Tag Archive: Gold Backwardation

All this borrowing to consume is unsustainable and the bill is overdue

2019-07-06

by

2019-07-06

June has been an interesting month for gold, as geopolitical events, market fluctuations and developments on the monetary policy front fueled an exciting ride for the precious metal. As long-term investors with a strict focus on the big picture, short-term moves and speculative angles are largely irrelevant in and of themselves, but they do provide important signals that, without fail, confirm the strategic superiority of precious metals holdings...

Read More »

Permanent Gold Backwardation, Report 30 Sep 2018

2018-10-01

by

2018-10-01

CHF Gold Basis, 2018-2019
Sometimes, one just needs to look in the right place. And often in those cases, it just takes a conversation to alert one where to look. We had a call with a Swiss company this week, to discuss gold financing for their business. They reminded us that there is a negative interest rate on Swiss francs. And then they said that a swap of francs for gold has a cost. That is, the CHF GOFO rate is negative (the dollar based 12-month MM GOFO™ is +2.4%).

Read More »

In Next Crisis, Gold Won’t Drop Like 2008, Report 19 August 2018

2018-08-20

by

2018-08-20

Gold Basis Continuous, 2004-2008
Last week, we discussed the tension between forces pushing the dollar up and down (measured in gold—you cannot measure the dollar in terms of its derivatives such as euro, pound, yen, and yuan). And we gave short shrift to the forces pushing the dollar down. We said only that to own a dollar is to be a creditor. And if the debtors seem in imminent danger of default, then creditors should want to escape this risk.

Read More »

The Dollar Is Going to 1/10,000 Ounce – One Day

2016-08-01

by

2016-08-01

Keith Weiner's weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

Read More »

Gold is not Going to $10,000

2016-07-25

by

2016-07-25

Keith Weiner's weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

Read More »

A Sense of Foreboding

2016-07-11

by

2016-07-11

Keith Weiner's weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

Read More »

Silver – OMG!

2016-07-05

by

2016-07-05

Keith Weiner's weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

Read More »

Soft and Softer Silver Fundamentals

2016-06-21

by

2016-06-21

Keith Weiner's weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

Read More »

Paper Gold Is Rising

2016-05-02

by

2016-05-02

  The Metals Take Off The price of gold shot up over $60 this week. The price of silver moved up proportionally, gaining over $0.85. The mood is now palpable. The feeling in the air is that of long suffering suddenly turned to optimism. Big gains, if...

Read More »

Monetary Metals Report: Gold – Silver Opposites

2016-04-18

by

2016-04-18

  What Differentiates Gold from Silver? Well that was an interesting week. Gold went down over thirty bucks and silver went up over thirty cents. How much longer can this silver rally continue in the face of gold’s non-participation? Will speculators...

Read More »

The Precious Metals Conspiracy

2016-04-11

by

2016-04-11

  Tricky and Dangerous Assumptions For at least a few weeks now, we have noticed a growing drumbeat from a growing corps of analysts. Gold is going to thousands of dollars. And silver is going to outperform. Reasons given are myriad. Goldman Sachs ap...

Read More »

The Gold – Money Supply Correlation Report

2016-04-04

by

2016-04-04

  A Spot of Irrational Exuberance There were some fireworks last week. Gold went up on Tuesday (it was a shortened week due to Easter Monday), from a low of $1,215 to $1,244 over the day, a move of over 2 percent. Silver moved from $15.02 to $15.44, ...

Read More »

The Gold Money Supply Correlation Report, 3 Apr, 2016

2016-04-04

by

2016-04-04

There were some fireworks this week. Gold went up on Tuesday (it was a shortened week due to Easter Monday), from a low of $1,215 to $1,244 over the day, a move of over 2 percent. Silver moved from $15.02 to $15.44, almost 3 percent. What happened on...

Read More »

Gold Costs 80oz of Silver, Report 21 Feb, 2016

2016-02-22

by

2016-02-22

The big news is that the gold-silver ratio closed at 80. This is not only a new high for the move. It’s higher than it has been since 2008. It’s also exactly what Monetary Metals has been calling for. Last week, we said the gold fundamental was $1,45...

Read More »

The Silver Blaze Report, 14 Feb, 2016

2016-02-15

by

2016-02-15

Again, we had another big drop in the dollar this week. No, we don’t mean against the dollar derivatives known as the euro, pound, etc. We mean by the only standard capable of measuring it: gold. The dollar fell 1.4 milligrams, to 25.1mg gold. Or, if...

Read More »

Monetary Metals Brief 2016

2016-01-28

by

2016-01-28

We have consistently been making the contrarian call for a falling silver price and a rising gold to silver ratio for years. This ratio has risen a lot during this time. So are we ready to change our call yet?

Read More »

Murphy’s Law of Gold Analysis, Report 3 Jan, 2016

2016-01-04

by

2016-01-04

Perhaps it may be lesser known than his other Laws, but Murphy wrote one for the basis analysis. It goes like this. If we observe that the fundamental price of a metal is far removed from the market price, the two won’t likely converge the next week....

Read More »

Supply and Demand Report 27 Dec, 2015

2015-12-28

by

2015-12-28

The prices of the metals rose a bit this quiet, holiday week. Merry Christmas! Speaking of Christmas, Keith’s brother who is an amateur woodworker of growing skill, gave him this present on Friday.

Read More »

Gold Price Drop of 6 Nov: Drilling Down

2015-11-10

by

2015-11-10

The price of gold dropped abruptly Friday morning (Arizona time). How much of a drop? $10.30, as measured by the bid on the December future. How abruptly? That move happened in under a second. At first, the price of gold in the spot market did not react. This caused what looks like a massive backwardation...

Read More »

A 14 Handle on Silver. Again. 8 Nov, 2015

2015-11-09

by

2015-11-09

What’s the difference between the Supply and Demand Report 1 November and the Supply and Demand Report 8 November? Just a minor punctuation change. Last week, we asked (rhetorically) if silver would have a 14 handle again. This week, the ...

Read More »