Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

For the past 15 years, shallow dips and fast recoveries taught investors that risk management doesn’t really matter. That complacency won’t last forever. Markets may stay supported this decade by liquidity, speculation, and passive flows, but the longer term points to more volatility and lower returns. ETF growth funnels capital into the same stocks, creating a performance-chasing loop. As assets become financialized, arbitrage compresses...

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Most investors lose money by chasing whatever narrative is hot, whether it’s $SLV or $MSTR. Real investing is about anticipating where capital will rotate next and building positions gradually, not trying to time exact bottoms or going all in. Start small, size positions wisely, and let rotations work in your favor. In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why fundamentals matter more than headlines, and being early...

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Real-time inflation (Truflation) data is signaling sub-1% inflation, and historically CPI and PCE tend to follow it lower with a short lag. That puts pressure on hawkish policy narratives. At the same time, consumer spending is staying elevated while incomes are flat and savings have fallen to stressed levels. In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss the risk of a growing disconnect between the reflation narrative and...

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Why do wealthier households tend to live longer and experience fewer chronic diseases? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the Wealth-Health Gap—how income, savings, and environment shape health through housing quality, access to care, and financial resilience. We also flip the lens: poor health can reduce earnings, drain savings, and create a vicious cycle that widens disparities across generations. Finally, we discuss systemic factors...

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Is inflation actually cooling—or just being measured differently? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Truflation’s real-time inflation readings (built from millions of point-of-purchase prices across multiple providers) versus the official CPI/PCE framework, which relies far more on surveys and sampling. We’ll also address the big caveat: neither CPI/PCE nor Truflation perfectly captures what you feel “in the shops,” because...

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AI is pressuring software margins, but the market has pushed this narrative to an extreme. Just like past cycles, investors are extrapolating disruption into total collapse. SaaS stocks $IGV are now deeply oversold, with many down 40–60% $NOW $CRM and valuations near cycle lows. Some companies will fail, but the entire sector won’t disappear. Stepping away from the hype and analyzing businesses—not headlines—is how real opportunities begin...

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Today’s live YouTube Chat Q&A covers the full spectrum—earnings season takeaways, the selloff-to-rebound pattern, and the big debate around Big Tech, AI, and margins. We walk through where tech and AI leadership stand now, whether AI is pressuring software profitability, and the “real world” constraint markets may be underpricing: power demand (including what ERCOT could mean for data-center expansion). We also hit the energy transition...

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Chasing what’s already performing well is how most investors buy tops—for example, $SLV last week. Successful investing usually means owning assets nobody wants and selling them once everyone does—but most investors do the opposite. This leads to complacency, unrealistic return expectations, and knee-jerk decisions driven by standout performers instead of the health of the overall portfolio, ultimately hurting long-term results. 📺Full episode:...

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Most investors don’t blow up because they “didn’t know enough.” They blow up because they frame the decision wrong. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down narrow framing—the behavior where investors judge one investment in isolation (“Why don’t I own that?”) instead of evaluating results through the entire portfolio and a long-term plan. When something becomes “hot,” it feels obvious, safe, and inevitable. But return-chasing often ends the...

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Lance Roberts examines why bears have become an endangered species—and why that may be a warning sign rather than a confirmation of safety. Investor sentiment is extreme, margin debt is surging, speculative behavior is accelerating, and market leadership remains narrowly concentrated. When optimism becomes unanimous, history shows future returns tend to disappoint. #MarketRisk #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketOutlook #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning

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In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael LebowitzI discuss margin debt in detail. Margin debt at record highs isn’t a sell signal. Rising leverage adds buying power and supports prices. The real risk comes when margin debt reverses and deleveraging accelerates downside. Watch the rate of change, not the headline level. 📺Full episode: Catch Lance daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow

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