Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice
The Tax Hike Solution (6/8/22): Market Analysis & Personal Finance commentary from RIA Advisors C…
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Is it Time to Take Profits in Energy Stocks? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
(6/7/22) Energy Prices have been on the rise for myriad reasons, including the Russia/Ukraine War, and an under-supply of domestic oil thanks to regulatory changes. The energy indexes have followed suit, up nearly 50% this year, while the S&P is down 14%--an amazing out-performance that historically does not last for long. So, it is time to take profits in energy stocks? Energy prices, as a proxy for energy stocks, are worth noting: Oil at...
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The Rise & Fall of Free Trades
(6/7/22) Investor fear vs Doing Anything About it: Why we're still not yet in a Bear Market--no one is really wiling to sell anything. Interesting dichotomy in latest NFIB report: Plenty of job openings, but no one is hiring. "Free" trading platforms promote more frequent trades, and lower stock holding times; ultimate result is a losing proposition from investors; enhances payment for order flow phenomenon. (This will never go away...
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Downtrend Remains Intact | 3:00 on Markets & Money
(6/6/22) Markets are set to rally this morning following Friday's sell off--the big question is whether the rally can be maintained? Markets are starting the week on a MACD Buy-signal, and are on the over-bought side, short-term, which could suppress any rally slightly. Markets are struggling with bottoms established in April, and also when Russia attached Ukraine. Additionally, the 50-DMA is rapidly dropping, following the downward trendline....
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Dimon Warning Against “Economic Hurricanes”
(6/6/22) ChaseBank CEO Jamie Dimon is warning against "economic hurricanes," which, as we on the Texas Gulf Coast all know, can be prepared for, and that hurricanes often do not hit their expected target. With market sentiment so heavily negative, every rally should be sold in to. ESG investing exposed for the great money heist that it is: S&P Energy Index performance vs. anti-energy ESG funds. The ugly truth about the green movement;...
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Beware Faux Financial Planners
(6/3/22) Elon Musk is so concerned about the economy he's considering cutting his workforce by 10%; how Lebron James became NBA's first billionaire while still playing; National Donut Day & Shipley's; Faux Financial Plans: When everyone is recommending the same thing; understanding what you own; Difference between A-, B-, and C-funds; Financial planning using a CPA: How much will you save over a lifetime? Going from successful to significant in...
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The Thing About Bonds
Here is an encore presentation of the June 2, 2022 "The Things About Bonds" Lunch & Learn episode with Richard Rosso, CFP, RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO.
Danny, Richard, and Lance explore everything you wanted to know about bonds, but hadn't asked:
0:55 - What is a Bond, and why would you use one?
3:33 - How to Buy a Bond...
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Markets Fail at Resistance | 3:00 on Markets & Money
(6/2/22) Markets sold off after Fed Governor Bostic walked-back his comments about a potential Fed pause later this Summer, which markets interpreted to mean a more aggressive Fed in hiking rates and reducing liquidity. The hope for a kinder, gentler Fed policy had been fueling markets. The good news is that markets are still on a "buy" signal, and the MACD is still positive. But markets still remain in an over-sold condition. Higher...
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The Coming Era of QT
(6/2/22) Markets took to heart a quasi-retraction from Fed Gov. Bostic on possible halt to Fed tightening later this Summer, pulling back to previous lows. Regardless, markets are still in a buying mood, and this will be the wash-rinse-repeat pattern for the next several weeks; too many investors are predicting a bear market for it to occur. Queen Elizabeth-II marks her 70th year on the throne; can the monarchy last? The Fed's method of...
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Could Markets Rally All the Way into Summer? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
(6/1/22) We're seeing signs of a much stronger rally as we head into Summer months: There has not been a negative June in the markets since 2015; July also tends to be a stronger month in the Summer. Things are more dicey in August and September, but with markets under so much pressure the past two months, it would not be a surprise to see markets take off in the next two months. Markets tend to do the opposite of what everyone expects: With over...
