Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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2023 Christmas Vacation

2023-12-21

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(12/22/23) Yep, we're on vacation, but if you're subscribed to this YouTube channel, you will be notified as our 'Best-of' show segments are premiered each morning at 6:00a CST while we're away. Also remember to register for our 2024 Economic Summit on January 27 at the Hotel Sonesta Houston, featuring Greg Valliere, special guest, Adam Taggart, plus Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts. It's a live event only--no video recording will be made....

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The Dash for Trash: FOMO & The Bandwagon Effect

2023-12-21

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(12/21/23) It's the final live-show of 2023: We look at New Year's market indicators, the Super Bowl & the Bandwagon Effect; someone will be wrong next year. Economic data is starting to improve, which will be problematic for the Fed. The "worst market sell-off since September(!)" Simmer down; this has been expected. Market gains were "Gone in 120-minutes," less time than the movie. The dash for trash: FOMO & the...

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Is the ‘Soft-landing’ Scenario Dangerous? (12/20/23)

2023-12-20

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(12/20/23) Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What a Dollar Rally Could Do for the Markets ," is...

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Financial Planning for Pets (and the humans who love them)

2023-12-19

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Has owning a pet become a luxury? Financial Planning for Pets: $2,640 avg. annual expense; making emotional decisions about money. The benefits of pet ownership and caring for pets. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle:...

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How to Respond to the Powell Pivot (12/19/23)

2023-12-19

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(12/19/23) Markets are winding-down to the Christmas hoiday; trading volumes will be light. We've seen record inflows to S&P 500 ETF's as markets have rallied = too much exuberance. Forgetting the basisc: Buy under-valued, sell over-valued. How the Dollar drives markets. Counting out the 12-days of Christmas: Why so many birds? Sell cash, buy stocks, as Powell pivots; how government intervention (the Fed) affects investor psychology: Did we get...

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Has Market Exuberance Gotten Out of Hand? (12/18/23)

2023-12-18

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(12/18/23) It's the week before Christmas and on Broad & Wall, though Lance's shopping list is empty, he's not hitting the mall! Did markets mistake what Jerome Powell really said last week? The current market rally is long in the tooth: 7-weeks running a buying stampede; correction is inevitable. 46% of S&P is at all-time highs. Will markets drift higher through the end of the year? Santa Claus Rally defined (it extends into January). Has...

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How Much Will You Spend on Your Pet (and other pet peeves) in 2024?

2023-12-15

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(12/15/23) Forget the Santa Claus rally: After this week's Fed announcement, it's the Jerome Powell rally. Don't fight the Fed. Darden Restaurants & Ruth's Chris Steakhouse; reactions to Fed statement; Does Jerome Powell wear a Santa suit? Has owning a pet become a luxury? Financial Planning for Pets: $2,640 avg. annual expense; making emotional decisions about money. The benefits of pet ownership and caring for pets. Pet Sitters & IRS...

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The Fed Pivots

2023-12-14

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(12/14/23) Throwing caution to the wind, a dovish FOMC takes the bearish stance away from markets; markets are forming a cup-and-handle pattern, suggesting a rally to record-highs; but that does not preclude a 3- to-5% correction. Bond yields are to fall. Out of control tipping; how the Fed trained investors to expect backup; the Fed's pivot to dovishness: What do they know that we do not? The benefits of lower rates vs risk of more inflation;...

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The Elf on the Shelf & The American Dream (12/13/23)

2023-12-13

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(12/13/23) CPI came in right on the money, and now attention turns to the Fed meeting today, and tomorrow's comments from Chairman Jerome Powell. What does the Fed want: Inflation vs deflation vs disinflation; yields need to come down; meanwhile markets continue to climb setting new highs, but not new record-highs. The Elf on the Shelf explained; embodiment of The American Dream; cost now more than ever, unless you create it; what the American...

