton Geneva. But the latest move requiring the ride-hailing company to treat drivers as employees could spell big changes for the company. Will Uber call it quits or set a precedent for other cities?

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The American Middle Class Isn’t Disappearing — But it’s Not All Good News

2019-11-06

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2019-11-06

Median Total Income, Households, in 2018 Dollars
I'm not of the opinion that the American economy is doing amazingly well. However, I'm also not of the opinion that it is falling apart, or that the American middle class is disappearing before our eyes. Nor is there is no one, single, magic statistic we can point to and say "see, we're all worse off — or better off — now." Aggregate economic data is by its very nature lacking in nuance, moreover, difference measures of economic growth and...

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The Fight Against “Home Sharing” Drives up the Price of Short-Term Housing

2019-11-06

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2019-11-06

City Council in London, Ontario recently decided to explore their options for regulating “short-term rentals” arranged through companies such as Airbnb, HomeAway, etc. The motion was brought forward by Councillor Anna Hopkins, who is concerned about (a) complaints from residents about short-term-renters’ noisy parties, and (b) “the role those short-term rentals have on taking potential long-term housing options out of the market.”

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FX Daily, November 5: Animal Spirits Remain Animated

2019-11-05

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2019-11-05

The prospects that the US-China deal could include some rolling back of existing US tariffs helped underpin risk appetites. After new record highs in the US S&P 500 and NASDAQ, Asia Pacific markets marched higher, and the MSCI Asia Pacific reached its highest level since August 2018. A small rate cut by China and catch-up by Tokyo, which was on holiday on Monday, helped extended the regional rally for the 14th session in the past 17.

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‘Farinet’ local currency to be withdrawn from circulation

2019-11-05

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2019-11-05

The Farinet – a local currency introduced in canton Valais in 2017 – is to be withdrawn from circulation at the end of 2019 after failing to stimulate the regional economy as hoped. Farinet banknotes were introduced in Valais in western Switzerland in spring 2017. But on Tuesday the association behind the currency announced it planned to withdraw it at the end of this year.

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Switzerland’s growth hampered by trade tensions, economic slowdown

2019-11-05

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2019-11-05

Trade tensions coupled with a slowdown in Europe are likely to take a toll on the Swiss economy over the next two years, the OECD forecasts. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has revised its growth forecasts downwards for Switzerland. It also recommended Switzerland raise its retirement age.

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November Monthly

2019-11-05

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2019-11-05

Two main developments drove the foreign exchange market in October.  First, the market grew more confident that a hard Brexit could be avoided.  This drove sterling sharply higher.  It rallied from $1.22 on October 10 to a little above $1.30 on October 21 before doubts grew about the likelihood that Parliament will approve the new agreement.

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The Middle Class Is Now The Muddle Class

2019-11-05

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2019-11-05

Workers share of national income, 1994-2020
The net result is the muddle class has the signifiers but not the wealth, power, capital or agency that once defined the middle class. The first use of the phrase The Muddle Class appears to be The rise of the muddle classes (Becky Pugh, telegraph.co.uk) in January 2007. The "muddle" described the complex nature of defining "the middle class," which includes education, class origins, accents, and many other financial, social and cultural...

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Targeting nGDP Targeting, Report 3 Nov

2019-11-05

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2019-11-05

Gold and Silver Prices
Not too long ago, we wrote about the so called Modern Monetary so called Theory (MMT). It is not modern, and it is not a theory. We called it a cargo cult. You’d think that everyone would know that donning fake headphones made of coconut shells, and waving tiki torches will not summon airplanes loaded with cargo. At least the people who believe in this have the excuse of being illiterate.

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