Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice
Stocks on the Move | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 9/2/21
(9/2/21) Stock movement worth noting today include Apple, as money crowds into larger-cap names; DocuSign reports after the bell today, and you'll either get a big drop, or see a nice pop. Broadcom and semi-conductors have been doing well lately; this company will announce earnings after the bell, as well; American Eagle Outfitters, part of the retail discretionary sector. Their earnings report after the bell is expected to disappoint. Financials...
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Will It Be a September to Remember? | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 9/1/21
Markets remain over-valued, with Apple making up an inordinately large percentage of the market; How half-penny trading may further the "gamification" of retail trading; how will El Salvador's Bitcoin currency experiment fare? How to reform Social Security--and why we'll never vote for it.
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0:00 - Valuations Are Still Extremely High
6:42 - Half-penny Trades & Gamification of Trading
18:36 - El Salvador's Bitcoin Currency...
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Major Market Review | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 9/1/21
(9/1/21) Major Markets starting a new month following the S&P setting of 55 new records in 2021...fo far. Seven consecutive months of positive results begs the question--what's next? NASDAQ performance has mirrored the S&P, thanks to FAANG stocks making up more than 50% of the index. Emerging markets, however, are well confined, offering no reason for additional exposure. The continued supply crisis is weighing on export-focused companies...
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Fed Taper Episode | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 8/31/21
The Market is staged to set a seventh month of gains...unless it crashes today. "If I was the Fed..." Chances are great they'll make a mistake; the negative-multiplier effect of deficits; Investors are "in" thanks to rising prices, not valuations; The Fed's inflation "concerns;"
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0:00 - If I was the Fed...
11:42 - The Fed's Conundrum
22:56 - The Crack-dealing Federal Reserve
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Hosted by Chief Investment...
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Markets Extending Winning Record | The Real Investment Show 8/31/21
(8/31/21) Markets sustain 7 sequential months up positive results--if they don't crash today! This is a function of high-complacency and $120-billion monthly in artificial liquidity. Where's the action? Companies like Apple, Google, Microsoft, where liquidity is high and money can hide. Apple's market cap is now equal to 10% of the US Economy. Market breadth still remains narrow, advancers and decliners remain weak--all suggesting a very stretch...
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Christmas Preview Episode | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 8/30/21
Have you started your Christmas shopping yet? Supply chain disruptions may be the Grinch that steals Christmas 2021. No surprise from The Jackson Hole Summit: No tapering, yet; Consumer Sentiment is at lows seen at the start of COVID Pandemic; Will the Fed repeat the same policy mistakes?
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0:00 - Aftermath of Hurricane Ida & Toy Shortages at Christmas
7:14 - Bitcoin as a Savings Vehicle
18:58 - The Jackson Hole Summit Recap
30:11 -...
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1st Signs of Market Correction | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 8/30/21
(8/30/21) Bulls are excited by Jackson Hole remarks about tapering later this year, but no rate hikes in sight. However--each sell off has been accompanied by drop in volume, indicating internal weaknesses in the market: Breadth is weak, volume is weak, volatility remains compressed. Major market capitalization stocks--Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google--are the stocks into which investors are crowding. What happens when sentiment changes? The last...
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Pre-retirement, Hot Dogs, & Nutrition | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 8/27/21
The Jackson Hole virtual summit convenes to solve the problems of the world. Not. Risk Management vs Risk Dilution: It's a thing. The Myth of Diversification & Reality of post-pandemic consumer spending; the cost of healthcare; our 4th-Quarter Financial Checklist.
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0:00 - The Myth of Diversification
11:51 - Eating Your Way to Longevity & The Cost of Healthcare
23:09 - 4th Quarter Financial Checklist
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RIA Advisors Director of...
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Delta Variant Episode | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 8/26/21
Is America's withdrawal from Afghanistan the Black Swan Event that will trigger a market correction? The Jackson Hole Summit goes virtual thanks to the Delta Variant of COVID; inflation and interest rates are Jerome Powell's conundrum; Fed governors want to taper sooner than later; a new house band replaces Leo Moracchioli; Stevie Nicks pulls out of ACL Fest, Stock Buy Backs are back!
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0:00 - Is Delta Variant an Excuse to Delay Taper?
11:32...
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Taper Temptation or Low Liquidity | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 8/26/21
(8/26/21) To taper or not to taper? How might markets respond to Comments from Fed Governors Esther George & James Bullard indicating they'd like to see it sooner than later? Inflation and supply chain disruptions remain a problem for the economy, and plunging consumer sentiment isn't helping, either. The lack of liquidity is the biggest risk to markets: Pay attention to market volume on buys. The differential in liquidity is the gap between...