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Are Markets Front-running Rate Cuts? (12/12/23)

2023-12-12

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(12/12/23) It's CPI Day, and November inflation clocked-in at an expected rate of .1%, which now begs the answer to tomorrow's question: Will the Fed do? A review of market performance vs portfolio performance: What metric are you using to measure success? Market history vs current market dynamics, and the investor conundrum" How "this time" could very well be different. We have seen a classical conditioning of the markets: The Fed...

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How Theft Creates More Inflation

2023-12-11

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12/27/23) Hate those self-checkout registers at the store? Merchants are discovering they might be costing more in "shrinkage" than is being saved by fewer employees working registers. Lance addresses the problem with self-checkout & retail theft; creation of more inflation; Gen-Z's five-finger discount habit. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer...

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Ten Steps to Achieving the ‘American Dream’

2023-12-11

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(12/11/23) Friday's employment report was not great: comprised pf mostly striking workers returning to the job; factor out anomalies, and it was a very weak report: Weak enough for markets to hope for Fed to further pause rate hikes? What will the Fed say on Wednesday? The risk of correction from a hawkish Fed. Markets set new highs for 2023 but remain at zero for the past 22-months. The end of the buyback window; when the buying stampede is over....

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Why Time in the Market Matters

2023-12-08

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Markets have had zero-returns over past two years. Why time in the market matters--especially if you're young. Risk management is more important when you're older; the 50/20/30 Rule. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:...

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Cash in a 5% World

2023-12-08

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T-Bill & Chill? Putting cash to work in a 5% world. Bankers are betting you're going to be lazy; what will you do when rates go back down? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch the full show from which this excerpt was lifted on our YouTube channel: _6H1Iac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s...

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Putting Cash to Work in a 5% World (12/8/23)

2023-12-08

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(12/8/23) Markets and the Fed are at odds in interest rate expectations; AMD vs NVDIA in the chip wars; why markets are pulling back: Setting up for a Santa Claus rally. Will Jobs numbers line-up with market expectations? T-Bill & Chill? Putting cash to work in a 5% world. Bankers are betting you're going to be lazy; what will you do when rates go back down? What will be the next "Magnificent-7?" S&P predictions for 2024; how we...

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Banking Rules & Blockchain Fears

2023-12-07

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(12/28/23) Newly proposed rules for raising major banks' reserve requirements are raising the ire of Bank CEO's like JPMorgan/Chase's Jamie Dimon. Boo-hoo. either get completely under government control, or exist as independent private business, and be allowed to fail without bailouts. Why the government wants to force banks to hold more reserves: Buy more bonds. Bitcoin: Why is Dimon so opposed? The alternative to banking. The difference between...

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When the #Fed’s Wait-and-See = Pause (12/7/23)

2023-12-07

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(12/7/23) Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens When Buybacks Go Away " is here: -jBIrzg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is There Hope for 2024?"...

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Will 2024 See a Soft-landing, Recession…or Worse?

2023-12-06

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(12/6/23) Will there be a soft-landing, recession, or worse in 2024...or not until 2025? There is still lots of liquidity sloshing around the system. Focus on risk management & timing management; markets cannot seem to break out of present trading range; stock buyback window closes on Friday. End of year maneuvers should include RMD's, charitable giving, HSA's, and tax-loss harvesting; don't ignore the wash rule! Why jobs matter: Yield curves...

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What Analysts are Always Bullish

2023-12-05

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(12/26/23) Why analysts are always bullish (85% of the time, markets ARE). The Big Business of Wall Street: Who's really important to Wall Street. How IPO's really work. Analysts' actual performance revealed vs what they're predicting for 2024. SEG-1: Why Analysts Are Always Bullish, Pt-1. SEG-2: Why Analysts Are Always Bullish, Pt-2. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive...

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Is 2024 Optimism Misplaced? (12/5/23)

2023-12-05

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(12/5/23) Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Sell-off Nigh for the Magnificent Seven?" is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will You Be Visited by Ghosts of Financial Mistakes-past?"...

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