Tag Archive: newsletter

Monetary policy assessment of 19 March 2020

2020-03-20

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2020-03-20

SNB Switzerland Conditional Inflation Forecast, March 2020
Swiss National Bank maintains expansionary monetary policy, raises negative interest exemption threshold, and is examining additional steps. Coronavirus is posing exceptionally large challenges for Switzerland, both socially and economically. Uncertainty has risen considerably worldwide, and the outlook both for the global economy and for Switzerland has worsened markedly.

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Geldpolitik – Trotz Corona-Krise: Schweizerische Nationalbank lässt Leitzins unverändert

2020-03-20

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2020-03-20

Die Schweizerische Nationalbank belässt den Leitzins auf dem seit mehr fünf Jahren geltenden Rekordtief von minus 0,75 Prozent. Das gab die SNB am Donnerstag nach ihrer geldpolitischen Lagebeurteilung bekannt. Das dreiköpfige SNB-Direktorium um Notenbankchef Thomas Jordan setzt neben den Negativzinsen auf Eingriffe am Devisenmarkt, um einer starken Aufwertung des Franken entgegenzusteuern. Auf diese Interventionen will die SNB verstärkt...

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SNB hat 2019 wieder stärker am Devisenmarkt interveniert

2020-03-20

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2020-03-20

Die SNB hat 2019 wieder mehr Fremdwährungen gekauft.Die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) hat im vergangen Jahr Fremdwährungen im Gegenwert von insgesamt 13,2 Mrd. Franken gekauft, wie sie in ihrem am Donnerstag veröffentlichten Geschäftsbericht 2019 schreibt. Das ist eine deutliche Zunahme gegenüber dem Vorjahr, in dem lediglich 2,3 Mrd. Franken für Devisenkäufe aufgewendet wurden.

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Aplanando la economía «por el virus»

2020-03-20

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2020-03-20

Escribo esto el 18 de marzo, después de haber visto un cambio de 180 grados en la forma de pensar sobre las enfermedades contagiosas. Anteriormente, poníamos a los enfermos en cuarentena y respetamos el derecho de los sanos a seguir con sus vidas. Ahora estamos al borde de la ley marcial. En nuestro afán por combatir el coronavirus, estamos cerrando los viajes, las reuniones públicas, los restaurantes, etc.

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Coronavirus catches managers off guard

2020-03-20

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2020-03-20

The coronavirus has laid bare the fragilities and complex dependencies generated by globalisation. American-Swiss professor Suzanne de Treville, a specialist in helping firms relocate their industrial activities to the west, hopes that this crisis will trigger some major soul-searching.

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Dollar Firm, Markets Unsettled Despite Aggressive Policy Responses Worldwide

2020-03-20

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2020-03-20

Credit Risk Rising, 2019-2020
Markets remain unsettled even as policymakers worldwide continue to take aggressive emergency measures; the dollar continues to power higher. Fed rolled out another crisis-era program last night; US Senate passed the House virus relief bill by a 90-8 vote. ECB held an emergency call last night and announced an additional bond purchase program to the tune of €750 bln that now includes commercial paper.

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Government Is No Match for the Coronavirus

2020-03-20

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2020-03-20

The coronavirus is reminding everyone that you cannot rely on government and that ultimately it is the private sector that will provide the solutions. Many nonmedical government officials and members of the media are predicting massive cases of COVID-19 and death, when in fact no one can predict the outcome.

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FX Daily, March 19: ECB’s Bazooka Support Bonds but not the Euro

2020-03-19

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2020-03-19

Overview: It is not just that the dollar soared while stocks and bonds continued to plunge. The dollar's strength is, in effect, a powerful short-covering rally. It was used to fund a great part of the global circuit of capital. The circuit of capital is in reverse now, and the funding currency is being bought back. The dollar's strength is a function of the sell-off of other assets.

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Kauf von Omega Healthcare Investors – Im Aktien Crash fröhlich Einkaufen ? ?