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The Great Resignation has shifted to The Great Re-hiring
(6/1/22) Summer Markets could provide opportunity for investors; 25% of Americans are delaying retirement because of inflation--meaning, they weren't ready to retire in the first place. How Biden/Powell are fighting inflation; the solution for high gasoline prices is more oil. California lifeguards earning 6-figure incomes; how The Great Resignation has shifted to The Great Re-hiring; how we're handling inflation & the Savings Paradox; Bearish...
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Student Loan Forgiveness is a Nightmare!
(5/31/22) Iran's "secret" tunnels; The new Delorean; Why Student Loan Forgiveness is a fundamentally flawed concept.
[NOTE: The last segment of today's show (5/31/22) was dropped from the live feed to YouTube; it is preserved in this recording.]
0:00 - The Flawed Reasoning Behind Forgiving Student Loans
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
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Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money:...
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Can the Rally Last? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
(5/31/22) Markets are ending the month of May with a nice rally in the previous week--but can it last? There are still a lot of companies that are offsides in market allocations in terms of equities as well as in bonds--anyone with a 60/40 allocation is out of whack. Much of the remaining rebalancing will have to be accomplished in the final month of the quarter: June. Volatility, however, has not been suggesting the recent rally can stand. What...
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What Markets are Trying to Tell the Fed
(5/31/22) Markets prepare to wrap up May, and enter the final month of the Second Quarter, and how investors can take advantage; why inflationary pressures remain; how Washington's idiocy made inflation worse...and some Senators want to repeat the process. Oil Company margins are no better now, thanks to inflation of labor and materials, and higher costs of extraction. How trapped-longs can finally get out; why the Fed is behind the curve in...
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High Inflation May Already Be Behind Us
High inflation has captured the headlines as of late particularly as CPI recently hit the highest levels since 1981. Some are even suggesting we will face hyperinflation. However, while inflation is certainly present, the question to be answered is whether it will remain that way, or if the worst may already be behind us?
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Target Date Funds: The Rule of Dumb
(5/27/22) (5/27/22) Will the Memorial Day weekend see lots of "revenge travel?" Never under-estimate the ability of a bear market to suck you in one more time; a reflexive rally is not an all-clear sign for investors. Listen to screeching sound of a dead-cat bounce; how are companies responding; how long can a reflexive rally last? ESG funds are just S&P funds in a green skirt. Target Date Funds: The Rule of Dumb. Why Target Date Fund...
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Snap Goes The Economy
“…the macro environment has deteriorated further and faster than we anticipated when we issued our quarterly guidance last month.” -Snap CEO Evan Spiegel
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Investing So Easy a Monkey Can Do It…until the bubble bursts.
(5/30/22) As the markets go, so goes the year: The way we look at financial markets is very different from the way the Fed looks at financial markets. Keep in mind where we've come from, and where we are today: How inflation was created, and the mistake everyone made was that growth in the economy was organic...but in reality was fueled by all the liquidity that had been injected into the economy; the problem of not having an investing strategy....
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How Much Room Does the Market Have? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
(5/26/22) Good news for markets as they try to establish a bottom and set up for a counter-trend rally. Stock prices peaked in March, and since then have had a tough time. The MACD signal has been in a downward trend, applying downward pressure to pricing at the same time. Wednesday's rally triggered a MADC Buy-signal for the first time in 8-weeks. Markets have been stabilizing and forming consistent bottom levels. With the MACD signal in place,...
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The Federal Reserve: Two Hikes & Done?
(5/26/22) 2022 is turning out to be one of the roughest years ever for market investors; where investors are most likely to make mistakes; How aggressive will the Fed be on interest rates? No one is surprised at Meta's fraud issues; the question of blockchain integrity; software security will be an ongoing business & investing opportunity; what will the Fed's next action mean for markets? The Fed looks at markets differently than do investors;...
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