Tag Archive: newsletter

Nine out of ten Swiss are satisfied with their job

2019-08-21

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2019-08-21

The vast majority of Swiss people enjoy going to work. In a survey by consultants EY, 87% said they were satisfied or very satisfied with their job. Although the figure has barely changed since last year, differences between sectors persist. In the construction industry and in mechanical and systems engineering, for example, satisfaction has increased significantly.

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FX Daily, August 20: Marking Time Ahead of PMI and Powell

2019-08-20

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2019-08-20

Overview:  Global equities and bonds are firmer in quiet turnover, and the dollar is narrowing mixed in narrow ranges.  The big events of the week, the eurozone flash PMI and Powell's speech at Jackson Hole still lie ahead.  The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose for the third consecutive session, led by Korea and Australia's 1%+ gains. 

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Philipp Hildebrands Coup: Gratisgeld für EU-Bürger

2019-08-20

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2019-08-20

Vergangene Woche stellte Philipp Hildebrand, der frühere Präsident des Direktoriums der Schweizerischen Nationalbank (SNB), nun Vize-Präsident von Blackrock, auf Bloomberg ein Positionspapier vor.

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Swiss Trade Balance July 2019: foreign trade decelerates in July 2019

2019-08-20

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2019-08-20

Switzerland Trade Balance, July 2019
After shining the previous month, foreign trade turned red in July 2019. Despite a decline of 3.9% to 19.6 billion francs, exports had their second largest monthly result ever reached. Down 1.7%, imports were close to CHF 17 billion. The chemistry-pharma has greatly impacted both directions of the traffic. The trade balance is closing with a surplus of 2.7 billion francs.

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That Can’t Be Good: China Unveils Another ‘Market Reform’

2019-08-20

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2019-08-20

China Internal/External, 2014-2019
The Chinese have been reforming their monetary and credit system for decades. Liberalization has been an overriding goal, seen as necessary to accompany the processes which would keep the country’s economic “miracle” on track. Or get it back on track, as the case may be. Authorities had traditionally controlled interest rates through various limits and levers.

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Deflation Is Everywhere—If You Know Where to Look, Report 18 Aug

2019-08-19

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2019-08-19

Gold and Silver Price
At a shopping mall recently, we observed an interesting deal at Sketchers. If you buy two pairs of shoes, the second is 30% off. Sketchers has long offered deals like this (sometimes 50% off). This is a sign of deflation. Regular readers know to wait for the punchline. Manufacturer Gives Away Its Margins

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FX Daily, August 19: China’s Rate Reform Helps Markets Extend End of Last Week Recovery

2019-08-19

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2019-08-19

Overview: China announced some changes in its interest rate framework that is expected to lead to lower rates.  This helped lift equity markets, which were already recovering at the end of last week from the earlier drubbing.  Chinese and Hong Kong shares led the regional rally with 2-3% gains.  The Nikkei gapped higher for the third time in six sessions, and the first two were followed by lower gaps. 

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Emerging market sovereign debt update: yields are falling

2019-08-19

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2019-08-19

Inflation and Policy Rates Average in Some EM, 2012-2019
Yields have fallen significantly in the EM sovereign bond space in local currency; USD movements will be key to watch for going forward.Yields have fallen impressively in the emerging market (EM) sovereign bond space in local currency, reaching 5.3% on 16 August, near their all-time low of 5.2% (in May 2013). This downward movement has been partly driven by the recent policy rate cuts of some EM central banks.

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FX Weekly Preview: A Vicious Cycle Grips Markets

2019-08-19

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2019-08-19

The capital markets are in their own doom loop. Poor data from Germany and China, coupled with the escalation of the US-China trade dispute and rising tensions in Hong Kong spur concerns about the risks of a global recession. Interest rates are driven lower, and curves flatten or go inverted, spurring more concern about the outlook. The problem is that it is not clear how this vicious cycle ends.

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Swiss groundwater quality threatened by pollution

2019-08-18

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2019-08-18

Pollution from agriculture, former industrial sites and landfills is threatening Switzerland’s groundwater reserves, according to a detailed study of water quality. The water quality study from the Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN), released on Thursday, said groundwater faces the greatest pressures in areas of high farming activity.

