Tag Archive: newsletter

The Gathering Storm: Could Covid-19 Overwhelm Us in the Months Ahead?

2020-03-07

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2020-03-07

Exponential growth and the expansion of the coronavirus
Either the science is wrong and the complacent will be proven correct, or the science is correct and the complacent will be wrong. The present disconnect between the science of Covid-19 and the status quo's complacency is truly crazy-making, as we face a binary situation: either the science is correct and all the complacent are wrong, or the science is false and all the complacent are correct that the virus is no big deal and nothing to fret about.

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The US Constitution Needs an Expiration Date

2020-03-07

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2020-03-07

A unique feature of the Swiss Federal Constitution is the fact that the central government's power to impose direct taxes on citizens expires every decade or so. In fact, the current taxing authority expires at the end of 2020. Fortunately for the Swiss republic's central government, voters approved an extension (the "New Financial Regime 2021") for another fifteen years in a March 2018 election.

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In die Schweiz auswandern ???

2020-03-07

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2020-03-07

Seit geraumer Zeit haben wir mit unserem Projekt „Auswanderluchs“ gestartet. Christian bloggt und macht Videos zum Thema Auswandern in die Schweiz. Er ist vor 4 Jahren in die Schweiz gezogen, lebt und arbeitet nun hier und gibt seine Erfahrungen und Tipps an die Finanzrudel Community weiter.

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FX Daily, March 06: Panic Deepens, US Employment Data Means Little

2020-03-06

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2020-03-06

The sharp sell-off in US equities and yields yesterday is spurring a mini-meltdown globally today. Many of the Asia Pacific markets, including Japan, Australia, Taiwan, and India, saw more than 2% drops, while most others fell more than 1%. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index snapped the four-day advance had lifted it about 2.8% coming into today.

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Kauf von Swiss Re – Wenns donnert und kracht nachkaufen ??

2020-03-06

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2020-03-06

Das Depot hat ordentlich einkassiert, Dank dem Corona-Virus. Allerdings hat das neue Nachkaufmöglichkeiten geschaffen, ich habe nun meine Swiss Re Position weiter ausgebaut und besitze jetzt insgesamt 80 Stück. Hier geht’s übrigens zum letzten Aktien Kauf Royal Dutch Shell. Kauf von Swiss ReIch möchte nach wie vor weiterhin jeden Monat für 8-10’000 CHF in Aktien investieren, deshalb habe ich mir 33 Aktien vom Unternehmen Swiss Re ins Depot gelegt....

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Credit Suisse linked to list of 12,000 Nazis found in Argentina

2020-03-06

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2020-03-06

A list of 12,000 Nazis who are said to have lived in Argentina from the 1930s onwards has been found in Buenos Aires. Many of the Nazi sympathisers reportedly paid money into one or more accounts at Schweizerische Kreditanstalt, which later became Credit Suisse.

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Gold Surges 3 percent After U.S. Fed’s First Emergency Rate Cut Since 2008

2020-03-06

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2020-03-06

Gold 2020 performance
◆ Gold surges 3% and has largest daily gain since June 2016 as the Fed delivers a surprise emergency rate cut, the first since 2008 ◆ Gold has gained over 10% in dollars and by more in other currencies so far in 2020 and along with U.S. Treasuries, it is a one of the best performing assets in 2020 as stock markets globally fall sharply (see 2020 Asset Performance table)

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Take Your Pick of PMI’s Today, But It’s Not Really An Either/Or

2020-03-06

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2020-03-06

PMI's & GDP, 2012-2020
Take your pick, apparently. On the one hand, IHS Markit confirmed its flash estimate for the US economy during February. Late last month the group had reported a sobering guess for current conditions. According to its surveys of both manufacturers and service sector companies, the system stumbled badly last month, the composite PMI tumbling to 49.6 from 53.3 in January.

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“Heritage” Designation of Old Buildings Is Both Wasteful and Arbitrary

2020-03-06

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2020-03-06

An old red barn in London, Ontario was recently given heritage protection by City Council. Two days later, after dark, the barn was demolished. Owner John McLeod, citing legal advice, wouldn’t comment when asked if he’d demolished the barn but said, “I’m delighted that it’s down.”

