Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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The Clock Has No Hands

2025-02-01

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2025-02-01

Inside This Week's Bull Bear Report Administrative Note - No Newsletter Next Week Next weekend, I am flying to Vancouver to deliver the keynote address at Mike Campbell's annual Moneytalks Conference. As such, I won't be able to produce a newsletter next week. I appreciate your patience, and the full newsletter will return the following … Continue...

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1-31-25 Tips and Traps You Need to Know for Tax Season

2025-01-31

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Apple's outlook will set the tone for today's market action; the January effect will be set by the end of the day. Rich & Matt discuss tariffs & volatility; Mexico and Canada are targets. Inflation data due today with the PCE report. The FEd's target is still 2%, and there's no reason to lower rates for now. This is forcing markets to shift focus; why a little inflation is a good thing. The US Tax Code can make you cry like Selena Gomez:...

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How Global Economies Influence U.S. Inflation and Deflation

2025-01-31

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Interest rates fluctuate due to global economic conditions. Importing deflation from Europe impacts our economy. #EconomicInsights Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/1df13f YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Bullish Exuberance Returns As Trump Takes Office

2025-01-31

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2025-01-31

Bullish exuberance is returning to the markets and the economy in a big way following the Presidential election. Such is particularly the case with recent executive orders signed by Trump, which fulfill Trump's promises to "Make America Great Again." Given that short-term market dynamics are driven primarily by sentiment, as investors, we can not dismiss …

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MSFT And TSLA: Earnings Create Quite The Conundrum

2025-01-31

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2025-01-31

An investor reading Microsoft's (MSFT) and Tesla's (TSLA) earnings summaries on Wednesday night would likely anticipate that MSFT shares would trade higher and Tesla shares lower. At the opening of the market the following day, the opposite held. MSFT opened up 4% lower, while TSLA was 4% higher. Let's summarize their respective earnings to see …

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1-30-25 The Fed Holds Firm

2025-01-30

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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell held interest rates at the current rate...and held is ground afterwards. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz parse the latest announcement on Federal Reserve interest rates. How will the Fed rate decisions in 2025 affect the US interest rate outlook; what is between the lines of the Fed policy update, and what will be the economic impact of Fed rates? We'll also take another look at meme coins, which destroy...

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Understanding Deep Seek’s Uncertain Impact on Market Dynamics

2025-01-30

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Deep Seek's impact on markets still unknown, but it's interesting to see competition like Meta's llama. 🤔 #DeepSeek #MarketImpact Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/d06469 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Rate Cuts Put On Hold

2025-01-30

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2025-01-30

As expected, the Federal Reserve put further rate cuts on hold. After cutting rates three times in the latter half of 2024 for a total of 1%, the Fed is taking a break. While the Fed is still forecasting that inflation will trend lower by year-end, it is concerned that the trend has been stalling … Continue reading »

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High Market Valuations: Too Much Money, Too Few Assets

2025-01-29

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Stocks soaring to astronomical valuations! Market trends explained - too much money, too few assets. Understanding the current market is key! 📈 #Investing101 Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/b45fff YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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1-29-25 Watching the Mega-Cap Earnings Parade

2025-01-29

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Today is Mega-cap earnings Day, and there's also a lot of economic data to be revealed. Plus, this afternoon will see the latest announcement from the Federal Reserve. Expectations are for the Fed to hold firm on rates this time. Interestingly, despite Monday's selloff, money flows have continued to come into the markets. In fact, on Tuesday (1/28) the QQQ had its biggest inflow since 2021. Monday's market action was NOT the watershed event the...

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Meme Coins Do Not Create Wealth: They Destroy It

2025-01-29

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2025-01-29

The latest craze in cryptocurrency is the release of the $TRUMP and $MELANIA meme coins. Immediately upon issuance, the cryptocurrency coins surged in value, turning worthless 0s and 1s of computer code into tens of billions of dollars. Many in the financial media, alongside crypto devotees, claim these meme coins, and others like Fart Coin, …

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The Chart That Should Worry The Fed

2025-01-29

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2025-01-29

Personal consumption represents over two-thirds of economic activity. Therefore, consumers' ability to spend, i.e., income, is vital to the economy. Taking it one more step, confidence in the security of our jobs and wages drives the marginal consumption behaviors of most citizens. With that, we share a chart that should worry the Fed. The chart …

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1-28-25 The DeepSeek Knee Jerk

2025-01-28

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The race is on for dominance in the artificial intelligence arena with China's release of DeepSeek. Markets initially nose-dived Monday, but ended up slightly higher (with the exception of Nvidia). This volatility underlines the necessity for portfolio diversification. The pullback in an oversold market was not unexpected. The news resulted in the biggest single-day market cap loss for Nvidia, due in part to its massive market cap. Lance discusses...

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How to Effectively Protect Your Funds from Liabilities

2025-01-28

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Protect your funds from liabilities! Mix pre-tax, post-tax, and after-tax for efficient estate planning. Control taxes and plan ahead! 💸📝 #finance Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/1e8f96 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Emerging Junk in Demand

2025-01-28

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2025-01-28

Bloomberg wrote a fascinating article showing that the speculative environment gripping crypto markets and some stocks has spread to the junkiest of junk bonds. Their article, Traders Asking “Why Not?” Rush Into Venezuela and Lebanon Bonds, speaks to “a massive rally in emerging market junk bonds.” They focus on debt from Venezuela and Lebanon in …

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DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance

2025-01-28

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2025-01-28

On Monday, markets were rocked by news that a Chinese Artificial Intelligence model, DeepSeek, performed better than expected at a lower development cost. As we noted in our Daily Market Commentary yesterday: "The 3% panic sell-off on the Tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 futures is focused on the view that China’s DeepSeek AI model rollouts show AI products …

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Wake-Up Call to Boost Education and Innovation in the U.S.

2025-01-28

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Private equity firms are moving fast! Got an idea? They want it deployed next week, not in five years. The race is on! 🚀 #innovation #privateequity Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/e6196a YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Winning the AI Race: Why Speed Matters Now

2025-01-28

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🏁 Determined to win the race, we have the ability, just need to figure it out and get there quick! 🚗💨 #Motivation #Racing #Challenges Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/acc12f YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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1-27-25 DeepSeek Deep Dive

2025-01-27

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What are the investing opportunities from DeepSeek? Too soon to tell; allow markets to sort it out today, and make no rash moves. What DeepSeek means to markets; what's the differene from AI? Lane ompares the 1960's spae rae to the AI tehnology ompetition today: Is this Ameria's "Sputnik Moment?" Lane provides a onise primer on all things DeepSeek. Faster, heaper hips upset the tehnology rae: We knew this day would ome (just didn't think...

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1-27-25 DeepSeek or Deep Sink?

2025-01-27

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The unfolding of China's DeepSeek tehnology, and history's shortest trade war (with Colombia) highlighted the weekend. What are the investing opportunities from DeepSeek? Too soon to tell; allow markets to sort it out today, and make no rash moves. What DeepSeek means to markets; what's the differene from AI? Lane ompares the 1960's spae rae to the AI tehnology ompetition today: Is this Ameria's "Sputnik Moment?" Lane provides a onise...

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