Tag Archive: Bailout
Banking crisis: The new bailout strategy
Part I of II
The recent turmoil that has roiled the global banking sector has placed central bankers in an impossible position: Cut rates and avert a domino-style disaster in the industry and a possible deep and prolonged recession in the wider economy or stay the hiking course to combat the still untamed inflationary pressures? Arguably the great losers in both cases will be the taxpayers and the average working household.
The recent...
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In Unprecedented Intervention, Swiss Central Bank Bails Out Firm That Prints Swiss Banknotes
In the most ironic story of the day, the company that makes the paper that Swiss banknotes are printed on was just bailed out by the money-printing, stock-purchasing, plunge-protecting, savior-of-global equities…Swiss National Bank. While The SNB has a long and checkered history of buying shares in companies… as we have detailed numerous times.
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The VIX Will Be Over 100 due to Central Bank Created Tail Risk
We discuss the manner in which Central Banks have destroyed financial markets, and have the stage for what I label as the Red Swan Event in this video. When the Swiss National Bank holds risky Tech stocks in its portfolio, we are in unchartered territory!
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Italian Euro Exit: Why it Might Come in some Years and Why it Will Help the Euro Zone and Italy
Italy has three options: 1. exit the euro zone and devalue the currency; 2. remain in the euro zone and devalue salaries. 3. go for Japan-like decades-long slow growth with stagnating wages, but also with falling inflation and (positive news!) falling bond yields.
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New Wrinkle in European Bail-In Efforts
European Court of Justice could rule on July 19 that private investors do not have to be bailed in before public money can be used to recapitalize banks. Italy stands to gain the most, at least immediately, from such a judgment. Italian bank shares recovered after initial weakness.
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The Transfer Union from South to North since 2008: Wolfgang Schäuble, the Evil Genius of the Euro Crisis
Wolfgang Schäuble has become the evil genius of the euro crisis. He has understood that the Cyprus crisis won't lead to a bank-run and collapse of capital markets. We all know that the US is now recovering.
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The Big Swiss Faustian Bargain: Differences between SNB, ECB and Fed Money Printing Explained
Potential losses due to money printing are for the Fed: 1.2% of GDP, Bundesbank: 5% of GDP, SNB: 12% of GDP.
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History: The Lost 1980s Decade in Latin America
Peripheral Europe is going to follow step and step the Mexican and the resulting Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s.
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German Economists and Merkel, the Implicit Followers of the Gold Standard
With ECB's OMT & "conditionality", that requires austerity and implicitly reduction of salaries in European periphery, Merkel & German economists have created consequences similar to a gold-standard.
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The Euro Crisis: Details and chronology and the German Perspective on it
The history of EU reforms, bailouts during the euro crisis and the German perspective on them
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The Big Swiss Faustian Bargain: Differences between SNB, ECB and Fed Money Printing Explained
In this post we show that the risks the Fed, the ECB and the Bundesbank incur are far smaller than the one the Swiss SNB takes. The Fed has “just” an inflation risk, that could cost 200 billion US$, 1.2% of US GDP. The ECB and Bundesbank have the risk that the euro zone splits … Continue reading »
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Eurobonds, fiscal or banking union are all pure utopia
Germany’s stance in the euro crisis: More than ESM will not be possible for many years updated on August 31, 2012 German politicians and the German Bundesbank believe that the Euro crisis can be only solved by supply side reforms as formulated in the Euro Plus Pact, reforms that were already successfully introduced during the Thatcher/Reagan era in the …
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The End of ECB Rate Cuts or Draghi against Weidmann to be Continued..
Even in the unlikely case of a fiscal union, the conflict “Draghi against Weidmann”, between the ECB and the Bundesbank will continue for years. The ECB mandate and european inflation figures do not allow for excessive ECB rate cuts or for state financing via the printing press, but Draghi wants to help his struggling …
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How former central bankers stepped up against the central banks
There are already three former European central bankers who criticize more or less openly the European Central Bank (ECB).
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All roads lead to a euro zone break-up
For us all roads lead to a euro zone break-up and multiple sovereign defaults. Our reasoning can be summarized as follows: Equities are worthless when associated debt becomes encumbered (risk capital takes the first loss). Equity is not an asset; it is merely the remainder that is left over once debt is subtracted from …
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Otmar Issing’s new book on the euro crisis
We well remember when the über-bailouter of the Financial Times Wolfgang Münchau claimed that except some old economy professors like Otmar Issing nobody in Germany would like to abolish the euro. According to Münchau the euro can be saved only via a fiscal and a banking union. The response to Münchau’s post could be … Continue reading...
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Guest Post: Six Reasons Why Italy May Exit the Euro Before Spain; Ultimate Occupy Movement
Six Reasons Why Italy May Exit Before Spain
1) Rise of the Five Star Movement
2) 44% of Italians view the euro negatively, only 30% favorably. That is biggest negative spread in the eurozone. In Spain more view the euro positively than negative, albeit by a small 4 percentage point spread.
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Full text Spanish banks bailout: Memorandum of Understanding
Here the full text of the European’ Commission’s Memorandum of Understanding with Spain regarding the bailout of the Spanish banking sector released earlier today.
Memorandum of Understanding on Financial-Sector Policy Conditionally
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