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FX Daily, March 5: The Capital Markets YoYo Continues

2020-03-05

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2020-03-05

Overview: The 4.2% rally in the S&P 500 yesterday helped lift Asia Pacific markets earlier today, and the five basis point backing up of the US 10-year yield pushed regional yields higher. However, the coattails proved short, and Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is snapping a three-day advance and is off about 1.3% in late morning turnover to give back yesterday's gains.

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Chinese economic disruption hits Swiss supply chains

2020-03-05

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2020-03-05

China’s sharp contraction in economic activity over the past month due to the coronavirus epidemic is sending shockwaves across the globe. Switzerland is one of the top ten countries exposed to Chinese supply disruptions, a United Nations report reveals.

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The Greenspan Moon Cult

2020-03-05

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2020-03-05

US Treasury Curve, 2007-2019
Taking another look at what I wrote about repo and the latest developments yesterday, it may be worthwhile to spend some additional time on the “why” as it pertains to so much determined official blindness, an unshakeable devotion to otherwise easily explained lunar events.

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Governments Are Using the Coronavirus to Distract From Their Own Failures

2020-03-05

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2020-03-05

The Johns Hopkins University Coronavirus Global Cases Monitor shows that the mortality rate of the epidemic is very low. At the writing of this article,1 there have been 92,818 cases, 3,195 deaths, and 48,201 recoveries. It is normal for the media to focus on the first two figures, but I think that it is important to remember the last one. The recovered figure is more than ten times the deceased one.

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Christine Lagarde’s New Vision for the ECB

2020-03-05

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2020-03-05

On December 12, Christine Lagarde introduced her goals and vision in her first rate-setting meeting as the new president of the European Central Bank (ECB). On the actual policy front, there were no surprises. She remained committed to the path set by her predecessor, Mario Draghi, and kept the current monetary stimulus unchanged.

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Updated Democratic Primary Timeline

2020-03-05

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2020-03-05

RCP Betting Average
Super Tuesday has come and gone. Bloomberg has suspended his campaign after an extremely poor showing, and Warren is expected to follow suit soon. Here is our updated take on the likely Democratic candidate.

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Ich kaufe Schnäppchen ein – Wenn andere Hamstern und in Panik verfallen ??

2020-03-05

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2020-03-05

Wenn andere hamstern und Panik schieben, bewahren wir die Ruhe und halten an unserer Anlagestrategie fest. Für mich war es eigentlich nie ein Thema Markettiming zu betreiben, ich möchte regelmässig mein Geld an der Börse investieren. Reich durch einen Crash oder KorrekturWährend andere gelähmt sind und stetig abwarten bis der Boden erreicht ist, gehen viele Gelegenheiten ungenutzt.

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FX Daily, March 4: Equities Trade Higher, While Yields Continue to Fall

2020-03-04

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2020-03-04

Overview:  The G7 delivered up a nothing burger than was shortly followed by a 50 bp Fed cut.  The equity market seemed to enjoy it briefly and extended Monday's dramatic gains, before falling out of bed.  The S&P 500 lost about 2.2%, while the Dow Industrial slumped 3%, but shortly after the markets closed, equities began recovering, and the recovery carried over to the Asia Pacific region and Europe.

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Socialism and Gold

2020-03-04

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2020-03-04

Most people assume that the central bank prints money when it buys bonds. They further assume that this increase in the quantity of money causes an increase in the general price level. And, this leads them to assume that the value of the money is 1 / P (P is the general price level). Therefore, when the central bank prints money to buy bonds, it is diluting the value of the money held by everyone—in proportion to the amount printed divided by the...

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Red Bull profits from Swiss sugar subsidies

2020-03-04

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2020-03-04

The makers of sweet products benefit from the federal subsidies paid to sugar beet farmers in Switzerland. The price of sugar in Switzerland has been on the decline for years. As a result, 400 farmers have quit producing it in recent years. Sugar beet producers receive annual subsidies amounting to CHF36 million ($38 million).

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Will CHF/GBP Be a Good Currency Pair for Investment in the Future?

2020-03-04

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2020-03-04

Swiss Franc Currency Forecast
Trade between the UK and Switzerland is robust these days and it’s not going to get any worse for a long time. Even with the economic turmoil resulting from Brexit, the trade between these two countries was set to stay strong due to the special deal signed by them in 2019. As the situation stands now, trade agreements are solid, so these business relationships should only strengthen.

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