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Some Brief European Leftovers

2019-08-18

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2019-08-18

Europe Industrial Production, 2013-2019
Some further odds and ends of European data. Beginning with Continent-wide Industrial Production. Germany is leading the system lower, but it’s not all just Germany. And though manufacturing and trade are thought of as secondary issues in today’s services economies, the GDP estimates appear to confirm trade in goods as still an important condition and setting for all the rest.

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Italy: Back to polls in Q4 2019?

2019-08-17

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2019-08-17

Italy: Key Upcoming Dates, 2019
Recent developments in Italy’s political landscape have increased the probability of early elections in Q4 2019, but the situation is not so straightforward. Last week, political tensions in Italy intensified as Matteo Salvini, the League’s leader triggered a no confidence vote against Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte.PM Conte will address the Senate on 20 August.

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Swiss pharma executive gets US sanction for insider trading  

2019-08-17

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2019-08-17

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has fined Lorenz Erne, a former senior executive at Swiss pharmaceutical firm Roche, for insider trading and ordered him to pay back the ill-gotten profits. Erne accepted the accusations and agreed to the terms of a settlement with the SEC, according to an SEC document published on Thursday. He has to pay back $159,228 (CHF156,000) plus a fine of $79,614 within 14 days to the SEC “for transfer to the...

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Retail Sales’ Amazon Pick Up

2019-08-17

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2019-08-17

Retail Sales, NSA 2011-2019
The rules of interpretation that apply to the payroll reports also apply to other data series like retail sales. The monthly changes tend to be noisy. Even during the best of times there might be a month way off trend. On the other end, during the worst of times there will be the stray good month. What matters is the balance continuing in each direction – more of the good vs. more of the bad.

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Trendhandel auf Wolke 7 – Automatische Einstiege im Trading mit Ichimoku Charts

2019-08-16

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#ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO – was hier so kompliziert klingt, ist eine Wunderwaffe für Trader. Oft unterschätzt und noch viel öfter missverstanden, zeigt dieser Traum-#Indikator für trendfolgende Trader nicht nur erstklassige Einstiegslevel für #Swingtrades. Er liefert gleichzeitig noch eine Einteilung der Signale in „stark“ „neutral“ und „schwach“. Doch damit nicht genug zeigt er dem Trader auch direkt noch die wichtigen Unterstützungs- und...

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FX Daily, August 16: Markets Take Collective Breath Ahead of the Weekend

2019-08-16

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2019-08-16

Overview:  The global capital markets are ending the tumultuous week calmly, but it is far from clear that is will hold long.  Next week's flash PMIs have potential to disappoint, and there is risk of new escalation in the US-China trade conflict as the PRC threatens to take action to countermeasures to the new US tariffs.

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New monetary policies for new challenges

2019-08-16

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2019-08-16

Towards a New Monetary Policy Style, 1981-2029
As central banks try (yet again) to bolster faltering growth and inflation, it is important to grasp how the ‘style’ and aims of monetary policy-making have changed over time and how they need to evolve in the future.The world is being disrupted by structural trends such as populism, demographic and climate change and technological innovation.

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Swiss taxis Europe’s most expensive

2019-08-16

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2019-08-16

In a recent comparison of taxi fares across Europe, Geneva and Zurich were the most expensive. In the study, which focused on the total cost of a taxi journey from the airport to the centre of town, Geneva (€36 – CHF40) and Zurich (€63 – CHF70) fared better than Milan (€105) and London (€104), which had the highest total journey costs. However, this is only because Zurich and Geneva airports are close to the city centre.

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US Industrial Downturn: What If Oil and Inventory Join It?

2019-08-16

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2019-08-16

Industrial Production, NSA 2006-2019
Revised estimates from the Federal Reserve are beginning to suggest another area for concern in the US economy. There hadn’t really been all that much supply side capex activity taking place to begin with. Despite the idea of an economic boom in 2017, businesses across the whole economy just hadn’t been building like there was one nor in anticipation of one.

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The Paradox of the Creditor Debtor Relationship: Germany the Debtor Nation – Heiner Flassbeck 1/2

2019-08-15

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Former German finance minister, Heiner Flassbeck, on the unbearable debt imposed on Germany by the Treaty of Versailles after WWI, the subsequent debt forgiveness & restructuring of Germany’s external debt after WWII and Germany’s position today as a European creditor nation. Two part series. Originally published June 26, 2013 at TRNN with which Lynn Fries is no longer associated.

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