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The Meme Stock Episode | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 8/25/21
The COVID Pandemic has forced many into early retirement; the Child Tax Credit increase has been a windfall--what happens when it goes away? What do Miami Strippers & Fiscal Elephants Have in Common? Pro's & Con's of taking Social Security early;
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0:00 - Is Pandemic Forcing More into Earlier Retirement?
11:53 - What Happens When Higher Child Tax Credit is Gone?
23:10 - What Happens When You Take Social Security Early?
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Chief...
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Return of the Meme Stocks | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 8/25/21
(8/25/21) Nice market rally off the 40-DMA, but volume is dropping like a stone: Buyers are not really in the market. Following yesterday's highs, we expect markets to staganate somewhat. Meme Stocks are back in play: GameStop finding signs of life, AMC Theaters had a big day, and Robinhood, the new poster-child for meme stocks, had a nice run-up on the day. As volumes dry up, retail movement slowing, and confidence waning with a lot of sector...
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Pet Rocks & Other Signs of Rich Markets | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 8/24/21
President Joe Biden mistakenly attributes market jubilance to FDA approval of the Pfizer jab; what happens when markets revert to the norm with lack of liquidity; The Pet Rock phenomenon & rich markets; Understanding Valuation; The difference between investors & speculators; needs vs wants.
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0:00 - Post-Stimulus: Reversion Back to the Norm
8:05 - Pet Rocks & Signs of a Rich Market
19:36 - Understanding Market Valuation
30:54 -...
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Pfizer Jabs Markets? | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 8/24/21
(8/24/21) Pfizer won the FDA's full approval for it's COVID Vaccine, and the Biden Administration credited the news for improving market sentiment. Not exactly, Joe. What we're really witnessing is a lack of liquidity in the market. There is an interesting pattern of volume & volatility spikes and drops...occuring on the 19th of each month--Options Expirations Day. Markets may make new highs in the near term, but there's not a lot of upside...
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When the Economy Shuts Down | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 8/23/21
Markets Double Value in the fastest period, ever! What happens when economies shut down...and they start up again? Supply chain management is key: Will inventory deficits result in over production and surpluses? Consumer Confidence Crisis, and the real cost of hiring workers.
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0:00 - What Happens When the Economy Shuts Down (and starts up again)
5:43 - Fastest Doubling of Markets Ever
17:09 - The Crash in Consumer Confidence Collides w The...
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Investors Buy Market Dip | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 8/23/21
(8/23/21) Every time markets have tested the 50-DMA recently , as investors show up with a case of FOMO, thanks to the Fed's continuing quantitative easing. Each dip has followed the same pattern since last November's lows. Money Flow signals remain in place, meaning upside is limited; volumes are drying up. MACD signals also remain in place. At some point, the 50-DMA will be violated. Is the Fed re-thinking its tapering position? The reality is a...
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Markets’ No Time to Die Episode | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 8/20/21
Markets continue to defy reality, as preparations are underway for next week's Jackson Hole meeting, possibly to reverse easy-money policies. Estate Planning w Daniel Craig & Tanya Roberts; Garlic and Beneficiaries; the importance of estate planning.
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SEG-1: No Time to Die for Markets: Prepping for Jackson Hole
SEG-2: David Craig's non-inheritance
SEG-3: Tanya Roberts, Holographic Wills, & Estate Planning
SEG-4: Grandma Rosso:...
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Markets, Fed, & Don McLain Episode | The Real Investment Show (Full Show EDIT) 8/19/21
What do Markets, the Fed, & Don McLean have in common? Fed Governors are baking their own American Pie with talk of tapering; the ugly truth why the Fed really uses Quantitative Easing; why are market valuations outrageously high? The story of Robinhood's Dogecoin disaster.
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SEG-1: Don McLean + The Fed = The Day the Market Died
SEG-2: Why the Fed Really Uses QE
SEG-3: Why Markets are so far above reasonable valuations
SEG-4: Robinhood's...
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Market Shock from Taper Talk | Three Minutes on Markets & Money 8/19/21
(8/19/21) Markets sustain steep sell-off, with a 1-percent loss on the day, thanks to Fed talk of tapering quantitative easing. Money Flow Sell-signals were triggered as part of a normal correction process. Can markets hold the 50-DMA, markets' "line in the sand?" It's been a very, very long time since a test of the 200-DMA--currently 10% below current highs. The possibility is not outside the realm of normality: A 10% correction in any...
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COVID Booster Episode (8/18/21): Market Analysis & Personal Finance commentary from RIA Advisors …
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