2020-03-19

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2020-03-19

Es geht weiter bergab im Depot und am Aktienmarkt. Ich kaufe regelmässig nach, komme was wolle. Ich nutze die Gelegenheit, um Omega Healthcare Investors günstig aufzustocken und habe mir 100 Aktien gekauft. Jetzt besitze ich insgesamt 200 Stück. Hier geht’s übrigens zum letzten Aktien Kauf Swiss Re. Kauf von Omega Healthcare InvestorsIch lasse mich von der Marktlage nicht von meiner Strategie abbringen.

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112th Annual Report Swiss National Bank 2019

2020-03-19

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2020-03-19

The 2019 Annual Report of the Swiss National Bank is published on the SNB website

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Swiss Trade Balance February 2020: decline in foreign trade

2020-03-19

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2020-03-19

Swiss exports and imports, seasonally adjusted (in bn CHF), February 2020
After their strong increase the previous month, exports plunged 5.0% in February 2020 and thus continue on their negative trend that started in September 2019. Imports weakened by 1.4%. The trade balance closed with a surplus of 2.0 billion francs.

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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Dollar trading in fresh March’s highs, challenging 0.9750 level

2020-03-19

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2020-03-19

USD/CHF daily chart
USD/CHF is reversing up sharply from the 2020 lows. The level to beat for bulls is the 0.9750 resistance. USD/CHF is rebounding sharply from 2020 lows while nearing the 100 SMA on the daily chart. The demand for the greenback is dring the currency pair towards the 2020 highs. 

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The Global Repricing of Assets Can’t Be Stopped

2020-03-19

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2020-03-19

Student Loans Owned and Securitized, Outstanding 2008-2019
All bubbles pop, period. The financial elites are pushing a narrative that asset prices, sales and profits will all return to January 2020 levels as soon as the Covid-19 pandemic fades. Get real, baby. Nothing is going back to January 2020 levels. Rather than the "V-shaped recovery" expected by Goldman Sachs et al., the crash in asset prices will eventually gather momentum.

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Financialization: Why the Financial Sector Now Rules the Global Economy

2020-03-19

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2020-03-19

To read or watch the news in today's world is to be confronted with a wide array of stories about financial organization and financial institutions. News about central banks, interest rates, and debt appear to be everywhere.

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Enough food for months, government assures

2020-03-18

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2020-03-18

The Swiss authorities say there are food stocks available to consumers for more than four months to cope with the current coronavirus epidemic. “There is no reason to panic over food,” the government’s delegate for national economic supply, Werner Meier, said in an interview published on Wednesday in various newspapers belonging to the CH Media group.

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FX Daily, March 18: Bonds Join Equities in the Carnage

2020-03-18

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2020-03-18

Overview: A new phase of the market turmoil is at hand. Bonds are no longer proving to be the safe haven for investors fleeing stocks. The tremendous fiscal and monetary efforts, with more likely to come, have sparked a dramatic rise in yields. Meanwhile, equities are getting crushed again.

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SNB-Zinssenkung trotz Virus-Krise wohl kein Thema

2020-03-18

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2020-03-18

Mit zwei Ausnahmen erwarten die 29 von Reuters befragten Finanzmarktteilnehmer und Analysten, dass die Währungshüter der Schweizerischen Nationalbank (SNB) den Leitzins auf dem seit mehr fünf Jahren geltenden Rekordtief von minus 0,75 Prozent belassen. Auch die Sichteinlagen von Banken bei der Notenbank ab einem gewissen Freibetrag dürften weiterhin mit einer Gebühr von 0,75 Prozent belastet werden.

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Jim Bianco: “This Is One Of The Biggest Moments Of Truth In Financial Market History”

2020-03-18

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2020-03-18

To contain the economic and financial ramifications of the coronavirus pandemic, Central Banks are going all in. Jim Bianco, founder and chief strategist of Bianco Research, warns that this time, monetary policy might be unable to stop financial markets from collapsing.

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Is GFC2 Over?

2020-03-18

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2020-03-18

TED Spread, 2018-2020
Is it over? That’s the question everyone is asking about both major crises, the answer is more obvious for only the one. As it pertains to the pandemic, no, it is not. Still the early stages. The other crisis, the global dollar run? Not looking like it, either.

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