Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market

2025-06-16

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2025-06-16

The Iran-Israel conflict and equity markets are now in sharp focus. As direct strikes escalated in June 2025, global financial markets responded immediately. Israel’s airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and energy infrastructure triggered retaliatory missile and drone attacks from Iran. The Dow dropped nearly 2%, the S&P 500 lost over 1%, and oil prices surged by …

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6-13-25 Is a College Degree Still Worth It?

2025-06-13

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Is a college degree still worth the rising cost? As student loan debt climbs and tuition skyrockets, more families and young adults are asking whether a traditional four-year education offers a worthwhile return on investment. In this episode, we break down the financial data behind college costs, degree value by major, and explore growing alternatives like trade schools, certifications, and apprenticeships. Richard Rosso & Susan Buenger posit...

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Initial And Continuing Jobless Claims On The Rise

2025-06-13

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2025-06-13

Initial and continuing jobless claims are as close to a real-time proxy on employment as we have. Thus, while they do not hold the same importance to the markets as the monthly BLS data, they are worth tracking. Moreover, when trends are changing, as they may be now, their importance increases. The two graphs below … Continue reading...

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The Deficit Narrative May Find Its Cure In Artificial Intelligence

2025-06-13

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2025-06-13

Lately, the "deficit narrative" has dominated much of the financial media, particularly those channels that are continual "purveyors of doom." In this post, we will discuss the "deficit narrative," the likely outcomes, and why the cure for the deficit may be found in Artificial Intelligence. The "deficit narrative" has dominated the media lately as President …

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The Bull Rally Continues

2025-06-13

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2025-06-13

Inside This Week's Bull Bear Report Risk/Reward Favors Patience I am traveling this weekend, so we are producing our weekly report a day early. As such, some charts using end-of-week data are using either Thursday or mid-Friday prices. All report will return to normal next week. Let's start with where we left off last week." … Continue...

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6-12-25 Hindsight is a Terrible Way to Invest Money

2025-06-12

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Hindsight may be 20/20, but it's a terrible way to invest money. You should be focusing on where you are now, and where the next opportunity will be. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- ➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Listen daily on Apple...

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6-12-25 Inflation Cools

2025-06-12

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May CPI surprised with a "cooler" print on inflation, begging the question of what the Fed will do next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the CPI report, reveal what’s driving the slowdown in some consumer prices, and explore what it means for interest rates, your portfolio, and the broader economy. Who's going to end up "eating" the tariff-related increases? A clue may appear in the PPI reading. April saw a...

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Inflation Remains Tame Despite Tariffs

2025-06-12

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2025-06-12

The May CPI report released yesterday was considered the first inflation gauge to show how tariffs are impacting prices. We would like to see a few more months of inflation reports before claiming the coast is clear, but the May CPI is encouraging. For the fourth consecutive month, the CPI was below Wall Street estimates. … Continue...

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Business Owners: Why Your Personal Financial Plan Needs More Than Just a CPA

2025-06-12

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2025-06-12

Running a successful business takes grit, vision, and no shortage of time. Between managing operations, leading teams, and scaling growth, personal financial planning often gets pushed to the back burner. When business owners do seek help, they typically turn to their CPA for advice. And while CPAs are invaluable for accounting and tax compliance, they’re …

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6-11-25 The Private Equity Story

2025-06-11

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This is an abridged selection from a previous show; we think the information bears repeating, even as the SEC is considering lifting restrictions from some investments that require a certain level of liquidity and financial savvy. The SEC is discussing the elimination of "accredited investor" status in order to allow individual (retail) investors to enter the private equity arena. Lance and Jonathan thoroughly discuss the pro's and con's...

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6-11-25 Zero % Interest Is Not Normal

2025-06-11

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What the market expects, and what happens in real life, are two different things: Interest Rates are a function of economic growth and inflation. With GDP at 2.3 and Inflation at 2.3-ish, Yields should be at about 4.6-ish, and that's about where they are now. Zero-percent rates is not normal; buying a house at 2.5percent is not normal. Where we are now IS about normal. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO...

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6-28-25 Candid Coffee TEASER

2025-06-11

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Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj

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6-1 1-25 CPI Day: Will Inflation Hold Steady?

2025-06-11

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Today is CPI Day, and all eyes are on the Consumer Price Index report for May. What will today’s CPI data mean for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path and future market volatility? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the implications for stocks, bonds, and consumer sentiment. Tune in for an investor-focused look at inflation trends, historical context, and what may come next. #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025

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6-10-25 Is Making Private Equity Public a Good Idea?

2025-06-11

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The SEC is considering dropping "accredited investor" designation so as to enable retail investors to participate in private equity opportunities; but is removing the scarcity aspect of private investing a sound proposition? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- ➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:...

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The Google AI Buildout In Plain English

2025-06-11

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2025-06-11

On May 20th, Google CEO Sundar Pichai updated the public on the company's progress on its AI development as follows: We are now processing 480 trillion monthly tokens, a nearly 50X increase in just one. Over 7 million developers are now building with the Gemini API, a 5x growth since last I.O., and our enterprise … Continue reading...

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Deficits And The Tradeoffs Required To Fix Them

2025-06-11

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2025-06-11

By falling significantly short of its intended savings goals, the DOGE program underscores the substantial challenges that hinder efforts to reduce federal spending and cut the deficit. Furthermore, its failure suggests that a more expedient way to reduce the deficit might be to increase federal revenue. Thus, we pose the simple hypothetical question: What if …

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6-10-25 Private Equity is Coming for Your Money

2025-06-10

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Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn uncover how private equity investments are no longer just for the ultra-wealthy...but is that the best plan? With Wall Street's latest push, retail investors are now being targeted as the next frontier for capital. From alternative investments in 2025 to the growing trend of private equity entering 401(k) plans, we break down what you need to know about the risks of private equity, the lack of transparency compared...

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The Economy Is The Real Deficit Problem

2025-06-10

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2025-06-10

The deficit fearmongers are out in full force, warning that massive debt payments will further exacerbate the deficit and ultimately bankrupt the country. While we agree that steadily increasing deficits are a significant problem, we believe it's not for the reasons most people give. To that end, a recent Tweet by George Gammon succinctly makes …

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Top 5 Mistakes High Net Worth Individuals Make Without a Financial Plan

2025-06-10

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2025-06-10

When you’ve worked hard to build wealth, protecting it becomes just as important as growing it. However, even high net worth individuals (HNWIs) often fall into avoidable traps, especially when navigating wealth without a formal financial plan. Without a clear strategy, even sophisticated investors may overlook important details, leading to costly consequences over time. In …

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6-9-25 Buying the Dip is Not an Easy Thing

2025-06-09

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The time when you are most fearful of buying into the market is exactly when you should; it's counter-intuitive: We look at all the bearish sentiment, and add our own bias, and talk ourselves out of it. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- ➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Listen daily on...

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