Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

The Kalecki Profit Equation And The Coming Reversion

Corporations are currently producing the highest level of profitability, as a percentage of GDP, in history. However, understanding corporate profitability involves more than glancing at quarterly earnings reports. At its core, the Kalecki Profit Equation provides a valuable framework, especially when exploring the reasons behind today’s elevated profit margins and what could disrupt them. James …

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12-5-24 Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near

Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz makes a rare, in-studio appearance with Lance Roberts, discussing whether another market liquidity event might be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise. The ISM Services Index is showing weaknesses, and more economic reports to come this month are likely to mirrow such performance. A lack of stimulus money showing up...

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How to Get the Most Out of Your Health Savings Account

Max out your Health Savings Account for triple tax benefits! Don't miss out on saving money for medical expenses. ?? #finance #healthcare Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/3ca9ef YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Lilly Tops Nordisk In Weightloss Battle

The two market-leading weight loss/obesity drugs (GLP-1), Zepabound (Eli Lilly) and Wegovy (Novo Nordisk), just completed a clinical side-by-side trial. After 72 weeks of testing on 750 obese or overweight adults with at least one medical problem, Eli Lilly came out ahead by a substantial margin. Per Eli Lilly: Zepabound provided a 47% greater relative …

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12-4-24 Time for a Portfolio Reality Check

Russia just learned of a near-miss from a passing meteor...TONIGHT! Lance discusses GDP estimates and other economic reports; Retail Sales are "okay," with no tell tale signs of Recession...for the moment. What will revisions to these reports show next year? What will be the impact of cutting government spending? Meanwhile, investors are very, very exuberant. What should investors expect for the rest of the year? Lance and Danny discuss...

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The Dangers of Margin Investing: What You Need to Know

? Watch out for leverage! It can be fantastic on the way up but explosive on the way down. Stay informed and avoid the margin trap! ? #InvestingTips Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/ea52f8 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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The Dollar And Oil Foresee A Santa Rally For Bonds

Bond yields are primarily driven by macroeconomic factors such as inflation and economic growth. Given their impact on inflation and the economy, the U.S. dollar and oil prices are frequently well correlated with bond yields. Therefore, bond traders often take their cue from the dollar and oil markets. The dollar (blue), as graphed on the …

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12-3-24 What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us

Periods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to...

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Understanding Convertible Bonds: A Bond with a Stock Option Explained

Curious about the advantages of bonds with an option to buy stock? It's like getting a free option on a beaten-up stock during a financial crisis! ? #StockMarket Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/89bdd0 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes

Financial markets often move in cycles where enthusiasm drives prices higher, sometimes far beyond what fundamentals justify. As discussed in last week's #BullBearReport, leverage and speculation are at the heart of many such cycles. These two powerful forces support the amplification of gains during upswings but can accelerate losses in downturns. Today’s market environment shows …

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In Store Sales Falter Despite A Good Black Friday

Based on early Black Friday sales estimates, sales were strong, but shoppers were much more inclined to take advantage of online sales than go to the malls and stores in person. Mastercard SpendingPulse estimates that in store sales only grew by 0.7% from last year, while online sales rose by nearly 15%. Facteus, another data …

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The Power and Risks of Government Currency Printing

Ever wondered about printing your own currency? ?? Discover the power of governments vs. households in managing debts! #finance101 #moneytalks Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/99b9a3 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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12-2-24 Extreme Speculation Has Returned

Welcome back from Thanksgiving break: Is it time to initiate Christmas Bonds to help Retailers? While markts have performed well, expect some sloppiness heading into the end of the year. We'll have Black Friday and Cyber Monday results later this week. Meanwhile, markets continue to grind higher. What will be the effects of Trump Administration picks and regulatory changes? High levels of market concentration will result in more volatility from...

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New Home Sales And Home Prices Argue For Another Cut

New home sales fell by 17.30% in October, marking the most significant monthly decline in ten years, as shown in the graph on the left below. Furthermore, the supply of new homes on the market rose from 7.7 to 9.5 months. Not surprisingly, building permits fell by 0.4% following a 3.1% decline last month due …

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Choosing Future Success: Moving Beyond Past Performance in Fund Investments

Want to make smart investment decisions? ? Consider looking beyond the five star funds! Check out why size matters in fund growth and opportunities. ? #InvestingTips #FinancialAdvice Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/81b807 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Extreme Speculation Has Returned

Inside This Week's Bull Bear Report A Note Of Thanksgiving While belated, we sincerely hope you had a happy and fulfilling Thanksgiving holiday. In the words of Henry David Thoreau, “I am grateful for what I am and have. My Thanksgiving is perpetual.” All of us at RIA Advisors and Real Investment Advice are grateful … Continue...

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Understanding the Risks and Rewards of High-Yield Funds

High yield doesn't always mean high reward! ?? Do your homework before investing in junk bonds. #InvestWisely #FinancialTips Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/83ecb2 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Understanding the Key Drivers Behind Interest Rate Movements

Understanding interest rates explained! ?? Don't panic over debt & deficits impacting rates - there are many factors at play! #Finance101 Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/37fd2e YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Gen Z Embracing Communal Living: A New Trend in Modern Housing

Reevaluating priorities ? Gen Z embracing communal living over solo! My daughter already planning to live with friends, a shift from my solo days! #GenZ #CommunalLiving Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/a8fe46 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Tiny Homes: A Practical Solution for Independent Living Close to Family

Thinking about getting a tiny home for grandma! It's a perfect solution for her to have her own space close to family. ?? #family #tinyhome Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/a5b50d YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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